NucleusHR Handicap – Leicester

Leicester

17:55

NucleusHR Handicap

Date 2024-05-11

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (16)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (7)	Catherine Chroi Bay J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	J:Mohammed Tabti(5) T:Iain Jardine	143	b	211611	68	69	59	6d	—	—	+7	35.4	9/4 31%
Thriving in 2nd spell with this yard, winning 4 of her last 6; 11lb higher than last time
3 (16)	Five Winds Bay J:Jason Hart T:Jack Jones	J:Jason Hart T:Jack Jones	137	—	43-646	62	73	58	15d	—	—	-10	8.2	9/2 18%
Two promising handicap runs at 7f; her half-sister excelled when dropped to 6f; unexposed
4 (3)	Shark Two One Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Jessica Macey	J:Joanna Mason T:Jessica Macey	133	b	118-50	58	73	35	15d	—	—	-7	5.6	8/1 11%
Two 7f wins last autumn, one of them here; could well step up on this year's efforts today
8 (5)	Captain Dandy Bay J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	J:David Nolan T:Richard Fahey	132	—	6616-1	57	73	61	33d	—	—	+6	14.1	17/2 11%
Won two of his last three and still looks feasibly treated; one for the shortlist
2 (1)	Rwenearlytheredad Bay J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	137	—	513-96	62	74	26	32d	—	—	-3	5.2	11/1 8%
Progressive last year; bogged down on slow ground so far this year; better expected now
7 (10)	Jack Of Clubs Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	132	—	309-36	57	73	52	12d	—	—	-4	3.9	12/1 8%
Poor strike-rate but placed on his reappearance and not beaten far on AW latest; fair mark
9 (13)	Blue Collar Lad Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Alice Haynes	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Alice Haynes	131	p	431563	56	75	46	12d	—	—	+4	9.7	14/1 7%
Made all for an easy win on AW in March; fair efforts since and rider's claim useful
5 (6)	All In The Hips Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:David Evans	J:Dylan Hogan T:David Evans	133	—	216865	58	74	61	57d	—	—	0	5.6	16/1 6%
Won off this mark at Chelmsford in January; return to 6f a plus; each-way shout
13 (8)	Nubough Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Mark Pattinson	J:Paddy Bradley T:Mark Pattinson	127	t	5-8154	52	72	51	26d	—	—	-2	1.6	25/1 4%
Fair mark back on turf but he's an infrequent winner and this looks too competitive
10 (12)	Gatwick Kitten Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	J:Robert Havlin T:Ed Dunlop	130	t	73555-	55	75	63	183d	—	—	-1	3.2	25/1 4%
Won three 6f events on turf last summer; needs to be at his best to win here after break
11 (15)	My Genghis Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Tony Carroll	J:Nicola Currie T:Tony Carroll	128	—	657-76	53	74	61	11d	—	—	-2	1.8	25/1 4%
On a dangerous mark and latest run was more promising; easier 6f perhaps ideal though
12 (9)	Tilsworth Turf Chestnut J:Edward Greatrex T:J R Jenkins	J:Edward Greatrex T:J R Jenkins	127	—	948781	52	71	52	14d	—	—	+9	11.2	33/1 3%
Sprung 125-1 shock over C&D two weeks ago (soft); can he back it up on the faster ground?
14 (4)	Peachey Carnehan Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Mullineaux	125	v	151670	50	72	37	14d	—	—	+1	3.7	33/1 3%
Two AW wins this winter and has two wins at Leicester on his CV too
NR (2)	Gherkin Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	132	b	3061-5	57	76	63	19d	—	—	—	1.8	—
Ended 2023 with an easy win and travelled well for a long way on his return; interesting
NR (14)	Piranheer Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Jim & Suzi Best	125	v	07-008	50	70	-	10d	—	—	—	0	—
Struggling for new yard; needs the new visor to make a dramatic difference
NR (11)	Autumn Flight Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	121	eb	094784	46	66	56	9d	—	—	—	0	—
Should be competitive at this level but others bring more pressing claims; front-runner

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Catherine Chroi	2/1	9/4	9/4	2/1	2/1
Five Winds	4/1	7/2	9/2	4/1	4/1
Shark Two One	8/1	15/2	11/2	7/1	7/1
Captain Dandy	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Rwenearlytheredad	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	9/1
Jack Of Clubs	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Blue Collar Lad	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
All In The Hips	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Nubough	25/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Gatwick Kitten	25/1	22/1	18/1	22/1	20/1
My Genghis	25/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Tilsworth Turf	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Peachey Carnehan	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Catherine Chroi

35.4

OR: 4.5 Form: 22 Odds: 8.9

9/4

2nd

Captain Dandy

14.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.4

17/2

3rd

Tilsworth Turf

11.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Blue Collar Lad

9.7

OR: 1.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Five Winds

8.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Shark Two One

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

All In The Hips

5.6

OR: 2 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Rwenearlytheredad

5.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Jack Of Clubs

3.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Peachey Carnehan

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Gatwick Kitten

3.2

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.1

25/1

My Genghis

1.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Gherkin

1.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Nubough

1.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Piranheer

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Autumn Flight

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Catherine Chroi	68	69	59
Five Winds	62	73	58
Rwenearlytheredad	62	74	26
Shark Two One	58	73	35
All In The Hips	58	74	61
Captain Dandy	57	73	61
Jack Of Clubs	57	73	52
Gherkin	57	76	63
Blue Collar Lad	56	75	46
Gatwick Kitten	55	75	63
My Genghis	53	74	61
Nubough	52	72	51
Tilsworth Turf	52	71	52
Peachey Carnehan	50	72	37
Piranheer	50	70	—
Autumn Flight	46	66	56

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Catherine Chroi	6d ago	Quick return
Autumn Flight	9d ago	Quick return
Piranheer	10d ago	Quick return
My Genghis	11d ago	Quick return
Jack Of Clubs	12d ago	Quick return
Blue Collar Lad	12d ago	Quick return
Tilsworth Turf	14d ago	Fit
Peachey Carnehan	14d ago	Fit
Five Winds	15d ago	Fit
Shark Two One	15d ago	Fit
Gherkin	19d ago	Fit
Nubough	26d ago	Fit
Rwenearlytheredad	32d ago	Fit
Captain Dandy	33d ago	Fit
All In The Hips	57d ago	Fresh
Gatwick Kitten	183d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Autumn Flight	Front Runner
Jack Of Clubs	Prominent
Captain Dandy	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 16 runners classified.