Palmerstown House Estate Pat Taaffe Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

Punchestown

16:15

Date 2024-05-04

Distance 3m104y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €29,500

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14	Better Times Ahead Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Robert Tyner	J:Simon Torrens T:Robert Tyner	140	—	841-62	124	140	70	33d	—	—	+8	22.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
No match for Macdermott at Fairyhouse, form boosted by the Scottish National outcome
5	Cruz Control Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	J:Stan Sheppard T:Tom Lacey	156	t	122511	140	157	134	21d	—	—	+32	46	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Failed to stay 4m1f in the Eider but has since won over 2m7f and 3m1f, may stay this far
13	Gold Bullion Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	140	t	3-1335	124	158	59	112d	—	—	+12	23.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Kept good company in novice races, interesting sort for top connections if fit and ready
12	Cadatharla Bay J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:C A Murphy	J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:C A Murphy	140	—	4-6446	124	144	91	34d	—	—	+12	21.2	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Useful, progressive hurdler last season, not a natural jumper of fences in four attempts
7	Blackjack Magic Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Rex Dingle T:Anthony Honeyball	151	t	1-145F	135	161	133	70d	—	—	+22	30.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Form includes a notable 3m1f handicap win at Wincanton last November, not as good since
6	Spanish Harlem Chestnut J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	154	t	P-3336	138	154	131	14d	—	—	+16	24.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Sixth behind stablemate Macdermott in Scottish National; Townend deserts for Glengouly
10	Digby Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Dermot A McLoughlin	144	p	373224	128	152	100	105d	—	—	+22	28.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Promising form on his first two starts over fences, heavy ground unsuitable last time
9	Ballykeel Bay J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	145	t	2-F133	129	156	133	252d	—	—	+20	24.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Won the 3m the Perth Gold Cup on good-to-soft last June, second in this race last year
3	Glengouly Bay J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	160	—	5-220U	144	155	118	21d	—	—	+20	24.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Good chance if reproducing form of Thyestes second, poor at Cheltenham, unseated Aintree
16	Donacheady Gale Bay J:Daniel King T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Daniel King T:John Patrick Ryan	140	—	14/322	124	145	117	15d	—	—	+16	19.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Pressed the 144-rated Favori De Champdou at Limerick, 4lb wrong but solid each-way chance
4	Minella Crooner Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	158	p	1P33PP	142	162	116	21d	—	—	+21	23.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
A negative that he has been pulled up in his two attempts at about 3m6f, out of form
11	Battle Of Mirbat Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Michael J McDonagh	140	—	322P23	124	149	98	33d	—	—	+25	27.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Largely consistent and ground-versatile but held by Better Times Ahead on Fairyhouse form
NR	Farouk d'Alene Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	/F52PP	150	129	57	21d	—	—	—	25	—	—
Easily best of five runs this term when beaten a neck in a Pertemps qualifier
NR	Fury Road Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	160	tp	5-0604	144	137	-	70d	—	—	—	23.5	—	—
Seven-time winner, including Grade 1 as a novice, below his best for some time
NR	Percy Warner Bay J:TBC T:Henry De Bromhead	J: T:Henry De Bromhead	147	p	6-3167	131	154	110	69d	—	—	—	20.3	—	—
Held his own when sixth in the Leopardstown Chase before below-par Naas run over 2m4f
NR	Bonnie Kellie Bay J:TBC T:S Curling	J: T:S Curling	140	—	5525F7	124	150	83	15d	—	—	—	19	—	—
Failed to take advantage of a lower hurdles mark in a recent handicap hurdle at Limerick

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Better Times Ahead	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Cruz Control	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Gold Bullion	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Cadatharla	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Blackjack Magic	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Spanish Harlem	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Digby	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Ballykeel	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Glengouly	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Donacheady Gale	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Minella Crooner	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Battle Of Mirbat	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cruz Control

OR: 22.5 Form: 19.5 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Blackjack Magic

30.8

OR: 21.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Digby

28.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 6.9 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Battle Of Mirbat

27.5

OR: 18.5 Form: 8.3 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Farouk d'Alene

OR: 25 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Glengouly

24.9

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Ballykeel

24.5

OR: 19.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.3

16/1

Spanish Harlem

24.2

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Gold Bullion

23.9

OR: 18.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Minella Crooner

23.9

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Fury Road

23.5

OR: 23.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Better Times Ahead

22.9

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Cadatharla

21.2

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Percy Warner

20.3

OR: 20.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Donacheady Gale

19.6

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Bonnie Kellie

OR: 18.5 Form: 0.5 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Farouk d'Alene	150	129	57
Glengouly	144	155	118
Fury Road	144	137	—
Minella Crooner	142	162	116
Cruz Control	140	157	134
Spanish Harlem	138	154	131
Blackjack Magic	135	161	133
Percy Warner	131	154	110
Ballykeel	129	156	133
Digby	128	152	100
Better Times Ahead	124	140	70
Gold Bullion	124	158	59
Cadatharla	124	144	91
Donacheady Gale	124	145	117
Battle Of Mirbat	124	149	98
Bonnie Kellie	124	150	83

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spanish Harlem	14d ago	Fit
Donacheady Gale	15d ago	Fit
Bonnie Kellie	15d ago	Fit
Cruz Control	21d ago	Fit
Glengouly	21d ago	Fit
Minella Crooner	21d ago	Fit
Farouk d'Alene	21d ago	Fit
Better Times Ahead	33d ago	Fit
Battle Of Mirbat	33d ago	Fit
Cadatharla	34d ago	Fit
Percy Warner	69d ago	Fresh
Blackjack Magic	70d ago	Fresh
Fury Road	70d ago	Fresh
Digby	105d ago	Long break
Gold Bullion	112d ago	Long break
Ballykeel	252d ago	Long break