Unibet/British Stallion Studs EBF Fillies' Restricted Novice Stakes (Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Date 2024-05-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,672

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (6)	Spiritualism Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	J:Hollie Doyle T:Amy Murphy	128	—	4	-	77	-	21d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Travelled notably well on her Saint-Cloud debut before weakening into fourth (6f, soft)
1 (11)	Deal Maker Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	J:Richard Kingscote T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	13	-	76	60	41d	—	—	+3	12.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two runs at Southwell, winning on debut before a close third next time; 6f should suit
5 (1)	Aviation Time Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Hughes	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Richard Hughes	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Half-sister to a useful 6f-1m winner out of a 7f 2yo winner; yard 0-9 with 2yos this year
2 (7)	Dolly's Delight Bay J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	J:David Egan T:Michael Bell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	1.75/1	7/1 13%
60,000euro half-sister to 5f winner Airman (RPR 93); yard's few 2yo runners have gone well
8 (9)	Paint The Town Red Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Richard Spencer	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Richard Spencer	126	—	82	-	78	38	9d	—	—	-1	7.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Stayed on for second at Wolverhampton nine days ago; 6f should suit but improvement needed
7 (4)	Lightning Force Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	J:Trevor Whelan T:Ollie Sangster	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
32,000gns yearling; lots to like on paper and stable have useful 2yo filly in their ranks
10 (8)	Yala Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-18	7.6	0.53/1	85/40 32%
Half-sister to a useful sprinter; yard's 2yos off the mark for the year last week
3 (2)	Havana Gila Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	J:Hayley Turner T:Harry Eustace	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
First foal of a 6f AW winner; would like to see market support before getting involved
9 (10)	Whiskey Glasses Bay J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	J:Nicola Currie T:Ollie Sangster	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
30,000gns yearling; dam a 1m4f winner; one of two newcomers for the yard
12 (12)	Marrakesh Dawn Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
5,500gns foal; dam a 1m4f AW winner (RPR 81); one of two newcomers for Mark Usher
11 (5)	Leading Star Girl Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Mark Usher	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Mark Usher	124	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Some appeal on paper but yard not renowned for winning 2yo newcomers
NR (3)	Felina Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:David Menuisier	J:Oisin Murphy T:David Menuisier	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
27,000euros yearling; dam a well-related 1m winner; Oisin Murphy an eyecatching booking

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Spiritualism	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Deal Maker	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Aviation Time	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Dolly's Delight	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Paint The Town Red	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Lightning Force	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Yala	85/40	85/40	85/40	85/40	85/40
Havana Gila	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Whiskey Glasses	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Marrakesh Dawn	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Leading Star Girl	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Deal Maker

12.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

8/1

2nd

Yala

7.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.6

85/40

3rd

Paint The Town Red

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

Spiritualism

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Aviation Time

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Dolly's Delight

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Lightning Force

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Havana Gila

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Whiskey Glasses

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Marrakesh Dawn

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Leading Star Girl

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Felina

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spiritualism	—	77	—
Deal Maker	—	76	60
Aviation Time	—	—	—
Dolly's Delight	—	—	—
Paint The Town Red	—	78	38
Lightning Force	—	—	—
Yala	—	—	—
Havana Gila	—	—	—
Whiskey Glasses	—	—	—
Marrakesh Dawn	—	—	—
Leading Star Girl	—	—	—
Felina	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Paint The Town Red	9d ago	Quick return
Spiritualism	21d ago	Fit
Deal Maker	41d ago	Fit
Aviation Time	—	—
Dolly's Delight	—	—
Lightning Force	—	—
Yala	—	—
Havana Gila	—	—
Whiskey Glasses	—	—
Marrakesh Dawn	—	—
Leading Star Girl	—	—
Felina	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.