Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

17:52

Download The Raceday Ready App Handicap

Date 2024-05-16

Distance 1m4f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Honrado Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	J:Kevin Stott T:Michael Bell	133	h	407-6	57	67	-	16d	—	—	-14	8.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Open to improvement with Yarmouth reappearance under his belt
3 (4)	Publicity Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:John Butler	J:Paddy Bradley T:John Butler	133	b	3-7312	57	71	63	15d	—	—	-8	8.9	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Recent form includes a C&D win; open to further progress at 1m4f; leading contender
1 (10)	Veer Grey J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	135	h	67-7	59	64	25	36d	—	—	-9	6.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
May improve now handicapping and upped in trip; interesting
4 (1)	Bella Grazia Bay J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Jack Gilligan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	133	—	8859-3	57	65	51	15d	—	—	-5	8.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
About 3l behind Publicity on reappearance but should build on that effort; shortlisted
7 (5)	Hound Dog Bay J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	J:Franny Norton T:Charlie Johnston	129	—	470-	53	69	-	188d	—	—	-6	3.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Pedigree suggests he's a potential improver upped to 1m4f on handicap debut
6 (9)	Ronnie Raven Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Ed Dunlop	J:Jack Mitchell T:Ed Dunlop	130	b	70-98	54	71	19	16d	—	—	-6	3.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
New trip and first-time headgear are possible sources of improvement
8 (7)	Marmalade Lady Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Hughie Morrison	J:George Bass(3) T:Hughie Morrison	128	—	088-	52	59	24	162d	—	—	-5	2.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Pedigree suggests she may improve a good deal for new trip on handicap debut
2 (8)	Sun Dancer Girl Bay J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson(3) T:Andrew Balding	134	—	8-6235	58	73	65	18d	—	—	-3	3.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Best effort when second at Kempton in February; place claims on that form
9 (6)	Miss Dubai Bay J:George Rooke T:Denis Coakley	J:George Rooke T:Denis Coakley	123	—	8686-4	47	64	45	28d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Needs to build on Chelmsford reappearance effort
10 (2)	Pagan King Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Darragh Keenan T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	121	—	060-	45	54	-	237d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Achieved very little last year; makes handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Honrado	3/1	10/3	3/1	10/3	3/1
Publicity	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2
Veer	5/1	5/1	9/2	11/2	9/2
Bella Grazia	13/2	13/2	7/1	6/1	6/1
Hound Dog	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	7/1
Ronnie Raven	9/1	8/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Marmalade Lady	12/1	12/1	11/1	14/1	11/1
Sun Dancer Girl	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1
Miss Dubai	33/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Pagan King	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Publicity

8.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Bella Grazia

8.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

7/1

3rd

Honrado

8.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Veer

6.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Sun Dancer Girl

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ronnie Raven

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Hound Dog

3.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Marmalade Lady

2.4

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Miss Dubai

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Pagan King

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Veer	59	64	25
Sun Dancer Girl	58	73	65
Honrado	57	67	—
Publicity	57	71	63
Bella Grazia	57	65	51
Ronnie Raven	54	71	19
Hound Dog	53	69	—
Marmalade Lady	52	59	24
Miss Dubai	47	64	45
Pagan King	45	54	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Publicity	15d ago	Fit
Bella Grazia	15d ago	Fit
Honrado	16d ago	Fit
Ronnie Raven	16d ago	Fit
Sun Dancer Girl	18d ago	Fit
Miss Dubai	28d ago	Fit
Veer	36d ago	Fit
Marmalade Lady	162d ago	Long break
Hound Dog	188d ago	Long break
Pagan King	237d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m4f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.