Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap (Div I) – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:47

Best Odds Guaranteed At bet365 Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-05-23

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (7)	Tonal Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ian Williams	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ian Williams	137	tp	414004	57	70	58	10d	—	—	-15	11.8	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Exposed but possible he may have a little more to come on this surface; cheekpieces go on.
3 (1)	Amaysmont Bay J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Kevin Frost	137	—	547221	57	68	59	14d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+7	22.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Up 5lb for amateurs' race win (6f) here; consistent lately; each-way player.
2 (9)	Ballybaymoonshiner Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Murty McGrath	J:Shane Kelly T:Murty McGrath	137	v	9-1512	57	70	58	43d	—	—	-7	5.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
C&D winner who matched that effort latest; up 2lb; versatile tactically; player.
8 (5)	Outreach Grey J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	J:George Rooke T:Mark Usher	129	—	465335	49	69	62	22d	—	—	-4	6.5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Recent AW form gives him each-way claims but appears better at Wolverhampton than here.
5 (8)	Warrior Square Bay J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	J:Ray Dawson T:T J Kent	133	v	89-110	53	66	47	27d	—	—	-4	2.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Dual 7f winner, including on Polytrack; contender if you can forgive his latest effort.
6 (2)	Top Button Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	J:Marco Ghiani T:Stuart Williams	133	ht	-40769	53	72	61	35d	—	—	-3	2.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Competitive over C&D when 11lb higher last December; if headgear helps he could go well.
9 (3)	Sea The Buckthorn Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Mark Usher	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Mark Usher	127	h	-31597	47	69	63	26d	—	—	+1	4.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Below par in three starts since 7f win; overall record suggests we should look elsewhere.
7 (10)	Porfin Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	131	p	656738	51	69	56	24d	—	—	0	3.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Close from this mark on his penultimate start but little else recently to recommend him.
10 (4)	Miltonia Grey J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	J:Joanna Mason T:Ruth Carr	126	—	/7009-	46	66	33	209d	—	—	-2	0.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
0-10; well beaten final two starts in Ireland; check market for any clues on stable debut.
4 (6)	Dors Toyboy Grey J:William Carson T:Dean Ivory	J:William Carson T:Dean Ivory	134	p	-03506	54	68	58	14d	—	—	0	2.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
On a dangerous mark after a 12-race losing run; bit to prove after his last two efforts.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tonal	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Amaysmont	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Ballybaymoonshiner	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Outreach	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Warrior Square	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Top Button	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Sea The Buckthorn	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Porfin	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Miltonia	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Dors Toyboy	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Amaysmont

22.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 16 Odds: 4.4

4/1

2nd

Tonal

11.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 2 Odds: 8

2/1

3rd

Outreach

6.5

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Ballybaymoonshiner

5.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Sea The Buckthorn

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1

20/1

Porfin

3.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Warrior Square

2.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Dors Toyboy

2.5

OR: 1 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Top Button

2.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Miltonia

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tonal	57	70	58
Amaysmont	57	68	59
Ballybaymoonshiner	57	70	58
Dors Toyboy	54	68	58
Warrior Square	53	66	47
Top Button	53	72	61
Porfin	51	69	56
Outreach	49	69	62
Sea The Buckthorn	47	69	63
Miltonia	46	66	33

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tonal	10d ago	Quick return
Amaysmont	14d ago	Fit
Dors Toyboy	14d ago	Fit
Outreach	22d ago	Fit
Porfin	24d ago	Fit
Sea The Buckthorn	26d ago	Fit
Warrior Square	27d ago	Fit
Top Button	35d ago	Fit
Ballybaymoonshiner	43d ago	Fit
Miltonia	209d ago	Long break