Vickers.Bet Independent Family-Owned Bookmaker EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)

Thirsk

15:50

Date 2024-05-04

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (9)	Rockymountainway Chestnut J:Paul Mulrennan T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Charlie Fellowes	128	—	5-3	-	85	-	17d	—	—	-11	8.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Promising third at Kempton last month and she's open to more progress on this turf debut
10 (4)	Vitrina Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Edward Bethell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Yard 3-7 in maidens this year and she needs watching in market on debut
8 (1)	Nartaji Bay J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	J:Cameron Noble T:Roger Varian	128	—	5	-	63	-	18d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ran green on 1m Newcastle debut (9-2) and she could leave that form well behind here
6 (3)	Lokana Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	128	—	6335-	77	92	76	225d	—	—	+3	13.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Looks interesting on her best 2yo form and she's respected on her return
7 (6)	Mostar Dreams Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	—	2	-	84	53	12d	—	—	-2	7.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Finished well to snatch second on Pontefract debut (6f, soft); interesting upped in trip
4 (7)	Kendalina Bay J:Harry Russell T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Harry Russell T:John & Sean Quinn	128	—	4-	-	80	-	162d	—	—	-7	2.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Made some promising late headway at Southwell and is not ruled out on this switch to turf
5 (2)	Lady Pagasa Grey J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	J:William Cox T:Charles Hills	128	—	2744-	78	91	67	163d	—	—	+3	10.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Has leading claims on her 2yo debut form but she's not matched that since; risks attached
1 (10)	Beguiling Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	128	—	6-	-	69	51	210d	—	—	-4	1.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Well held at 150-1 in sole 2yo run; best watched back from seven months off
3 (5)	Graecia Bay J:Connor Beasley T:John Butler	J:Connor Beasley T:John Butler	128	—	5-4	-	84	23	7d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Showed promise on her Newmarket debut but she struggled at Haydock on her return last week
2 (8)	Dandiva Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	128	—	4	-	60	-	8d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Made low-key start at a big price when remote fourth of six at Newcastle (7f) last week

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Rockymountainway	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Vitrina	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Nartaji	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Lokana	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mostar Dreams	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Kendalina	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Lady Pagasa	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Beguiling	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Graecia	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Dandiva	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lokana

13.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.9

13/2

2nd

Lady Pagasa

10.6

OR: 7 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

9/1

3rd

Rockymountainway

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Mostar Dreams

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Vitrina

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Nartaji

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Kendalina

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Beguiling

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Graecia

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Dandiva

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lady Pagasa	78	91	67
Lokana	77	92	76
Rockymountainway	—	85	—
Vitrina	—	—	—
Nartaji	—	63	—
Mostar Dreams	—	84	53
Kendalina	—	80	—
Beguiling	—	69	51
Graecia	—	84	23
Dandiva	—	60	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Graecia	7d ago	Quick return
Dandiva	8d ago	Quick return
Mostar Dreams	12d ago	Quick return
Rockymountainway	17d ago	Fit
Nartaji	18d ago	Fit
Kendalina	162d ago	Long break
Lady Pagasa	163d ago	Long break
Beguiling	210d ago	Long break
Lokana	225d ago	Long break
Vitrina	—	—