Victor Lucas Memorial Handicap Hurdle – Market Rasen

Market Rasen

15:15

Victor Lucas Memorial Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-05-10

Distance 2m7f16y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,922

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Legionar Chestnut J:Harry Cobden T:Harriet Dickin	J:Harry Cobden T:Harriet Dickin	166	—	/5311-	123	128	117	26d	—	—	+25	41.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2-2 for this yard and latest form has been franked; good chance if seeing out the trip
8	Porter In The Park Bay J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Emma Lavelle	J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Emma Lavelle	151	—	P6631-	108	129	113	16d	—	—	+14	31.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Good ground the key to her and finished well to get up late on at Ludlow
7	For Gina Bay J:Dylan Whelan(7) T:Lucy Wadham	J:Dylan Whelan(7) T:Lucy Wadham	151	p	41P23-	108	124	115	26d	—	—	+13	27.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Did well to finish third at Plumpton last month after her rider lost the irons late on
9	Southern Babylon Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Ruth Jefferson	J:Brian Hughes T:Ruth Jefferson	149	—	/2185-	106	119	100	105d	—	—	+12	23.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Struggled since course win in Nov; possibilities now switched to handicaps
6	Lihyan Bay J:William Maggs(7) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:William Maggs(7) T:Rebecca Menzies	157	h	51224-	114	127	108	21d	—	—	+19	27.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Unraced beyond 2m4f but he's running well and a strong traveller
5	Shantou Express Chestnut J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	160	—	68976-	117	128	129	16d	—	—	+11	18.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Disappointing that he didn't run better when dropped in grade at Ludlow
10	Burrows Hall Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Sue Smith	J:Nick Scholfield T:Sue Smith	148	—	32212-	105	126	113	65d	—	—	+25	32.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
The race perhaps came too soon last time; still on a competitive mark
1	Giovanni Change Grey J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Mark Walford	J:Tom Midgley(3) T:Mark Walford	169	—	1PP22-	126	128	112	136d	—	—	+25	29.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Last year's winner; running well when last seen and can show his form when fresh
4	Storm Nelson Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Olly Williams	J:Charlie Hammond T:Olly Williams	162	—	P693P-	119	124	95	27d	—	—	+16	18	10.00/1	40/1 2%
This is easier than a handicap at Aintree last time but didn't head to that in much form
NR	Imperial Merlin Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Sean Quinn	J:NON-RUNNER T:John & Sean Quinn	168	—	/53FP-	125	126	92	61d	—	—	—	18.8	—	—
Pulled up back hurdling last time but the ability is there if back on song

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Legionar	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Porter In The Park	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
For Gina	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Southern Babylon	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Lihyan	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Shantou Express	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Burrows Hall	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Giovanni Change	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Storm Nelson	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Legionar

41.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Burrows Hall

32.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 16.6 Odds: 1.9

10/1

3rd

Porter In The Park

31.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 11.8 Odds: 5

7/2

Giovanni Change

29.7

OR: 19 Form: 9.3 Odds: 1.4

14/1

For Gina

27.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 8.8 Odds: 4

9/2

Lihyan

27.2

OR: 16 Form: 9 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Southern Babylon

23.8

OR: 14 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Shantou Express

18.9

OR: 16.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Imperial Merlin

18.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Storm Nelson

OR: 17.3 Form: 0.3 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Giovanni Change	126	128	112
Imperial Merlin	125	126	92
Legionar	123	128	117
Storm Nelson	119	124	95
Shantou Express	117	128	129
Lihyan	114	127	108
Porter In The Park	108	129	113
For Gina	108	124	115
Southern Babylon	106	119	100
Burrows Hall	105	126	113

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Porter In The Park	16d ago	Fit
Shantou Express	16d ago	Fit
Lihyan	21d ago	Fit
Legionar	26d ago	Fit
For Gina	26d ago	Fit
Storm Nelson	27d ago	Fit
Imperial Merlin	61d ago	Fresh
Burrows Hall	65d ago	Fresh
Southern Babylon	105d ago	Long break
Giovanni Change	136d ago	Long break