McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase (Listed Race) – Ballinrobe

Ballinrobe

18:30

McHale Mayo National Handicap Chase (Listed Race)

Date 2024-05-27

Distance 2m7f89y

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
13	Romeo Magico Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Emmet Mullins	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Emmet Mullins	140	ht	2416-2	127	164	126	14d	—	—	+12	29.5	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Dual hunter chase winner wasn't at his best at Killarney last time and needs more today
7	Aime Desjy Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	149	—	52158-	136	159	141	30d	—	—	+19	31.6	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Gowran novice winner and good runs in Topham and Bet365 Gold Cup since; a player
16	We'llhavewan Bay J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:W P Mullins	J:Kieran Callaghan(5) T:W P Mullins	140	tp	6126U-	127	150	-	37d	—	—	+16	26.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Three wins over hurdles last year, incl' here; some decent chase runs too; 4lb wrong
6	Toss Again Brown J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	151	t	11248-	138	162	125	24d	—	—	+24	31.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Won a valuable handicap at Galway last year but been poor on last two starts; questions
1	Salvador Ziggy Bay J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	1127P-	153	154	108	76d	—	—	+27	33.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Triple chase winner found the ground too soft at Cheltenham last time; this suits better
5	Tullybeg Chestnut J:Danny Gilligan(3) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(3) T:Gordon Elliott	153	t	191P4-	140	158	98	31d	—	—	+23	30.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won this last year off a 7lb lower mark and a solid return at Downpatrick; go well again
10	Captains Nephew Chestnut J:Mr T Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Mr T Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	145	—	3271F-	132	158	144	24d	—	—	+24	29.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won over 2m at Fairyhouse in March on heavy; stamina not proven for this trip
4	Stealthy Tom Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:E Bolger	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:E Bolger	156	p	2100-2	143	162	103	15d	—	—	+24	29.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Improved loads last year and a fine run at Killarney last time; 3lb higher today
12	Duffle Coat Grey J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	142	p	2224-2	129	154	124	15d	—	—	+22	26	4.00/1	16/1 6%
In the frame on all six chase starts but needs to find more to make the breakthrough
9	Flanking Maneuver Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Noel Meade	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Noel Meade	147	t	43F6P-	134	155	105	24d	—	—	+18	22.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Badly hampered last time; has a chance on his strong novice form from early last term
2	Idas Boy Chestnut J:Sean Flanagan T:Noel Meade	J:Sean Flanagan T:Noel Meade	162	p	P/1FF-	149	153	102	26d	—	—	+22	25.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won at Punchestown in November but fell twice since; a chance if jumping holds up
3	Final Orders Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	158	t	14960-	145	150	139	26d	—	—	+23	26.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Vastly improved two seasons ago but that stalled last term; poor hurdle run last time
8	Frontal Assault Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Gordon Elliott	J:Donagh Meyler T:Gordon Elliott	148	b	90445-	135	158	136	31d	—	—	+19	22	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Second in Irish National in 2022 and fourth latest renewal; not a bad effort since
15	Battle Of Mirbat Bay J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:Michael J McDonagh	140	—	2P23U-	127	149	98	23d	—	—	+21	23.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Usually consistent but disappointed two of last three completed starts; 4lb out of weights
11	Ballykeel Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	142	t	F133P-	129	159	133	23d	—	—	+23	25.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Pulled-up on return last time but has a chance if back to his best form of last year
14	Arrycan Bay J:J J Slevin T:Liam P Cusack	J:J J Slevin T:Liam P Cusack	140	—	/6510-	127	156	85	297d	—	—	+25	26.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Four-time chase winner has been absent since last August and is 3lb out of the handicap
NR	The Gradual Slope Grey J:Mark McDonagh T:Sean O O'Brien	J:Mark McDonagh T:Sean O O'Brien	140	—	43231-	127	146	109	23d	—	—	—	34.8	—	—
Off the mark over fences in a 4m Punchestown h'cap but 7lb out of weights today; reserve
NR	Shantou Show Bay J:TBC T:R P Cody	J: T:R P Cody	140	tp	136P-5	127	140	60	21d	—	—	—	19.3	—	—
Hunter chase winner ran well enough in a h'cap last time but 7lb out of handicap; reserve
NR	Henning Bay J:TBC T:Denis Gerard Hogan	J: T:Denis Gerard Hogan	140	—	4P6-F2	127	142	122	15d	—	—	—	19.3	—	—
Maiden over fences ran well at Killarney last time but 13lb out of the handicap; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Romeo Magico	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Aime Desjy	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
We'llhavewan	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Toss Again	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Salvador Ziggy	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Tullybeg	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Captains Nephew	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Stealthy Tom	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Duffle Coat	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Flanking Maneuver	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Idas Boy	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Final Orders	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Frontal Assault	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Battle Of Mirbat	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Ballykeel	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Arrycan	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The Gradual Slope

34.8

OR: 19.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Salvador Ziggy

33.5

OR: 25.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.7

11/1

3rd

Toss Again

31.7

OR: 22 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Aime Desjy

31.6

OR: 21.5 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Tullybeg

30.4

OR: 22.5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Stealthy Tom

29.9

OR: 23.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Captains Nephew

29.7

OR: 20.5 Form: 7.6 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Romeo Magico

29.5

OR: 19.3 Form: 5 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Final Orders

26.6

OR: 23.8 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Arrycan

26.6

OR: 19.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.4

50/1

We'llhavewan

26.1

OR: 19.3 Form: 4 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Duffle Coat

OR: 19.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Idas Boy

25.6

OR: 24.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Ballykeel

25.3

OR: 19.8 Form: 4.8 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Battle Of Mirbat

23.8

OR: 19.3 Form: 3.7 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Flanking Maneuver

22.2

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Frontal Assault

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Shantou Show

19.3

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Henning

19.3

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Salvador Ziggy	153	154	108
Idas Boy	149	153	102
Final Orders	145	150	139
Stealthy Tom	143	162	103
Tullybeg	140	158	98
Toss Again	138	162	125
Aime Desjy	136	159	141
Frontal Assault	135	158	136
Flanking Maneuver	134	155	105
Captains Nephew	132	158	144
Duffle Coat	129	154	124
Ballykeel	129	159	133
Romeo Magico	127	164	126
We'llhavewan	127	150	—
Battle Of Mirbat	127	149	98
Arrycan	127	156	85
The Gradual Slope	127	146	109
Shantou Show	127	140	60
Henning	127	142	122

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Romeo Magico	14d ago	Fit
Stealthy Tom	15d ago	Fit
Duffle Coat	15d ago	Fit
Henning	15d ago	Fit
Shantou Show	21d ago	Fit
Battle Of Mirbat	23d ago	Fit
Ballykeel	23d ago	Fit
The Gradual Slope	23d ago	Fit
Toss Again	24d ago	Fit
Captains Nephew	24d ago	Fit
Flanking Maneuver	24d ago	Fit
Idas Boy	26d ago	Fit
Final Orders	26d ago	Fit
Aime Desjy	30d ago	Fit
Tullybeg	31d ago	Fit
Frontal Assault	31d ago	Fit
We'llhavewan	37d ago	Fit
Salvador Ziggy	76d ago	Fresh
Arrycan	297d ago	Long break