William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap

York

13:35

Date 2024-05-25

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (22)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Champagne Sarah Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Rossa Ryan T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	135	p	043-33	80	94	82	14d	—	—	-5	12.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Fine 3rd of 26 at Ascot two weeks ago; still improving but slow ground an unknown
9 (2)	Gulliver Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	J:Mark Winn(3) T:David O'Meara	133	p	840431	78	95	78	35d	—	—	+13	21.6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has strong C&D form down the years and won well at Thirsk last month; this is tougher
4 (21)	Royal Pleasure Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	135	tp	6770-4	80	96	77	21d	—	—	0	10.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Huge eyecatcher on stable debut when meeting trouble repeatedly; cheekpieces return
6 (18)	Holkham Bay Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:William Knight	134	—	233-82	79	94	83	14d	—	—	+2	9.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Not fully exposed and latest 2nd of 26 represented improvement; drying ground would help
8 (15)	Tiriac Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jack Channon	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Jack Channon	133	p	35-631	78	96	75	19d	—	—	+2	8.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Impressive on heavy ground latest; good chance if it's soft or worse
17 (12)	Slainte Mhath Chestnut J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	J:Phil Dennis T:Katie Scott	130	—	6-3232	75	95	81	11d	—	—	+2	7.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Conditions will suit and latest Ayr second has been franked; should be in the shake up
1 (5)	Roundhay Park Chestnut J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Faye McManoman T:Nigel Tinkler	135	—	07-092	80	94	79	15d	—	—	+3	9.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Running himself back into form and has ideal conditions; likely to be heavily involved
7 (8)	Mattice Bay J:Connor Murtagh T:Tim Easterby	J:Connor Murtagh T:Tim Easterby	134	p	051-21	79	93	79	15d	—	—	+3	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Comes here in top form and a 4lb rise for his Ripon win last time looks fair; shortlisted
15 (3)	Shalaa Asker Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Cieren Fallon T:Adrian Paul Keatley	131	tv	6-4560	76	93	80	9d	—	—	+2	8.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Much better strike-rate on AW than turf but eased in grade and likely to run well
16 (1)	Trilby Bay J:Shane Gray T:Sam England	J:Shane Gray T:Sam England	130	—	3-1510	75	97	83	15d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+3	10.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two impressive wins on bad ground this year; might not get it soft enough this time
22 (13)	Little Muddy Bay J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Seb Spencer	J:Tommie Jakes(5) T:Seb Spencer	127	—	207-34	72	94	79	31d	—	—	+1	7.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has C&D form and ground won't be a problem; needs to step up on this year's Class 5 runs
5 (16)	Strong Johnson Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Paul Midgley	J:Connor Beasley T:Paul Midgley	135	—	262-63	80	95	87	63d	—	—	+5	8.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
3 h'cap wins last year; promising reappearance (5f, AW) 9 weeks ago; capable at this level
18 (11)	Rambuso Creek Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Ryan	J:Jim Crowley T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	515-63	75	95	78	30d	—	—	+3	7.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Promising 3rd at Beverley last month; might prove vulnerable to stronger finishers at 6f
12 (4)	Remarkable Force Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	132	p	-74550	77	95	30	17d	—	—	+4	7.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Losing run stands at 16 and he's yet to shine for this yard; change of headgear today
11 (19)	Mondammej Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	133	—	547000	78	92	61	9d	—	—	+4	8.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Down the weights but not easy to predict and others look much safer
10 (14)	Jenever Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	133	—	30-243	78	93	68	73d	—	—	+4	8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Made good strides from humble beginnings and his AW form this spring is solid; e-w shout
14 (10)	Tolstoy Bay J:David Nolan T:Brian Ellison	J:David Nolan T:Brian Ellison	131	—	9495-5	76	91	78	27d	—	—	+4	7.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Bundles of ability but usually blows the start; low-key stable debut last month
13 (20)	Cliffcake Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Roy Bowring	J:Harrison Shaw T:Roy Bowring	131	—	0-5171	76	93	84	58d	—	—	+5	7.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Good strike-rate but not sure about stall 20 and this probably a shade too competitive
19 (22)	Dark Kestrel Bay J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	J:Harry Russell T:Antony Brittain	128	t	200291	73	93	65	12d	—	—	+17	18.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Got up late to win a 5f AW handicap 12 days ago; more to prove on slow turf
20 (17)	Beelzebub Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Alice Haynes	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Alice Haynes	128	ht	-13570	73	94	53	14d	—	—	+7	9.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Slow starter who is 0-6 on turf; down the list in this field
3 (7)	Zaman Jemil Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Paddy Mathers T:John & Sean Quinn	135	—	5-6800	80	92	54	21d	—	—	+5	8.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Yet to fire for current stable; down in the weights but may prefer quicker ground
NR (9)	Ray Vonn Bay J:TBC T:B F Brookhouse	J: T:B F Brookhouse	127	ht	1489-1	72	92	85	15d	—	—	—	15.5	—	—
More ability than his mark but blessed with lots of character; no surprise to see big run

