Join Free

Epsom

17:15

Long Shot Northern Dancer Handicap

Date 2024-06-01
Distance 1m4f6y
Class Class 2
Going Good To Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £38,655

Runners (15)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
7 (5)
Ziggy
Bay
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Harry Eustace
J:Richard Kingscote
T:Harry Eustace
 125 — 1/23-2
92
119
88
 39d — — +8
25.5
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Had his only run since January 2023 when rallying 2nd of seven here (1m2f, good) in April
13 (12)
Kotari
Bay
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Gary & Josh Moore
J:Hollie Doyle
T:Gary & Josh Moore
 120 — /6-111
87
116
101
 21d — — -3
14.1
0.90/1
18/5
22%
3-3 on Flat this spring, latest on step up to 1m4f in 14-runner race at Ascot; big player
2 (1)
Relentless Voyager
Chestnut
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Andrew Balding
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Andrew Balding
 134 t 1436-3
101
113
78
 28d — — +7
19.1
1.38/1
11/2
15%
Never-nearer third of nine at Newmarket (1m4f, good) on first run since last June
8 (9)
Flash Bardot
Bay
J:David Probert
T:Jack Channon
J:David Probert
T:Jack Channon
 125 — 118-18
92
115
102
 17d — — +4
12.9
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Good to soft poses a question but she'd be strongly considered if the ground is soft
3 (6)
If Not Now
Grey
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ralph Beckett
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Ralph Beckett
 134 — 3158-3
101
112
84
 21d — — +11
17.5
2.75/1
11/1
8%
3rd of 6 at Lingfield (good) three weeks ago was career-best form; needs better still
12 (4)
Dream Harder
Bay
J:Saffie Osborne
T:Ian Williams
J:Saffie Osborne
T:Ian Williams
 120 — 3-3074
87
115
84
 22d — — +7
13
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Chester winner; it may well be that this step back up in trip will suit; each-way claims
14 (15)
Asgard's Captain
Bay
J:J F Egan
T:Dylan Cunha
J:J F Egan
T:Dylan Cunha
 117 — 111825
84
113
97
 17d — — +13
18.6
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Creditable front-running fifth of 20 at York when up to 1m4f, which he needs to improve on
10 (13)
Parlando
Bay
J:David Egan
T:Ian Williams
J:David Egan
T:Ian Williams
 122 — 5-4106
89
112
70
 22d — — +6
11.1
3.50/1
14/1
7%
1m2f winner in Bahrain in February; tries a new trip and needs a career best
4 (2)
Not So Sleepy
Chestnut
J:Tom Marquand
T:Hughie Morrison
J:Tom Marquand
T:Hughie Morrison
 133 — 3/17-4
100
114
96
 43d — — +11
15.1
4.50/1
18/1
5%
12yo who has retained a rare zest on Flat and over hurdles; not one to pass over lightly
6 (10)
Struth
Chestnut
J:James Doyle
T:Charlie Johnston
J:James Doyle
T:Charlie Johnston
 128 p 0442-9
95
114
101
 27d — — +9
12.2
5.00/1
20/1
5%
Rather a mixed record in 2023 and reappearance was disappointing but he's not dismissed
1 (11)
Lucander
Bay
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:George Baker
J:Pat Cosgrave
T:George Baker
 135 tb 31-335
102
114
99
 85d — — +11
13.7
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Ran on from the back when third in this race last year; 1lb lower today; each-way claims
9 (8)
Think First
Bay
J:Ben Coen
T:Neil Mulholland
J:Ben Coen
T:Neil Mulholland
 123 — 967-28
90
114
90
 21d — — +8
10.7
7.00/1
28/1
3%
40-1 second over C&D (good) on penultimate outing; bit to prove on softer than good
11 (7)
Percy Shelley
Bay
J:Jason Watson
T:David O'Meara
J:Jason Watson
T:David O'Meara
 122 v 06-696
89
113
87
 17d — — +8
10.5
7.00/1
28/1
3%
No great impact in his five British efforts and not proven over this far
15 (3)
Maso Bastie
Bay
J:Sean D Bowen(5)
T:Michael Bell
J:Sean D Bowen(5)
T:Michael Bell
 116 v 206-64
83
112
98
 7d — — +7
8.7
10.00/1
40/1
2%
Acts on soft and has run creditably at 1m4f but he needs to find a bit extra
NR (14)
L'Astronome
Chestnut
J:Jason Hart
T:Hugo Palmer
J:Jason Hart
T:Hugo Palmer
 133 t 636-86
100
110
60
 23d — — —
12.5
— —
Ran well on British debut but not nearly so well since in two Group 3s or a 2m handicap
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Ziggy
 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
Kotari
 18/5 18/5 18/5 18/5 18/5
Relentless Voyager
 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2 11/2
Flash Bardot
 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1
If Not Now
 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1 11/1
Dream Harder
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Asgard's Captain
 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1 12/1
Parlando
 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Not So Sleepy
 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1 18/1
Struth
 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1 20/1
Lucander
 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Think First
 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Percy Shelley
 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Maso Bastie
 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Ziggy
25.5
OR: 10.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5
7/2
2nd Relentless Voyager
19.1
OR: 12.8 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3
11/2
3rd Asgard's Captain
18.6
OR: 8.5 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6
12/1
4 If Not Now
17.5
OR: 12.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7
11/1
5 Not So Sleepy
15.1
OR: 12.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1
18/1
6 Kotari
14.1
OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.9
18/5
7 Lucander
13.7
OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
28/1
8 Dream Harder
13
OR: 9.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.6
12/1
9 Flash Bardot
12.9
OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
8/1
10 L'Astronome
12.5
OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0
—
11 Struth
12.2
OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1
20/1
12 Parlando
11.1
OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4
14/1
13 Think First
10.7
OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
28/1
14 Percy Shelley
10.5
OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7
28/1
15 Maso Bastie
8.7
OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
40/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Lucander
102
114
99
Relentless Voyager
101
113
78
If Not Now
101
112
84
Not So Sleepy
100
114
96
L'Astronome
100
110
60
Struth
95
114
101
Ziggy
92
119
88
Flash Bardot
92
115
102
Think First
90
114
90
Parlando
89
112
70
Percy Shelley
89
113
87
Kotari
87
116
101
Dream Harder
87
115
84
Asgard's Captain
84
113
97
Maso Bastie
83
112
98

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Maso Bastie 7d ago Quick return
Flash Bardot 17d ago Fit
Asgard's Captain 17d ago Fit
Percy Shelley 17d ago Fit
Kotari 21d ago Fit
If Not Now 21d ago Fit
Think First 21d ago Fit
Dream Harder 22d ago Fit
Parlando 22d ago Fit
L'Astronome 23d ago Fit
Struth 27d ago Fit
Relentless Voyager 28d ago Fit
Ziggy 39d ago Fit
Not So Sleepy 43d ago Fit
Lucander 85d ago Fresh