Judy Robinson Big Birthday Handicap – Leicester

Leicester

19:55

Judy Robinson Big Birthday Handicap

Date 2024-05-11

Distance 1m53y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,664

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1 (3)	Nikovo Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	140	—	000-11	77	88	63	9d	—	—	-13	15.6	7/4 36%
Back to back wins (both 1m, AW) for this trainer; back up 3lb; player.
2 (5)	Law Supreme Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Ian Williams	J:Josephine Gordon T:Ian Williams	138	—	227091	75	83	60	13d	—	—	+5	22.3	7/2 22%
Scored at Bath (1m, soft) latest; up 4lb but placed recently from this mark; contender.
3 (8)	Tobetso Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	136	—	2147-5	73	85	73	23d	—	—	-1	8.3	15/2 12%
Looked in need of his reappearance; better for that and has claims on his best form.
6 (1)	War Of Words Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Alex French	J:Connor Beasley T:Alex French	135	—	1266/8	72	81	-	52d	—	—	-2	8.4	13/2 13%
Made a positive return from a layoff latest; drops 2lb and a player if stepping up.
7 (4)	Mumayaz Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Tony Carroll	J:Cieren Fallon T:Tony Carroll	133	t	431614	70	83	60	19d	—	—	+9	18.1	15/2 12%
Hold-up horse who couldn't find a gap at a vital stage latest; each-way player.
10 (10)	Khathak Brown J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	122	tv	-67494	59	81	81	18d	—	—	-4	4.6	8/1 11%
The handicapper is relenting but he still has to take advantage.
5 (2)	Savanna King Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	135	—	5643-	72	80	60	308d	—	—	+4	10.2	11/1 8%
Returns for first start since being gelded; trip may be a bit on the sharp side for him.
9 (7)	Pending Appeal Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Kevin Frost	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Kevin Frost	123	—	3897-7	60	77	60	21d	—	—	+1	3	40/1 2%
Form has tailed off for both previous and current trainer; handy mark if revived.
NR (6)	Royal Jet Chestnut J:Edward Greatrex T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	J:Edward Greatrex T:Edward Smyth-Osbourne	135	t	7/1-6	72	78	52	24d	—	—	—	12.5	—
7f course winner; step up to 1m positive; open to improvement and needs that to figure.
NR (9)	At Liberty Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	131	p	162607	68	83	60	28d	—	—	—	6	—
Below par on his last three starts; not sure this trip is what he needs to show his best.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Nikovo	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Law Supreme	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Tobetso	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
War Of Words	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Mumayaz	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Khathak	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Savanna King	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Pending Appeal	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Law Supreme

22.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 11 Odds: 5

7/2

2nd

Mumayaz

18.1

OR: 5 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.5

15/2

3rd

Nikovo

15.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

7/4

Royal Jet

12.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Savanna King

10.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

11/1

War Of Words

8.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Tobetso

8.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

At Liberty

OR: 4.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Khathak

4.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Pending Appeal

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nikovo	77	88	63
Law Supreme	75	83	60
Tobetso	73	85	73
War Of Words	72	81	—
Savanna King	72	80	60
Royal Jet	72	78	52
Mumayaz	70	83	60
At Liberty	68	83	60
Pending Appeal	60	77	60
Khathak	59	81	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nikovo	9d ago	Quick return
Law Supreme	13d ago	Quick return
Khathak	18d ago	Fit
Mumayaz	19d ago	Fit
Pending Appeal	21d ago	Fit
Tobetso	23d ago	Fit
Royal Jet	24d ago	Fit
At Liberty	28d ago	Fit
War Of Words	52d ago	Fresh
Savanna King	308d ago	Long break