Unibet Support Safe Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands B, C & D) (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

19:30

Date 2024-05-22

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-4yo

Prize £3,780

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	Masterofgreygoose Grey J:Neil Callan T:Joseph Parr	J:Neil Callan T:Joseph Parr	128	—	4	-	72	37	27d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
40-1 but shaped with some promise in a weak Chelmsford maiden last month; gelded since
12 (5)	Smouldering Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	123	—	2	-	81	43	29d	—	—	-23	18.3	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Promising 2nd at Wolverhampton on debut; open to improvement and one to take seriously
4 (10)	Drumstick Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Bred to be useful and he's starting out in a modest novice event; betting to guide
5 (1)	Sedgemoor Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	130	—	2-0	-	67	-	32d	—	—	-4	6.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
His 2yo debut was encouraging but he was struggling some way out on his return last month
3 (4)	Dimsons Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jamie Osborne	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jamie Osborne	130	—	804-	73	79	26	195d	—	—	0	8.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Yet to build on an encouraging debut; gelded prior to his return; form claims but risky
9 (6)	Dazitoo Chestnut J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ed Walker	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Half-sister to winner Sweet Bertie (RPR 83); dam useful and well-related; check betting
8 (13)	Respectable Jack Bay J:Harry Davies T:Matt Crawley	J:Harry Davies T:Matt Crawley	126	—	9-3	-	73	39	27d	—	—	0	4.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ran well at Chelmsford (7f) on his reappearance; likely further progress will be needed
11 (8)	Hallie Angel Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	123	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Half-sister to four winners out of a middle-distance winner; worth a market check
10 (11)	Sweet Sister Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	J:George Bass(3) T:Denis Coakley	125	—	79-	-	73	33	230d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
In rear in two 7f runs as a 2yo; may come into her own once handicapping
7 (2)	Signature Blue Grey J:David Egan T:Jamie Osborne	J:David Egan T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	—	-	50	14	39d	—	—	-1	0.2	25.00/1	100/1 1%
100-1 and offered little at Wolverhampton last month (8.5f)
1 (12)	Chaotic Grey J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	141	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Nice pedigree but likely best watched on this belated debut
13 (9)	Five Threes Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Adam West	J:Trevor Whelan T:Adam West	121	—	67	-	58	-	13d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
125-1 and hasn't offered a huge amount in two turf runs this spring
2 (7)	Outlander Spirit Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Karen Jewell	J:Joey Haynes T:Karen Jewell	137	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Dam a 1m AW winner but he's best watched on this belated debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Masterofgreygoose	7/2	4/1	4/1	10/3	7/2
Smouldering	11/8	6/5	11/10	6/5	11/10
Drumstick	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2	5/1
Sedgemoor	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Dimsons	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Dazitoo	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Respectable Jack	20/1	18/1	20/1	16/1	18/1
Hallie Angel	40/1	40/1	33/1	50/1	33/1
Sweet Sister	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Signature Blue	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Chaotic	100/1	125/1	100/1	125/1	100/1
Five Threes	100/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Outlander Spirit	100/1	200/1	150/1	200/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Smouldering

18.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 13.3

11/8

2nd

Dimsons

8.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

3rd

Sedgemoor

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Masterofgreygoose

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Respectable Jack

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Drumstick

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Dazitoo

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Hallie Angel

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Sweet Sister

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Chaotic

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Signature Blue

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Five Threes

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Outlander Spirit

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dimsons	73	79	26
Masterofgreygoose	—	72	37
Smouldering	—	81	43
Drumstick	—	—	—
Sedgemoor	—	67	—
Dazitoo	—	—	—
Respectable Jack	—	73	39
Hallie Angel	—	—	—
Sweet Sister	—	73	33
Signature Blue	—	50	14
Chaotic	—	—	—
Five Threes	—	58	—
Outlander Spirit	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Five Threes	13d ago	Quick return
Masterofgreygoose	27d ago	Fit
Respectable Jack	27d ago	Fit
Smouldering	29d ago	Fit
Sedgemoor	32d ago	Fit
Signature Blue	39d ago	Fit
Dimsons	195d ago	Long break
Sweet Sister	230d ago	Long break
Drumstick	—	—
Dazitoo	—	—
Hallie Angel	—	—
Chaotic	—	—
Outlander Spirit	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.