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Champagne Sarah	4/1	7/2	7/2
Gulliver	8/1	17/2	17/2
Royal Pleasure	15/2	8/1	8/1
Holkham Bay	10/1	9/1	9/1
Tiriac	12/1	12/1	12/1
Slainte Mhath	16/1	12/1	12/1
Roundhay Park	14/1	11/1	11/1
Mattice	16/1	12/1	12/1
Shalaa Asker	12/1	12/1	12/1
Trilby	10/1	12/1	12/1
Little Muddy	16/1	18/1	18/1
Strong Johnson	25/1	22/1	22/1
Rambuso Creek	18/1	22/1	22/1
Remarkable Force	22/1	22/1	22/1
Mondammej	20/1	25/1	25/1
Jenever	22/1	25/1	25/1
Tolstoy	25/1	33/1	33/1
Cliffcake	33/1	33/1	33/1
Dark Kestrel	50/1	66/1	66/1
Beelzebub	66/1	66/1	66/1
Zaman Jemil	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gulliver

21.6

OR: 7 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.5

17/2

2nd

Dark Kestrel

18.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0.6

66/1

3rd

Ray Vonn

15.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Champagne Sarah

12.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Trilby

10.6

OR: 6.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Royal Pleasure

10.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Holkham Bay

9.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Roundhay Park

9.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Beelzebub

9.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.9 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Mattice

8.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Tiriac

8.7

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Strong Johnson

8.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Zaman Jemil

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Shalaa Asker

8.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Mondammej

8.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Jenever

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Slainte Mhath

7.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Remarkable Force

7.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Rambuso Creek

7.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Tolstoy

7.3

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Cliffcake

7.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Little Muddy

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Champagne Sarah	80	94	82
Royal Pleasure	80	96	77
Roundhay Park	80	94	79
Strong Johnson	80	95	87
Zaman Jemil	80	92	54
Holkham Bay	79	94	83
Mattice	79	93	79
Gulliver	78	95	78
Tiriac	78	96	75
Mondammej	78	92	61
Jenever	78	93	68
Remarkable Force	77	95	30
Shalaa Asker	76	93	80
Tolstoy	76	91	78
Cliffcake	76	93	84
Slainte Mhath	75	95	81
Trilby	75	97	83
Rambuso Creek	75	95	78
Dark Kestrel	73	93	65
Beelzebub	73	94	53
Little Muddy	72	94	79
Ray Vonn	72	92	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shalaa Asker	9d ago	Quick return
Mondammej	9d ago	Quick return
Slainte Mhath	11d ago	Quick return
Dark Kestrel	12d ago	Quick return
Champagne Sarah	14d ago	Fit
Holkham Bay	14d ago	Fit
Beelzebub	14d ago	Fit
Roundhay Park	15d ago	Fit
Mattice	15d ago	Fit
Trilby	15d ago	Fit
Ray Vonn	15d ago	Fit
Remarkable Force	17d ago	Fit
Tiriac	19d ago	Fit
Royal Pleasure	21d ago	Fit
Zaman Jemil	21d ago	Fit
Tolstoy	27d ago	Fit
Rambuso Creek	30d ago	Fit
Little Muddy	31d ago	Fit
Gulliver	35d ago	Fit
Cliffcake	58d ago	Fresh
Strong Johnson	63d ago	Fresh
Jenever	73d ago	Fresh

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Slainte Mhath	Prominent
Royal Pleasure	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 22 runners classified.