Tom Jones Live In July Handicap (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier) (Div I)

Chepstow

17:40

Date 2024-05-14

Distance 1m14y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (9)	Eye Of The Water Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Ronald Harris	J:Liam Keniry T:Ronald Harris	133	p	56-482	58	75	39	16d	—	—	-13	8.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
A few near-misses to his name here and any rain will work in his favour; shortlisted
9 (5)	Mayz Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:John Gallagher	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Gallagher	126	—	017-73	51	72	41	13d	—	—	-12	5.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Nothing wrong with her recent Brighton third (good) off this mark; holds leading claims
6 (8)	Believe You Me Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Heather Main	J:Cieren Fallon T:Heather Main	133	p	1867-8	58	74	61	18d	—	—	-10	7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Stable form could be better but she's entitled to have come on from her recent comeback
7 (4)	Khangai Bay J:David Probert T:Mark Rimell	J:David Probert T:Mark Rimell	132	t	56027-	57	74	60	145d	—	—	-5	9.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Best efforts have come under aggressive rides over 1m2f; this trip is the obvious worry
1 (6)	Glencalvie Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Phil McEntee	J:Callum Shepherd T:Phil McEntee	136	—	559610	61	71	40	24d	—	—	+1	13.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Had excuses on soft ground latest; had previously won off 3lb lower and should do better
2 (7)	Rose Fandango Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:John O'Shea	J:Rossa Ryan T:John O'Shea	135	tb	8-9715	60	72	-	19d	—	—	-4	5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Gets away with this trip but it does seem to stretch her; Rossa Ryan is a positive booking
8 (1)	Long Call Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	129	—	7120-7	54	73	50	13d	—	—	-2	2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Veteran whose wins last summer came over 1m4f/hurdles; this trip is an absolute minimum
3 (3)	Flame Of Kodiac Bay J:William Cox T:John & Rhys Flint	J:William Cox T:John & Rhys Flint	134	p	08579-	59	61	33	190d	—	—	+1	2.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Struggled in three runs for new connections having been picked up for 12,000gns last July
NR (2)	Enzos Angel Grey J:Marco Ghiani T:Neil Mulholland	J:Marco Ghiani T:Neil Mulholland	134	t	-16429	59	74	-	26d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Capable off this mark on AW but has achieved little in seven turf starts

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Eye Of The Water	3/1	3/1	10/3	3/1	11/4
Mayz	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Believe You Me	7/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Khangai	9/2	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Glencalvie	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Rose Fandango	8/1	17/2	15/2	8/1	15/2
Long Call	25/1	22/1	25/1	20/1	22/1
Flame Of Kodiac	66/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Glencalvie

13.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

6/1

2nd

Khangai

9.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Eye Of The Water

8.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Enzos Angel

7.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

Believe You Me

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Mayz

5.3

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Rose Fandango

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Flame Of Kodiac

2.8

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Long Call

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Glencalvie	61	71	40
Rose Fandango	60	72	—
Flame Of Kodiac	59	61	33
Enzos Angel	59	74	—
Eye Of The Water	58	75	39
Believe You Me	58	74	61
Khangai	57	74	60
Long Call	54	73	50
Mayz	51	72	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mayz	13d ago	Quick return
Long Call	13d ago	Quick return
Eye Of The Water	16d ago	Fit
Believe You Me	18d ago	Fit
Rose Fandango	19d ago	Fit
Glencalvie	24d ago	Fit
Enzos Angel	26d ago	Fit
Khangai	145d ago	Long break
Flame Of Kodiac	190d ago	Long break