Shania Twain Live In July Handicap – Chepstow

Chepstow

19:10

Shania Twain Live In July Handicap

Date 2024-05-14

Distance 5f16y

Class Class 6

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Joy Choi Bay J:William Carson T:Malcolm Saunders	J:William Carson T:Malcolm Saunders	135	p	133-22	59	73	58	8d	—	—	-15	9.5	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Narrowly beaten by Under Curfew last Monday; holds leading claims in first-time headgear
6 (7)	Notre Maison Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	J:Callum Shepherd T:Stuart Kittow	128	p	2227-4	52	72	62	21d	—	—	-12	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Solid return (6f, Tapeta); there's not much wiggle room off this mark but she's respected
4 (3)	Rhubarb Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Price	J:Tom Marquand T:Richard Price	130	—	14-984	54	74	45	4d	—	—	-11	6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Four-time course winner in 2022 who offered something again last Friday; each-way claims
1 (6)	Under Curfew Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(7) T:Tony Carroll	137	—	234-51	61	70	55	8d	—	—	-4	5.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Bit on to confirm placings with Joy Choi but he's more consistent than most at this level
7 (8)	Tommytwohoots Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Shaun Harris	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Shaun Harris	123	—	694524	47	72	50	17d	—	—	-2	5.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Arrives in fair form but others make more appeal under tonight's conditions
8 (4)	Louis Treize Chestnut J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Deborah Faulkner	122	h	367-69	46	72	74	36d	—	—	-4	1.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Very short price to blow the start and he's struggled in his two runs this spring
5 (5)	Won't Stand Down Chestnut J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rod Millman	J:Gina Mangan(3) T:Rod Millman	130	—	90-5	54	70	20	16d	—	—	-3	2.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Starts handicap life on a lowly mark; interesting to see how she goes in the betting
NR (1)	Jacquelina Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	135	—	362271	59	69	62	8d	—	—	—	16.3	—	—
A win and two seconds over C&D last summer; 5lb penalty puts her on a career-high mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Joy Choi	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Notre Maison	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Rhubarb	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Under Curfew	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Tommytwohoots	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Louis Treize	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Won't Stand Down	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jacquelina

16.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 14 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Joy Choi

9.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

9/4

3rd

Rhubarb

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Notre Maison

5.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Tommytwohoots

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Under Curfew

5.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.6

15/2

Won't Stand Down

2.4

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Louis Treize

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Under Curfew	61	70	55
Joy Choi	59	73	58
Jacquelina	59	69	62
Rhubarb	54	74	45
Won't Stand Down	54	70	20
Notre Maison	52	72	62
Tommytwohoots	47	72	50
Louis Treize	46	72	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rhubarb	4d ago	Quick return
Joy Choi	8d ago	Quick return
Under Curfew	8d ago	Quick return
Jacquelina	8d ago	Quick return
Won't Stand Down	16d ago	Fit
Tommytwohoots	17d ago	Fit
Notre Maison	21d ago	Fit
Louis Treize	36d ago	Fit