Highclere Castle Gin Carnarvon Stakes (Listed Race)

Newbury

14:25

Date 2024-05-18

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £36,862

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13 (6)	Relief Rally Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	123	—	1211-4	105	121	116	28d	—	—	-2	20.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Seemed not stay 7f in Fred Darling; major player if recapturing her juvenile form
5 (11)	James's Delight Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	35-191	102	122	104	14d	—	—	+1	18	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two impressive 6f wins this year; won't be inconvenienced if the going softens; big chance
11 (4)	Adaay In Devon Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Rod Millman	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Rod Millman	126	—	2-4112	102	118	101	17d	—	—	+6	20.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Likeable filly; second in Commonwealth Cup Trial; should be in the thick of things again
8 (1)	Mister Sketch Bay J:James Doyle T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:James Doyle T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	212-6	101	113	86	28d	—	—	+4	16.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Close second in Mill Reef and better than result in Greenham; unexposed; big chance
3 (2)	Elite Status Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	128	—	13178-	102	115	102	231d	—	—	+14	23.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Came up short in Group 1s after French Group 3 win; could resume progress after a break
10 (14)	Room Service Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	1331-7	102	114	104	28d	—	—	+4	16.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Soft-ground sales race winner last year; had excuse on return; strongly considered
9 (8)	Pocklington Bay J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	J:Harry Russell T:Geoff Oldroyd	128	—	11	-	111	-	76d	—	—	+12	18.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Bred to be smart; 2-2 on Newcastle AW; up in grade but could be anything
7 (13)	Malc Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	128	—	1264-	103	111	104	246d	—	—	+15	20	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Outpaced last two 2yo runs; possibilities judged on Group 2 Royal Ascot second last June
14 (10)	Symbology Grey J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	J:Rossa Ryan T:Clive Cox	123	—	13378-	99	116	105	231d	—	—	+14	17.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Stiff tasks after making winning debut last year; needs to raise her game on reappearance
2 (9)	Dawn Charger Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	128	—	17212-	105	115	104	224d	—	—	+27	31.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Group 3 winner in excellent 2yo campaign; may not have reached her ceiling just yet
12 (5)	Queen Of Mougins Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	123	—	14-6	90	107	79	16d	—	—	+8	10.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
C&D debut winner; disappointing at Chelmsford first time out; lots to find on form
6 (3)	Louis Barthas Bay J:J F Egan T:Ollie Sangster	J:J F Egan T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	3-	-	78	-	185d	—	—	+1	3.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Promising third at Kempton on sole 2yo start; stern assignment on today's reappearance
1 (12)	Action Point Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	128	—	443-28	99	110	100	33d	—	—	+11	12.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
C&D 2yo Listed winner; disappointing in France last time; others have stronger form claims
4 (7)	Inishfallen Bay J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	J:Sean Levey T:Brian Meehan	128	—	3264-0	97	107	86	17d	—	—	+11	12.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Well-held last of ten on reappearance; plenty to find, even on his best form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Relief Rally	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	3/1
James's Delight	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Adaay In Devon	5/1	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Mister Sketch	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Elite Status	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Room Service	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Pocklington	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Malc	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Symbology	25/1	22/1	22/1	28/1	22/1
Dawn Charger	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Queen Of Mougins	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Louis Barthas	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Action Point	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Inishfallen	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Dawn Charger

31.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 16.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

2nd

Elite Status

23.6

OR: 13 Form: 7.9 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Adaay In Devon

20.7

OR: 13 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.2

11/2

Relief Rally

20.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.5

7/2

Malc

OR: 13.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.3

20/1

Pocklington

18.7

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 1.7

14/1

James's Delight

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Symbology

17.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1

28/1

Mister Sketch

16.4

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Room Service

16.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 3.4

15/2

Action Point

12.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Inishfallen

12.1

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Queen Of Mougins

10.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Louis Barthas

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Relief Rally	105	121	116
Dawn Charger	105	115	104
Malc	103	111	104
James's Delight	102	122	104
Adaay In Devon	102	118	101
Elite Status	102	115	102
Room Service	102	114	104
Mister Sketch	101	113	86
Symbology	99	116	105
Action Point	99	110	100
Inishfallen	97	107	86
Queen Of Mougins	90	107	79
Pocklington	—	111	—
Louis Barthas	—	78	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
James's Delight	14d ago	Fit
Queen Of Mougins	16d ago	Fit
Adaay In Devon	17d ago	Fit
Inishfallen	17d ago	Fit
Relief Rally	28d ago	Fit
Mister Sketch	28d ago	Fit
Room Service	28d ago	Fit
Action Point	33d ago	Fit
Pocklington	76d ago	Fresh
Louis Barthas	185d ago	Long break
Dawn Charger	224d ago	Long break
Elite Status	231d ago	Long break
Symbology	231d ago	Long break
Malc	246d ago	Long break