Armstrong Watson Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Cartmel

18:15

Date 2024-05-25

Distance 2m1f61y

Class Class 3

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £7,605

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Tedtwo Bay J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	J:Richie McLernon T:Ben Haslam	156	—	12211-	128	-	-	33d	—	—	+22	51.9	0.50/1	2/1 33%
3-5 in novice hurdles last season; switched to fences for handicap debut; respected
1	Playful Saint Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	164	t	/260-1	136	145	120	21d	—	—	+16	38.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Recovered from bad jumping error to make winning chase debut at Hexham this month
4	Doyen Du Bar Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Pauline Robson	J:Craig Nichol T:Pauline Robson	151	h	21148-	123	140	104	36d	—	—	+15	32.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two novice wins on soft; fair run in handicap before fading into 3rd at Cartmel yesterday
5	El Muchacho Grey J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Harriet Dickin	146	t	P3313-	118	148	129	43d	—	—	+17	34.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Small-field chase winner two starts ago but has become unreliable; others appeal more
3	Salamanca Bay Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	155	h	32312-	127	146	130	36d	—	—	+22	40.1	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Tends to race far too freely but arrives in good form and ought to make a bold bid

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tedtwo	2/1	2/1	13/8	2/1	15/8
Playful Saint	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Doyen Du Bar	5/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
El Muchacho	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	9/2
Salamanca Bay	9/2	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tedtwo

51.9

OR: 19.5 Form: 23 Odds: 9.4

2/1

2nd

Salamanca Bay

40.1

OR: 19.3 Form: 15.6 Odds: 5.2

5/1

3rd

Playful Saint

38.2

OR: 21.5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.7

3/1

El Muchacho

34.1

OR: 17 Form: 12.1 Odds: 5

5/1

Doyen Du Bar

32.1

OR: 18.3 Form: 9 Odds: 4.9

5/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Playful Saint	136	145	120
Tedtwo	128	—	—
Salamanca Bay	127	146	130
Doyen Du Bar	123	140	104
El Muchacho	118	148	129

Last Run