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Kempton (AW)

20:00

Date 2024-04-03

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (5)	Dark Dreamer Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Robert Cowell	J:Jack Mitchell T:Robert Cowell	132	—	975-	62	66	-	187d	—	—	-17	11.7	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Potential improver now handicapping at a modest level
7 (8)	Want Want Bay J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	133	—	673-	63	65	-	211d	—	—	-4	10.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Promise on 2yo debut; less good twice after but makes his handicap debut at a low level
3 (4)	Himawari Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	134	—	92-44	64	71	51	56d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Had excuse over C&D on h'cap debut in Feb; still early days but she does need more to win
4 (7)	Whiteley Way Bay J:William Cox T:Roger Teal	J:William Cox T:Roger Teal	134	—	280-23	64	71	63	20d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Placed in two stronger AW handicaps this year; not discounted down into Class 6
9 (3)	Zachary Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	J:Oisin Murphy T:Charlie Johnston	130	p	0-4828	60	75	57	43d	—	—	-5	5.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two wins last year but absent since a poor run at Newcastle six weeks ago
2 (2)	Invincible Navy Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Rachel Cook & John Bridger	135	—	0573-9	65	68	51	21d	—	—	0	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Should be sharper with his reappearance/stable debut behind him; improvement needed
1 (9)	Bated Breeze Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	136	—	6409-	66	67	-	226d	—	—	+1	5.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Likely improver in low-grade handicaps this year; betting should be instructive
10 (10)	Irrelevant Chestnut J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Lee Carter	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Lee Carter	130	v	9-3896	60	69	64	20d	—	—	0	3.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Both wins have come here; on a good mark but yet to build on his promising stable debut
5 (1)	Reflexion Faite Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	133	t	2355-7	63	69	42	19d	—	—	+2	3.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Low-key stable debut 19 days ago; drop in trip/addition of tongue tie not enough to tempt
NR (6)	Hearitfortheboys Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	J:Rossa Ryan T:Tony Carroll	133	—	-47327	63	74	54	5d	—	—	—	8.3	—	—
C&D win at two; bright start for current stable; this easier than last time; contender

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dark Dreamer	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8	15/8
Want Want	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Himawari	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Whiteley Way	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Zachary	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Invincible Navy	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bated Breeze	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Irrelevant	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Reflexion Faite	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dark Dreamer

11.7

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.7

15/8

2nd

Want Want

10.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4

9/2

3rd

Hearitfortheboys

8.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Himawari

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Whiteley Way

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Zachary

5.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Invincible Navy

5.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Bated Breeze

5.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Reflexion Faite

3.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Irrelevant

3.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bated Breeze	66	67	—
Invincible Navy	65	68	51
Himawari	64	71	51
Whiteley Way	64	71	63
Want Want	63	65	—
Reflexion Faite	63	69	42
Hearitfortheboys	63	74	54
Dark Dreamer	62	66	—
Zachary	60	75	57
Irrelevant	60	69	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hearitfortheboys	5d ago	Quick return
Reflexion Faite	19d ago	Fit
Whiteley Way	20d ago	Fit
Irrelevant	20d ago	Fit
Invincible Navy	21d ago	Fit
Zachary	43d ago	Fit
Himawari	56d ago	Fresh
Dark Dreamer	187d ago	Long break
Want Want	211d ago	Long break
Bated Breeze	226d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.