Follow @vickersracing On X Handicap – Thirsk

Thirsk

19:05

Follow @vickersracing On X Handicap

Date 2024-04-20

Distance 1m4f8y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £9,720

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14 (7)	Kardia Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	124	—	5/123-	79	101	75	169d	—	—	-8	13.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Good third on 1m4f handicap debut (heavy) final start; yard won this last year
2 (3)	To Catch A Thief Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	135	—	5311-8	90	104	69	110d	—	—	-2	15	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Disappointed on hat-trick bid on New Year's Day but retains potential for top yard
8 (15)	Fairbanks Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Andrew Balding	J:Saffie Osborne T:Andrew Balding	131	v	/5111-	86	102	92	309d	—	—	+21	35	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Completed a hat-trick early last summer; off since but could be more to come
3 (14)	Torcello Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Shaun Lycett	J:Joe Fanning T:Shaun Lycett	134	b	2645-1	89	101	76	18d	—	—	+14	22.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Eleven wins, the latest in small field at Pontefract recently but this is harder
13 (12)	Roost Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ralph Beckett	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	24510-	80	102	71	207d	—	—	+8	18.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
1m4f winner last year; from leading yard and respected back from wind surgery
6 (10)	Forza Orta Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Ryan	J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Ryan	134	—	77218-	89	102	88	224d	—	—	+14	21.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Win last year came over 2m; third and fifth in last two runnings of this
10 (5)	Faylaq Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	128	—	3306-4	83	105	84	36d	—	—	+4	10	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Promising reappearance but no win since 2019 dampens enthusiasm
16 (9)	Fleur De Mer Grey J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	120	—	213-32	75	100	70	26d	—	—	+1	8.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Good AW record; needs to prove she's as effective on turf but her is in good form
7 (1)	Arrange Grey J:David Nolan T:Martin Todhunter	J:David Nolan T:Martin Todhunter	132	—	2R112-	87	101	83	189d	—	—	+24	28	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Did well last autumn; trip/ground fine and could go well if fully primed for reappearance
11 (11)	Dark Moon Rising Bay J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	31886-	83	103	81	157d	—	—	+9	12.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won at York last summer but bit below that level later in year; off 157 days
9 (6)	Two Brothers Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	131	v	4551-4	86	100	91	27d	—	—	+6	10.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Shaped as if needing reappearance and won second time up last year; should go well
1 (16)	Emiyn Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	137	—	71720-	92	97	82	189d	—	—	+15	17.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
This front-runner might be using this as a prep for Chester next month (goes well there)
4 (4)	Charging Thunder Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	134	p	03445-	89	104	86	241d	—	—	+9	11.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Didn't find his best form last year but is well treated as a result
12 (13)	Strawman Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	J:Connor Beasley T:Gemma Tutty	125	—	73261-	80	99	82	173d	—	—	+19	21.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Third off 2lb higher on soft on 2023 reappearance; each-way claims
NR (2)	Mr Le Philosophe Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Oisin Orr T:Rebecca Menzies	134	v	15514-	89	95	65	—	—	—	—	18.8	—	—
Dual 1m4f Flat winner in France but struggled in three hurdles for this yard; visor added
NR (8)	Tessy Lad Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Sam England	J:Cam Hardie T:Sam England	121	ht	1722-6	76	101	87	23d	—	—	—	6.5	—	—
Four Flat wins for Richard Hughes but yet to going for this stable (mainly over hurdles)

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Kardia	5/2	11/4	5/2
To Catch A Thief	4/1	7/2	7/2
Fairbanks	11/2	11/2	11/2
Torcello	11/1	9/1	9/1
Roost	8/1	10/1	10/1
Forza Orta	16/1	14/1	14/1
Faylaq	16/1	14/1	14/1
Fleur De Mer	16/1	14/1	14/1
Arrange	18/1	22/1	22/1
Dark Moon Rising	25/1	22/1	22/1
Two Brothers	18/1	25/1	25/1
Emiyn	33/1	25/1	25/1
Charging Thunder	33/1	28/1	28/1
Strawman	28/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fairbanks

OR: 9 Form: 22 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Arrange

OR: 9.3 Form: 17.6 Odds: 1.2

22/1

3rd

Torcello

22.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Strawman

21.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 13.4 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Forza Orta

21.2

OR: 9.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Mr Le Philosophe

18.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 9 Odds: 0

—

Roost

18.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 8 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Emiyn

17.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 0.9

33/1

To Catch A Thief

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Kardia

13.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

11/4

Dark Moon Rising

12.9

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Charging Thunder

11.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Two Brothers

10.2

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Faylaq

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Fleur De Mer

8.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Tessy Lad

6.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Emiyn	92	97	82
To Catch A Thief	90	104	69
Torcello	89	101	76
Forza Orta	89	102	88
Charging Thunder	89	104	86
Mr Le Philosophe	89	95	65
Arrange	87	101	83
Fairbanks	86	102	92
Two Brothers	86	100	91
Faylaq	83	105	84
Dark Moon Rising	83	103	81
Roost	80	102	71
Strawman	80	99	82
Kardia	79	101	75
Tessy Lad	76	101	87
Fleur De Mer	75	100	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Torcello	18d ago	Fit
Tessy Lad	23d ago	Fit
Fleur De Mer	26d ago	Fit
Two Brothers	27d ago	Fit
Faylaq	36d ago	Fit
To Catch A Thief	110d ago	Long break
Dark Moon Rising	157d ago	Long break
Kardia	169d ago	Long break
Strawman	173d ago	Long break
Arrange	189d ago	Long break
Emiyn	189d ago	Long break
Roost	207d ago	Long break
Forza Orta	224d ago	Long break
Charging Thunder	241d ago	Long break
Fairbanks	309d ago	Long break
Mr Le Philosophe	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Torcello	Front Runner
Emiyn	Front Runner

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 16 runners classified.