David Slater Big 7-0 Birthday Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Plumpton

17:20

Date 2024-04-01

Distance 2m214y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £5,809

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Toothless Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	163	tp	P-85P2	112	123	112	44d	—	—	0	22.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Back to form when second on chase debut; heavy ground would not have been ideal either
3	El Muchacho Grey J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	163	t	5-4P33	112	118	108	23d	—	—	-3	23.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
His third in a field of four at Hereford last time wasn't overly convincing
4	Pearly Island Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	J:Tom Cannon T:Lucy Wadham	163	p	5P5321	112	124	103	19d	—	—	+16	36.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
It was a likeable display when getting off the mark over fences at Huntingdon
1	Aggagio Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	168	—	1531-2	117	121	85	67d	—	—	+11	26.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Useful dual-purpose 6yo; runner-up on chase debut latest despite jumping struggles
NR	Clondaw Robin Chestnut J:Philip Armson(3) T:Andy Irvine	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Andy Irvine	142	p	232F43	91	108	85	4d	—	—	—	14.6	—	—
0-25 as a chaser and he would be a surprise winner from 16lb out of the weights

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Toothless	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
El Muchacho	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Pearly Island	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Aggagio	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pearly Island

36.4

OR: 15.5 Form: 14.7 Odds: 6.2

11/4

2nd

Aggagio

26.2

OR: 16.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

El Muchacho

23.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.1

2/1

Toothless

22.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Clondaw Robin

14.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aggagio	117	121	85
Toothless	112	123	112
El Muchacho	112	118	108
Pearly Island	112	124	103
Clondaw Robin	91	108	85

Last Run