QuinnBet Fillies' Handicap – Yarmouth

Yarmouth

17:00

QuinnBet Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-04-30

Distance 7f3y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,653

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (7)	Shin Jidai Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	122	—	134-	76	90	68	213d	—	—	-6	22.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Closed out last season with a solid effort and remains open to improvement; player
2 (3)	Rajindri Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Clover	J:Oisin Murphy T:Tom Clover	141	—	21812-	82	84	62	221d	—	—	+7	31.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Can pull hard but wants considering under Oisin Murphy (1-9 for the yard)
3 (2)	Queen's Reign Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	131	—	317-	85	87	61	262d	—	—	+10	19.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Group 3 company too much latterly; starts handicap life on workable mark for in-form yard
11 (5)	Elderflower Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	114	—	653-	68	85	51	132d	—	—	+1	9.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Lightly raced but needs more back from a break, racing from just out of the handicap
5 (1)	Nighteyes Bay J:Hector Crouch T:David O'Meara	J:Hector Crouch T:David O'Meara	126	—	72221-	80	83	78	267d	—	—	+19	27.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Yard enjoying a decent spell but she'll need to have improved during her nine-month layoff
1 (11)	Conservationist Bay J:James Doyle T:Kevin Ryan	J:James Doyle T:Kevin Ryan	142	—	82636-	83	87	56	214d	—	—	+6	14.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Picked up for 40,000gns last October; may need help from the handicapper; market useful
7 (8)	Royal Elysian Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Ferguson	124	—	2241-3	78	83	62	21d	—	—	+5	12.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ran fairly on comeback/handicap debut three weeks ago; entitled to have come on for that
8 (4)	Bella Bisbee Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Dunlop	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Dunlop	123	—	21-4	77	86	-	28d	—	—	+4	7.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Very short price for AW comeback, when bombing (no explanation offered); risky after that
6 (6)	Bigger Than Giga Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	126	—	31107-	80	81	-	230d	—	—	+13	17.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Things didn't pan out her way on her nursery debut latterly; needs more back from a break
4 (10)	Baileys Polka Dot Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Amy Murphy	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Amy Murphy	126	—	4560-0	80	83	76	72d	—	—	+5	8.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Big price for her Kempton comeback, when a well-beaten last off 4lb higher; wind op since
NR (9)	Rating Chestnut J:Connor Planas(3) T:Brian Meehan	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Brian Meehan	120	—	0523-3	74	89	81	14d	—	—	—	9	—	—
Best on her side of the course on comeback; has claims but is vulnerable to improvers now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Shin Jidai	9/4	9/4	9/4	2/1	2/1
Rajindri	5/2	5/2	9/4	11/4	5/2
Queen's Reign	8/1	17/2	8/1	15/2	8/1
Elderflower	9/1	10/1	9/1	8/1	9/1
Nighteyes	10/1	9/1	8/1	9/1	9/1
Conservationist	12/1	11/1	12/1	10/1	10/1
Royal Elysian	11/1	10/1	10/1	12/1	10/1
Bella Bisbee	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Bigger Than Giga	40/1	25/1	18/1	28/1	20/1
Baileys Polka Dot	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rajindri

31.3

OR: 8 Form: 16 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Nighteyes

27.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 17.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Shin Jidai

22.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 8.9

9/4

Queen's Reign

19.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Bigger Than Giga

17.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 8.6 Odds: 1.1

40/1

Conservationist

14.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Royal Elysian

12.1

OR: 7 Form: 3 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Elderflower

9.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Rating

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Baileys Polka Dot

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Bella Bisbee

7.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Queen's Reign	85	87	61
Conservationist	83	87	56
Rajindri	82	84	62
Nighteyes	80	83	78
Bigger Than Giga	80	81	—
Baileys Polka Dot	80	83	76
Royal Elysian	78	83	62
Bella Bisbee	77	86	—
Shin Jidai	76	90	68
Rating	74	89	81
Elderflower	68	85	51

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rating	14d ago	Fit
Royal Elysian	21d ago	Fit
Bella Bisbee	28d ago	Fit
Baileys Polka Dot	72d ago	Fresh
Elderflower	132d ago	Long break
Shin Jidai	213d ago	Long break
Conservationist	214d ago	Long break
Rajindri	221d ago	Long break
Bigger Than Giga	230d ago	Long break
Queen's Reign	262d ago	Long break
Nighteyes	267d ago	Long break