Download The Fitzdares App Now Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

16:55

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Date 2024-05-22

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Born Ruler Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	135	—	7315-2	79	95	80	20d	—	—	-11	22.9	0.34/1	11/8 42%
This drop back in trip looks in order after his Lingfield 2nd at 1m4f; set for a bold show
5 (1)	Pol Roger Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	126	p	408-71	70	89	43	20d	—	—	-8	10.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Won comfortably in five-runner C&D race (good) latest; back up 4lb but still has a shout
2 (7)	Jean Baptiste Bay J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jason Hart T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	p	459-22	79	93	71	10d	—	—	-4	11.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
On a losing run but reappeared with good seconds at Ayr (1m2f) and Newcastle (1m2f, AW)
7 (3)	Highwaygrey Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	124	p	7351-5	68	93	80	12d	—	—	-1	6.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Only one win in each of 2021, 2022 and 2023 seasons but plenty suggests he is e-w player
8 (8)	Glasses Up Chestnut J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	J:Paddy Mathers T:R Mike Smith	122	—	7578-3	66	91	86	23d	—	—	+2	9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Course specialist who looks ready to have his say again
3 (6)	Bashful Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	133	tp	-62459	77	91	57	23d	—	—	+4	9.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Back on Flat for last three starts and he didn't show enough on last two occasions
6 (5)	Ayr Poet Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Jim Goldie	124	—	33235-	68	90	82	193d	—	—	+8	11.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Major shout if in good form but first time out may not be the best chance for him to shine
NR (4)	Savrola Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Dianne Sayer	131	p	75245-	75	86	35	218d	—	—	—	8.8	—	—
2lb below his last winning mark (from last May); left J Ferguson for 30,000gns in October

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Born Ruler	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8	11/8
Pol Roger	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Jean Baptiste	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Highwaygrey	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Glasses Up	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Bashful	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Ayr Poet	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Born Ruler

22.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 5 Odds: 10.6

11/8

2nd

Jean Baptiste

11.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Ayr Poet

11.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 6.1 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Pol Roger

10.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Bashful

9.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.5

16/1

Glasses Up

OR: 4 Form: 3 Odds: 2

12/1

Savrola

8.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0

—

Highwaygrey

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Born Ruler	79	95	80
Jean Baptiste	79	93	71
Bashful	77	91	57
Savrola	75	86	35
Pol Roger	70	89	43
Highwaygrey	68	93	80
Ayr Poet	68	90	82
Glasses Up	66	91	86

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jean Baptiste	10d ago	Quick return
Highwaygrey	12d ago	Quick return
Born Ruler	20d ago	Fit
Pol Roger	20d ago	Fit
Glasses Up	23d ago	Fit
Bashful	23d ago	Fit
Ayr Poet	193d ago	Long break
Savrola	218d ago	Long break