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Ayr

15:50

Date 2024-05-22

Distance 1m

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Kelpie Grey Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	140	—	14-111	83	89	76	8d	—	—	-10	16.3	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Made it 3-3 for the year when making all here last week; has to be respected under penalty
8 (2)	Garden Oasis Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	126	p	0757-4	69	95	88	21d	—	—	-2	7.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Form went the wrong way last season but he's on a reduced mark and is 2-3 here
2 (7)	Maysong Chestnut J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Alice Haynes	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Alice Haynes	134	p	8-7327	77	92	82	60d	—	—	-1	9.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
In good form on AW prior to Spring Mile 7th; might not be far away now back down in grade
3 (4)	Nikovo Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	134	—	00-113	77	94	-	11d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-8	12.9	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Unlucky third at Leicester when bidding for hat-trick; may well make amends off same mark
4 (8)	Nahori Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Thomas Gibney	J:Oisin Orr T:Thomas Gibney	132	—	1-605	75	86	57	28d	—	—	+10	14.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Lightly raced Irish challenger, but she hasn't really threatened in her three handicaps
5 (6)	Cancan In The Rain Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	132	—	10744-	75	88	83	218d	—	—	0	11.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Gelded since last seen and he's 1lb lower than when winning at Newmarket last June
6 (1)	Trais Fluors b/br J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Linda Perratt	131	—	401737	74	87	74	17d	—	—	+9	11.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Perhaps good to soft didn't suit at Hamilton latest; could bounce back if conditions okay
9 (3)	Tommy G Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Jim Goldie	J:Sean Kirrane T:Jim Goldie	126	—	30/20-	69	87	62	244d	—	—	+3	5.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Eight-time course winner; ran just twice last season; possibly best watched on return
NR (9)	Jackhammer Bay J:Jason Hart T:Dianne Sayer	J:Jason Hart T:Dianne Sayer	127	p	6/14-4	70	89	82	17d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Ran well recently when back from a break and he likes it here; each-way player

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Kelpie Grey	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Garden Oasis	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Maysong	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Nikovo	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
Nahori	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Cancan In The Rain	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Trais Fluors	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Tommy G	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Kelpie Grey

16.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8

2/1

2nd

Nahori

14.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

14/1

3rd

Nikovo

12.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

11/4

Trais Fluors

11.8

OR: 6 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Cancan In The Rain

11.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Maysong

9.6

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Garden Oasis

7.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Tommy G

5.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Jackhammer

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kelpie Grey	83	89	76
Maysong	77	92	82
Nikovo	77	94	—
Nahori	75	86	57
Cancan In The Rain	75	88	83
Trais Fluors	74	87	74
Jackhammer	70	89	82
Garden Oasis	69	95	88
Tommy G	69	87	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kelpie Grey	8d ago	Quick return
Nikovo	11d ago	Quick return
Trais Fluors	17d ago	Fit
Jackhammer	17d ago	Fit
Garden Oasis	21d ago	Fit
Nahori	28d ago	Fit
Maysong	60d ago	Fresh
Cancan In The Rain	218d ago	Long break
Tommy G	244d ago	Long break