Happy Valley

14:10

Incheon Handicap (Class 4) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Date 2024-04-24
Distance 1m55y
Class
Going Good
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £65,915

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
R13 (13)
Fruity Warrior
Bay
J:TBC
T:C Fownes
J:
T:C Fownes
120 tb 5-9940
42
74
-
17d
0
Six-race maiden; made the frame over 1m1f two starts ago but well beaten since
R14 (14)
Packing Wisher
Bay
J:TBC
T:C S Shum
J:
T:C S Shum
126 t 006
48
69
-
28d
0
Improved form when sixth over C&D in first-time blinkers last month, his third start
1 (4)
Good Luck Win
Bay
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Mark Newnham
J:Antoine Hamelin
T:Mark Newnham
134 t 1-0800
56
56
-
14d
8.5
Unable to pose any sort of threat on first four Hong Kong starts
2 (5)
Snowalot
Bay
J:Zac Purton
T:David A Hayes
J:Zac Purton
T:David A Hayes
134 b 64-981
56
73
-
28d
1.5
Stayed on strongly to score over C&D last month; still on workable mark after 5lb rise
3 (11)
Viva Hunter
Bay
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:K L Man
J:Matthew Poon(2)
T:K L Man
134 t -03004
56
76
-
21d
2.4
Made the frame on dirt three weeks ago but has become very inconsistent
4 (1)
Pegasus General
Bay
J:Angus Chung(5)
T:Jimmy Ting
J:Angus Chung(5)
T:Jimmy Ting
132 v 54-835
54
79
-
28d
1
Placed over 1m1f last month but has a steadily regressive profile; others preferred
5 (8)
Fortune Cookies
Chestnut
J:K De Melo
T:Jamie Richards
J:K De Melo
T:Jamie Richards
130 tb
52
-
-
52d
0.5
Always outpaced and behind over 6f on debut in early March; moves up in trip today
6 (2)
I Can
Bay
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
J:Andrea Atzeni
T:P C Ng
130 ht 037076
52
77
-
14d 0W/0P 1 run
1.1
Respectable sixth over C&D this month but has very mixed record this year
7 (10)
Gameplayer Warrior
Bay
J:L J Ferraris
T:Douglas Whyte
J:L J Ferraris
T:Douglas Whyte
128 90
50
60
-
24d
0
Safely held at triple-digit odds on first two starts (6f/7f)
8 (7)
Storm Winner
Chestnut
J:C Y Ho
T:C Fownes
J:C Y Ho
T:C Fownes
128 00
50
63
-
17d
0
A well-beaten outsider on first two starts (7f/1m); can't be recommended.
9 (9)
Young Victory
Brown
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:W Y So
J:Jerry Chau(2)
T:W Y So
126 tb 00-068
48
72
-
35d
0
Unlucky not to finish closer to the target last time; continues to slip down the weights
10 (3)
Can't Go Wong
Chestnut
J:Alexis Badel
T:F C Lor
J:Alexis Badel
T:F C Lor
124 tb 044313
46
71
-
17d
11.5
Placed in this higher grade at Sha Tin since last month's Class 5 C&D win; in the mix
11 (6)
Kingly Demeanor
Brown
J:Ben E Thompson
T:A S Cruz
J:Ben E Thompson
T:A S Cruz
122 t 0000
44
66
-
31d
0
Yet to show anything more than minor promise after four starts (6f-7f)
12 (12)
Reliable Profit
Grey
J:L Hewitson
T:C S Shum
J:L Hewitson
T:C S Shum
120 tb 46407-
42
72
-
117d
0
Seven-race maiden; ended last year with two below-par runs; back from a break

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Can't Go Wong
11.5
OR: 0 Form: 11.5 Odds: 0
2nd Good Luck Win
8.5
OR: 1.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0
3rd Viva Hunter
2.4
OR: 1.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0
4 Snowalot
1.5
OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
5 I Can
1.1
OR: 0.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0
6 Pegasus General
1
OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0
7 Fortune Cookies
0.5
OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
8 Fruity Warrior
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Packing Wisher
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
10 Gameplayer Warrior
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
11 Storm Winner
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Young Victory
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Kingly Demeanor
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
14 Reliable Profit
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Good Luck Win
56
56
Snowalot
56
73
Viva Hunter
56
76
Pegasus General
54
79
Fortune Cookies
52
I Can
52
77
Gameplayer Warrior
50
60
Storm Winner
50
63
Packing Wisher
48
69
Young Victory
48
72
Can't Go Wong
46
71
Kingly Demeanor
44
66
Fruity Warrior
42
74
Reliable Profit
42
72

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Good Luck Win 14d ago Fit
I Can 14d ago Fit
Fruity Warrior 17d ago Fit
Storm Winner 17d ago Fit
Can't Go Wong 17d ago Fit
Viva Hunter 21d ago Fit
Gameplayer Warrior 24d ago Fit
Packing Wisher 28d ago Fit
Snowalot 28d ago Fit
Pegasus General 28d ago Fit
Kingly Demeanor 31d ago Fit
Young Victory 35d ago Fit
Fortune Cookies 52d ago Fresh
Reliable Profit 117d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m55y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.