Mariner Systems Fillies' Handicap – Ascot

Ascot

16:20

Mariner Systems Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-05-11

Distance 1m1f212y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £10,808

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (10)	Turn Up The Heat Bay J:William Buick T:Ralph Beckett	J:William Buick T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	6-42	79	88	76	34d	—	—	-9	14.1	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Steady progress in three starts, finishing second at Bath last month; 1m2f should suit
6 (6)	Warda Jamila Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	126	—	41-6	80	85	56	22d	—	—	-6	13.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
May have needed last month's Newbury return and is bred to stay at least this far
4 (3)	Ciara Pearl Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Jim Crowley T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	139	—	12-111	78	86	20	13d	—	—	-4	11.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Record reads 212111 and another 5lb rise may not preclude another big effort
8 (1)	Miss Alpilles Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	121	—	364	75	82	54	22d	—	—	0	10.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has shown promise in two of her three starts; open to progress now handicapping
1 (7)	Prenup Bay J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:David Egan T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	142	—	1335-7	81	83	71	25d	—	—	+1	10.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Still 6lb above her last winning mark and 1m2f just appears to stretch her
10 (2)	Unreal Connection Bay J:J F Egan T:Amanda Perrett	J:J F Egan T:Amanda Perrett	115	—	8148-3	69	82	77	26d	—	—	+3	9.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
2l behind Ciara Pearl at Kempton last month; 8lb better off and longer trip should suit
3 (5)	Avon Light Chestnut J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Lewis Edmunds T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	141	t	3-4211	80	86	47	35d	—	—	+5	11.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Bids for a hat-trick after two wins on the AW, but has to prove herself back on turf
5 (8)	Meleri Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	J:Pat Cosgrave T:Jim Boyle	128	—	2471-9	67	86	76	33d	—	—	+1	5.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Two wins over this trip, but well behind Ciara Pearl on last month's Lingfield return
9 (9)	Liv My Life Bay J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(5) T:Richard Hannon	121	—	01949-	75	83	78	185d	—	—	+7	10.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Returns from six months off, but is bred for middle-distances on the dam's side
2 (4)	Moogie Grey J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	141	h	9711-5	80	84	2	35d	—	—	+5	8.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three wins over 1m2f on AW last year, but has run poorly in both starts on turf; hood on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Turn Up The Heat	5/2	11/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
Warda Jamila	3/1	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
Ciara Pearl	11/2	5/1	4/1	5/1	5/1
Miss Alpilles	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Prenup	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Unreal Connection	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Avon Light	16/1	14/1	18/1	14/1	14/1
Meleri	20/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Liv My Life	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Moogie	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Turn Up The Heat

14.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9

11/4

2nd

Warda Jamila

13.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Ciara Pearl

11.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Avon Light

11.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Miss Alpilles

10.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Prenup

10.4

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Liv My Life

10.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1

28/1

Unreal Connection

9.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Moogie

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Meleri

5.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Prenup	81	83	71
Warda Jamila	80	85	56
Avon Light	80	86	47
Moogie	80	84	2
Turn Up The Heat	79	88	76
Ciara Pearl	78	86	20
Miss Alpilles	75	82	54
Liv My Life	75	83	78
Unreal Connection	69	82	77
Meleri	67	86	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ciara Pearl	13d ago	Quick return
Warda Jamila	22d ago	Fit
Miss Alpilles	22d ago	Fit
Prenup	25d ago	Fit
Unreal Connection	26d ago	Fit
Meleri	33d ago	Fit
Turn Up The Heat	34d ago	Fit
Avon Light	35d ago	Fit
Moogie	35d ago	Fit
Liv My Life	185d ago	Long break