Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Group 3) (Fillies)

Newmarket

15:35

Date 2024-04-17

Distance 7f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £48,204

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (8)	Dance Sequence Bay J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	J:William Buick T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	11-	106	112	101	187d	—	—	-2	48.1	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Won similar event over C&D six months ago; among the market leaders for the 1,000 Guineas
7 (7)	Matrika Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	128	—	121-	103	113	103	291d	—	—	+15	39	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Ballydoyle filly whose useful 2yo form culminated in Group 2 success; big player
11 (4)	True Cyan Grey J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	J:James Doyle T:Roger Varian	128	—	1-	-	100	48	200d	—	—	0	14	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Showed a nice turn of foot to win C&D maiden on sole 2yo start; useful prospect
10 (10)	Spiritual Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	128	h	14-	97	110	91	201d	—	—	+15	20.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Unexposed but seems headstrong and ideally needs to learn to settle better
8 (3)	Pretty Crystal Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	128	—	15244-	97	105	90	207d	—	—	+12	17.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Consistent in Group 3 races and again looks likely to give her running
3 (11)	Gushing Gold Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	128	—	33127-	95	106	93	187d	—	—	+19	22	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Best to forgive C&D defeat last time out but others have bigger potential
5 (2)	Kathmandu Bay J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	128	—	51-	-	94	-	145d	—	—	+8	10.7	17.50/1	70/1 1%
AW winner who faces a tough task on bare figures in this hotter company
6 (1)	Lexington Belle Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	128	p	21239-	90	104	98	166d	—	—	+17	19.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Regressed the last twice; stiff assignment in this first Group attempt
1 (6)	Born To Rock Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	15-	90	103	83	285d	—	—	+15	17.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Both starts over 5f, disappointing the last time; enough to prove upped 2f in trip
4 (5)	Heritage House Grey J:Callum Shepherd T:James Fanshawe	J:Callum Shepherd T:James Fanshawe	128	ht	41224-	85	95	85	166d	—	—	+17	18.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Fairly useful at up to 6.5f; not crying out for this extra yardage
NR (9)	Queen Of Zafeen Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hughes	J:NON-RUNNER T:Richard Hughes	128	—	112	93	107	-	41d	—	—	—	27.8	—	—
Progressive on AW; represents in-form stable and could well improve further

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dance Sequence	5/6	4/5	8/11	5/6	4/5
Matrika	11/4	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4
True Cyan	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Spiritual	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Pretty Crystal	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Gushing Gold	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Kathmandu	70/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Lexington Belle	80/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Born To Rock	100/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1
Heritage House	300/1	150/1	100/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dance Sequence

48.1

OR: 14 Form: 17 Odds: 17.1

5/6

2nd

Matrika

OR: 13.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Queen Of Zafeen

27.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 17 Odds: 0

—

Gushing Gold

OR: 11.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Spiritual

20.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Lexington Belle

19.2

OR: 10 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0.6

80/1

Heritage House

18.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 9 Odds: 0.3

300/1

Pretty Crystal

17.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Born To Rock

17.7

OR: 10 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

100/1

True Cyan

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

5/1

Kathmandu

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

70/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dance Sequence	106	112	101
Matrika	103	113	103
Spiritual	97	110	91
Pretty Crystal	97	105	90
Gushing Gold	95	106	93
Queen Of Zafeen	93	107	—
Lexington Belle	90	104	98
Born To Rock	90	103	83
Heritage House	85	95	85
True Cyan	—	100	48
Kathmandu	—	94	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Queen Of Zafeen	41d ago	Fit
Kathmandu	145d ago	Long break
Lexington Belle	166d ago	Long break
Heritage House	166d ago	Long break
Dance Sequence	187d ago	Long break
Gushing Gold	187d ago	Long break
True Cyan	200d ago	Long break
Spiritual	201d ago	Long break
Pretty Crystal	207d ago	Long break
Born To Rock	285d ago	Long break
Matrika	291d ago	Long break