Kempton (AW)

18:25

Unibet More Extra Place Races Apprentice Handicap

Date 2024-05-01
Distance 1m2f219y
Class Class 5
Going Standard To Slow
Type Flat
Surface AW
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £4,187

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
4 (9)
Geelong
Bay
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:Paul & Oliver Cole
J:Kaiya Fraser(3)
T:Paul & Oliver Cole
135 b 3-5323
67
78
68
21d -9
13
0.63/1
5/2
29%
Two autumn 1m3f wins (one C&D); unfailingly consistent since, albeit mostly played later
2 (5)
Letaba
Bay
J:Morgan Cole(3)
T:Ed Dunlop
J:Morgan Cole(3)
T:Ed Dunlop
138 b 5271-4
70
81
70
18d -8
10.4
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Better than the bare form on last month's return; not many goes beyond 1m2f as yet
6 (4)
Malacanne
Chestnut
J:James Ryan(3)
T:D Donovan
J:James Ryan(3)
T:D Donovan
133 b -71932
65
80
69
18d +2
18.9
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Kept on after denied a run at Chelmsford latest (1m2f); still well treated on Irish best
8 (6)
Artavian
Bay
J:Tyler Heard
T:Patrick Chamings
J:Tyler Heard
T:Patrick Chamings
130 684-
62
77
31
177d -4
5.9
1.63/1
13/2
13%
Gentle progression across three autumn starts at up to 9.5f; mark appears realistic
5 (2)
Semser
Bay
J:Jonny Peate
T:Gary Moore
J:Jonny Peate
T:Gary Moore
133 p 832-99
65
82
42
27d -4
6.6
1.63/1
13/2
13%
3lb lower now than for last May's Chelmsford 1m2f success; proven at and beyond 1m3f
7 (3)
Lawn Ranger
Bay
J:Gina Mangan
T:Michael Attwater
J:Gina Mangan
T:Michael Attwater
132 71385-
64
72
-
217d +3
9.7
2.75/1
11/1
8%
Sole Polytrack win came on 2017 debut; may need this first outing since last September
1 (8)
Dorset Lady
Bay
J:Joe Leavy(5)
T:Gary Brown
J:Joe Leavy(5)
T:Gary Brown
138 t 040-
70
74
-
221d +2
6.1
4.50/1
18/1
5%
0-14 in Irish bumper and Flat starts; might just need this outing after 221 days out
NR (7)
Ivasecret
Bay
J:TBC
T:Ian Williams
J:
T:Ian Williams
137 781265
69
79
63
30d
10.3
1m winner off 4lb lower here in February; still well treated, but longer trip is a worry
NR (1)
The Bay Warrior
Bay
J:TBC
T:Mark Usher
J:
T:Mark Usher
130 -14523
62
79
55
19d
11.5
C&D 0-60 winner from stall 1 in January (drawn there once more tonight); respected again
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Geelong
5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2 5/2
Letaba
7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
Malacanne
7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
Artavian
13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2
Semser
13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2 13/2
Lawn Ranger
11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1
Dorset Lady
18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Malacanne
18.9
OR: 3.8 Form: 10.1 Odds: 5
7/2
2nd Geelong
13
OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 6.7
5/2
3rd The Bay Warrior
11.5
OR: 3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 0
4 Letaba
10.4
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4
7/2
5 Ivasecret
10.3
OR: 4.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0
6 Lawn Ranger
9.7
OR: 3.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7
11/1
7 Semser
6.6
OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
13/2
8 Dorset Lady
6.1
OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1
18/1
9 Artavian
5.9
OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9
13/2

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Letaba
70
81
70
Dorset Lady
70
74
Ivasecret
69
79
63
Geelong
67
78
68
Malacanne
65
80
69
Semser
65
82
42
Lawn Ranger
64
72
Artavian
62
77
31
The Bay Warrior
62
79
55

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Letaba 18d ago Fit
Malacanne 18d ago Fit
The Bay Warrior 19d ago Fit
Geelong 21d ago Fit
Semser 27d ago Fit
Ivasecret 30d ago Fit
Artavian 177d ago Long break
Lawn Ranger 217d ago Long break
Dorset Lady 221d ago Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.