www.roscommonracecourse.ie Handicap – Roscommon

Roscommon

17:55

www.roscommonracecourse.ie Handicap

Date 2024-05-13

Distance 7f148y

Class

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,785

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (13)	May Night Chestnut J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Denis Gerard Hogan	138	p	-02611	76	82	60	3d	—	—	+12	30.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Made all at Cork three days ago and has an obvious chance under a penalty
1 (3)	Orandi Bay J:Jack Kearney(5) T:A J Martin	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:A J Martin	146	t	00/681	84	81	74	7d	—	—	+1	11.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Useful in France; found his form at the Curragh last week; more to offer perhaps
2 (12)	Brave Troop Brown J:Luke McAteer T:Barry J Fitzgerald	J:Luke McAteer T:Barry J Fitzgerald	141	—	4003-9	79	90	73	23d	—	—	+1	9.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Capable 7f handicapper off this mark; perhaps found 6f too sharp on reappearance
14 (2)	Arch Enemy Grey J:Sean Bird(7) T:Patrick Magee	J:Sean Bird(7) T:Patrick Magee	130	—	699-73	68	87	74	7d	—	—	-2	6.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Best on good ground so latest third to Orandi on soft can be upgraded
10 (6)	Polar Bear Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	137	v	60-507	75	94	53	14d	—	—	+1	8.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Nearest at the finish at Naas (6f) last time, offering hope for this belated return to 7f
15 (7)	Rockbury Lad Grey J:Colin Keane T:M D O'Callaghan	J:Colin Keane T:M D O'Callaghan	130	heb	647-72	68	85	68	52d	—	—	-1	6.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Sole win in 24 came on the AW and he's probably a better horse on that surface
11 (4)	Brains Bay J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:R Donohoe	J:Adam Caffrey(5) T:R Donohoe	134	tb	920823	72	85	60	33d	—	—	+9	14.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Multiple AW winner; ran well on ground too testing last time at Leopardstown
9 (16)	Church Mountain Bay J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J:J M Sheridan T:Denis Gerard Hogan	137	t	19727-	75	91	79	226d	—	—	+9	13	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not handicapped out of contention and his penultimate run was a good one
12 (10)	Little Keilee Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Nathan Crosse T:Ciaran Murphy	133	—	-53608	71	82	13	36d	—	—	+3	7.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Only midfield on her return to turf last month and others are preferred
7 (1)	Shoot To Kill Bay J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Cian MacRedmond(5) T:Adrian McGuinness	138	—	8-2559	76	83	-	45d	—	—	+4	7.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Slowly away last time; usually likes to be up there and enters the equation
13 (9)	Rio Largo Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Luke Comer	J:Declan McDonogh T:Luke Comer	132	—	80-440	70	89	45	22d	—	—	+2	6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Latest run not his best but still considered as a dual 7f winner on turf
8 (11)	True Statesman b/br J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	J:Ronan Whelan T:Adrian McGuinness	138	—	33-044	76	87	55	103d	—	—	+4	7.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Both wins for the Johnstons came at two; consistent though; bought for 11,000gns
4 (15)	Gustavus Weston Brown J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	138	—	27-000	76	93	42	23d	—	—	+4	7.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Not in the best of form and he's 0-5 when sent beyond 6f
3 (8)	Excuzio Joe Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:P J F Murphy	J:Gavin Ryan T:P J F Murphy	141	—	2/290-	79	84	77	190d	—	—	+8	11.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Three-time winner; quiet on last two runs; rain would help matters; stable debut
6 (5)	Mile End Bay J:Ben Coen T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Ben Coen T:Ciaran Murphy	138	—	656-60	76	87	50	22d	—	—	+5	7.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well held in two runs for this yard but the latest at the Curragh wasn't devoid of promise
NR (14)	Giuseppe Cassioli Bay J:TBC T:Gerard O'Leary	J: T:Gerard O'Leary	130	—	84240-	68	92	70	213d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Reserve; all three wins on AW but pushed Church Mountain close at Killarney last summer

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
May Night	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Orandi	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Brave Troop	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Arch Enemy	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Polar Bear	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Rockbury Lad	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Brains	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Church Mountain	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Little Keilee	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Shoot To Kill	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Rio Largo	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
True Statesman	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Gustavus Weston	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Excuzio Joe	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Mile End	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

May Night

30.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 5.2

10/3

2nd

Brains

14.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.4

14/1

3rd

Church Mountain

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Excuzio Joe

11.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Orandi

11.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Brave Troop

9.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Polar Bear

8.4

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Shoot To Kill

7.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Little Keilee

7.4

OR: 5.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

16/1

True Statesman

7.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Gustavus Weston

7.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Mile End

7.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Giuseppe Cassioli

OR: 4.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Arch Enemy

6.9

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Rockbury Lad

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Rio Largo

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Orandi	84	81	74
Brave Troop	79	90	73
Excuzio Joe	79	84	77
May Night	76	82	60
Shoot To Kill	76	83	—
True Statesman	76	87	55
Gustavus Weston	76	93	42
Mile End	76	87	50
Polar Bear	75	94	53
Church Mountain	75	91	79
Brains	72	85	60
Little Keilee	71	82	13
Rio Largo	70	89	45
Arch Enemy	68	87	74
Rockbury Lad	68	85	68
Giuseppe Cassioli	68	92	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
May Night	3d ago	Quick return
Orandi	7d ago	Quick return
Arch Enemy	7d ago	Quick return
Polar Bear	14d ago	Fit
Rio Largo	22d ago	Fit
Mile End	22d ago	Fit
Brave Troop	23d ago	Fit
Gustavus Weston	23d ago	Fit
Brains	33d ago	Fit
Little Keilee	36d ago	Fit
Shoot To Kill	45d ago	Fit
Rockbury Lad	52d ago	Fresh
True Statesman	103d ago	Long break
Excuzio Joe	190d ago	Long break
Giuseppe Cassioli	213d ago	Long break
Church Mountain	226d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Brains	Prominent
Shoot To Kill	Prominent
Little Keilee	Mid-Pack
Rio Largo	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 4 of 16 runners classified.