Join Southwell Golf Club Mares' Maiden Hurdle (ARC Summer Novices' Brush Hurdle Qual') (GBB)(Div II)

Southwell

19:40

Date 2024-05-22

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Hard As Nails Bay J:Jack Hogan(3) T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Jack Hogan(3) T:Fergal O'Brien	156	—	/1132-	99	114	57	31d	—	—	-11	47.4	0.11/1	4/9 69%
Kelso bumper winner; solid effort (runner-up) at Stratford (2m); sets the benchmark.
3	Fashionelle Bay J:James Best T:Fergal O'Brien	J:James Best T:Fergal O'Brien	156	—	262/6-	-	102	90	52d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Runner-up in two bumpers; entitled to improve from opening Market Rasen hurdles effort.
6	The Last Drop Bay J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Richard Phillips	J:Finn Lambert(3) T:Richard Phillips	156	—	626-4	-	100	50	16d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Runner-up in a Tramore bumper (2m); about 18l fourth of nine on hurdles debut at Warwick
7	Trudie Glen Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	34-	-	-	-	180d	—	—	-3	4.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Placed in a Ludlow bumper; interesting to assess level of market support on hurdles debut.
2	Darting Rose Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Pam Sly	J:Paul O'Brien T:Pam Sly	156	—	4670-6	-	94	59	15d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Bit better on recent return to action over C&D (sixth, beaten 15l); could strip fitter.
8	Kuma Beach Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	150	—	7-8	-	91	43	8d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Eighth in a C&D maiden (150-1) last week offers a building block
9	Low Tolerance Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	150	—	8P-	-	-	-	30d	—	—	-1	0.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Pulled up at 200-1 on hurdles debut at Hexham; safer to look elsewhere.
NR	Annie Don b/br J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Oliver	J:NON-RUNNER T:Henry Oliver	156	—	P62-0	-	-	-	15d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Runner-up in an Irish point (third run); too free on stable/bumper debut; hurdles now.
NR	Misting Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Neil King	J:NON-RUNNER T:Neil King	156	—	00-65	-	88	23	4d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Beaten combined total of 74l in two attempts (Warwick & Uttoxeter; 2m-2m4f) over hurdles.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Hard As Nails	4/9	4/9	4/9	4/9	4/9
Fashionelle	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
The Last Drop	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Trudie Glen	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Darting Rose	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Kuma Beach	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Low Tolerance	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hard As Nails

47.4

OR: 12.3 Form: 15.1 Odds: 20

4/9

2nd

Fashionelle

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Trudie Glen

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2

12/1

The Last Drop

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Darting Rose

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Kuma Beach

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Low Tolerance

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Annie Don

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Misting

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hard As Nails	99	114	57
Fashionelle	—	102	90
The Last Drop	—	100	50
Trudie Glen	—	—	—
Darting Rose	—	94	59
Kuma Beach	—	91	43
Low Tolerance	—	—	—
Annie Don	—	—	—
Misting	—	88	23

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Misting	4d ago	Quick return
Kuma Beach	8d ago	Quick return
Darting Rose	15d ago	Fit
Annie Don	15d ago	Fit
The Last Drop	16d ago	Fit
Low Tolerance	30d ago	Fit
Hard As Nails	31d ago	Fit
Fashionelle	52d ago	Fresh
Trudie Glen	180d ago	Long break