Unibet Zero% Mission Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Unibet Zero% Mission Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-04-17

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,780

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Sir Les Patterson Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Harry Eustace	J:Billy Loughnane T:Harry Eustace	136	—	31-	-	77	43	127d	—	—	-11	22.7	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Won 7f novice at Southwell in December; form franked, so he must enter calculations
6 (12)	Formidable Force Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	129	—	63-	-	73	64	155d	—	—	-7	7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
3rd in 7f Wolverhampton maiden in November; he can do better still, so is one to consider
10 (13)	Smart Hero Bay J:Harry Davies T:James Tate	J:Harry Davies T:James Tate	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Shamardal colt; lots to like on paper so he's an interesting debutant
4 (9)	Alhather Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	J:Hollie Doyle T:Andrew Balding	129	—	2-34	76	80	51	59d	—	—	+4	12.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
In the frame on all three runs, fourth in 6f maiden here last time; one for the shortlist
8 (6)	Midnight Gun Grey J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	129	—	0-	-	67	42	154d	—	—	-7	2.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Hinted at promise when tenth in 1m novice here; this Kingman colt can build on it
11 (3)	Golden Myrrh Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	124	—	5-6	-	78	23	21d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Frankel filly; promising C&D sixth from a poor draw last time; player with more to offer
12 (4)	Rockymountainway Chestnut J:Kevin Stott T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kevin Stott T:Charlie Fellowes	124	—	5-	-	67	51	162d	—	—	-2	0.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fifth of seven in 7f novice at Chelmsford on her debut; can build on it now
2 (5)	Trevanion Bay J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Victor Dartnall	J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Victor Dartnall	142	h	5	-	71	41	59d	—	—	-2	0.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Considerately handled fifth in 6f maiden here; not ruled out with improvement on the cards
5 (8)	Atlantic Gamble Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	129	—	86-	-	61	41	121d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has been brought along steadily, 6th in 7f Wolverhampton maiden in December; possibilities
7 (10)	King's Scholar Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ed Walker	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Ed Walker	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Awtaad gelding who is a half-brother to three winners; a considered newcomer
1 (7)	Beauen Arrows Bay J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Michael Attwater	J:Oliver Searle(7) T:Michael Attwater	142	—	-08228	50	56	43	21d	—	—	+6	6.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
0-19 and came in only eighth of 12 in 6f handicap here three weeks ago
9 (11)	Port Road Grey J:Paddy Bradley T:John Butler	J:Paddy Bradley T:John Butler	129	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Quality Road gelding; market can guide on his debut
13 (2)	Romantic Tale Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:George Boughey	124	—	7-4	-	69	29	10d	—	—	0	0.2	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Only 4th of five in 1m Bath maiden (heavy); in good hands though and worth another chance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sir Les Patterson	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Formidable Force	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Smart Hero	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Alhather	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Midnight Gun	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Golden Myrrh	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Rockymountainway	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Trevanion	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Atlantic Gamble	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
King's Scholar	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Beauen Arrows	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Port Road	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Romantic Tale	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sir Les Patterson

22.7

OR: 0 Form: 12.1 Odds: 10.6

11/8

2nd

Alhather

12.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Formidable Force

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

9/2

Beauen Arrows

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Smart Hero

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Midnight Gun

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Golden Myrrh

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Rockymountainway

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Trevanion

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Atlantic Gamble

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

King's Scholar

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Port Road

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Romantic Tale

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alhather	76	80	51
Beauen Arrows	50	56	43
Sir Les Patterson	—	77	43
Formidable Force	—	73	64
Smart Hero	—	—	—
Midnight Gun	—	67	42
Golden Myrrh	—	78	23
Rockymountainway	—	67	51
Trevanion	—	71	41
Atlantic Gamble	—	61	41
King's Scholar	—	—	—
Port Road	—	—	—
Romantic Tale	—	69	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Romantic Tale	10d ago	Quick return
Golden Myrrh	21d ago	Fit
Beauen Arrows	21d ago	Fit
Alhather	59d ago	Fresh
Trevanion	59d ago	Fresh
Atlantic Gamble	121d ago	Long break
Sir Les Patterson	127d ago	Long break
Midnight Gun	154d ago	Long break
Formidable Force	155d ago	Long break
Rockymountainway	162d ago	Long break
Smart Hero	—	—
King's Scholar	—	—
Port Road	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.