Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle (IRE Incentive Race)

Limerick

17:45

Date 2024-05-30

Distance 2m100y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Arctic Gale Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Emmet Mullins	J:Donagh Meyler T:Emmet Mullins	162	—	219-	-	105	48	27d	—	—	-13	19.5	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Down the field in a Punchestown festival novice hurdle; drop in class will suit
10	Field A Thistles Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Ms Margaret Mullins	151	—	4/44-5	-	115	73	19d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Might not have stayed at Cork; versatile as to ground and likely to do better back at 2m
7	Mill House Creek Bay J:J J Slevin T:Stephen Gerard Carey	J:J J Slevin T:Stephen Gerard Carey	157	—	16065-	-	111	94	41d	—	—	-10	7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Faded into fifth in a Ballinrobe maiden hurdle last month; much more needed here
11	Pampar Lady Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	151	—	8F32-F	-	128	104	15d	—	—	-12	5	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Handles any ground and the one to beat here with the stable continuing in outstanding form
4	Drumgill Bay J:Daniel King T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Daniel King T:John Patrick Ryan	158	—	3520-2	-	122	88	23d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Returned to his best when touched off late over 2m1f at Ballinrobe; should play a hand
3	Break The Boundary Bay J:James O'Sullivan T:P J Rothwell	J:James O'Sullivan T:P J Rothwell	160	t	P/123-	-	114	57	36d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Not so effective in a maiden hurdle at Bellewstown latest; tried in a tongue-tie here
5	Half A Chance Bay J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	158	—	28-	-	-	-	27d	—	—	0	4.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Bumper runner-up; hurdles debut here and not without a chance if this better ground suits
9	Vroomvroomboo Chestnut J:Kevin Sexton T:James Andrew Fahey	J:Kevin Sexton T:James Andrew Fahey	153	—	P-4	-	-	-	20d	—	—	-2	0.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Downpatrick bumper fourth; others preferred but worth watching on her hurdles debut
8	Milan Dollar Lady Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Peter Fahey	J:Sam Ewing T:Peter Fahey	155	—	F-9	-	92	54	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
No impression on her one completed hurdles start at Tipperary; others preferred
NR	Monty Cross Bay J:Mark McDonagh T:E J O'Grady	J:Mark McDonagh T:E J O'Grady	162	—	8-9	-	51	18	18d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Soundly beaten in a pair of maiden hurdles eight months apart; hard to make a case for
NR	Kanpai Chestnut J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:J A Nash	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:J A Nash	158	—	9	-	100	-	13d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Not beaten far in a Kilbeggan maiden hurdle on debut but plenty more needed here
NR	Savante b/br J:Liam McKenna(5) T:C A Murphy	J:Liam McKenna(5) T:C A Murphy	151	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Inexpensive mare; respected with the stable having introduced some nice newcomers recently

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Arctic Gale	7/4	15/8	15/8	7/4	6/4
Field A Thistles	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Mill House Creek	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Pampar Lady	11/2	6/1	13/2	6/1	11/2
Drumgill	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2	13/2
Break The Boundary	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Half A Chance	20/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Vroomvroomboo	80/1	50/1	28/1	50/1	50/1
Milan Dollar Lady	125/1	80/1	50/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arctic Gale

19.5

OR: 0 Form: 9.5 Odds: 10

15/8

2nd

Drumgill

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

3rd

Mill House Creek

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 5

9/2

Field A Thistles

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Pampar Lady

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

13/2

Half A Chance

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Break The Boundary

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Vroomvroomboo

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

80/1

Milan Dollar Lady

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Monty Cross

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Kanpai

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Savante

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Arctic Gale	—	105	48
Field A Thistles	—	115	73
Mill House Creek	—	111	94
Pampar Lady	—	128	104
Drumgill	—	122	88
Break The Boundary	—	114	57
Half A Chance	—	—	—
Vroomvroomboo	—	—	—
Milan Dollar Lady	—	92	54
Monty Cross	—	51	18
Kanpai	—	100	—
Savante	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kanpai	13d ago	Quick return
Pampar Lady	15d ago	Fit
Monty Cross	18d ago	Fit
Field A Thistles	19d ago	Fit
Vroomvroomboo	20d ago	Fit
Milan Dollar Lady	21d ago	Fit
Drumgill	23d ago	Fit
Arctic Gale	27d ago	Fit
Half A Chance	27d ago	Fit
Break The Boundary	36d ago	Fit
Mill House Creek	41d ago	Fit
Savante	—	—