Prestige Safety 'Your Trusted Safety Partner' Handicap Chase

Southwell

14:15

Date 2024-06-04

Distance 1m7f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,700

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Mystic Man Bay J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Harry Derham	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Harry Derham	159	p	11P11-	101	117	97	245d	—	—	+20	39.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
4-5 over fences, the last 2 wins over 2m4f here; going suits; this trip a slight concern
14	Tropical Talent Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	144	t	/P34-1	86	117	99	25d	—	—	+11	22.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Off the mark over fences at Sedgefield last time and has a chance off this 4lb higher mark
4	Chase A Fortune Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:Chris Grant	J:Danny McMenamin T:Chris Grant	166	—	3135-3	108	115	104	24d	—	—	+10	20.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Catterick winner on chase debut and fair efforts since; third off this mark last time
5	Legendary Day Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Brian Hughes T:Adrian Paul Keatley	165	—	123/6-	107	-	-	—	—	—	+9	16.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Quite useful on the Flat; won novice on hurdles debut; quite interesting on chase debut
12	Abaya Du Mathan Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	J:Robert Dunne T:Gary Hanmer	152	tp	1331-3	94	115	107	17d	—	—	+9	15.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Veteran; suited by good ground; 2m winner in April; lesser run on easier going last time
2	Isocrate Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	168	—	/522-4	110	-	-	29d	—	—	+11	16.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Twice second over hurdles on soft earlier in the year; best at 2m; chase debut; a possible
1	Sea Prince Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	J:Kielan Woods T:Alex Hales	170	—	/2465-	112	122	102	218d	—	—	+13	18.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Goes well fresh; 2nd here on comeback for past two years, in 2023 off 7lb higher mark
3	Homme d'Un Soir Bay J:James Bowen T:Billy Aprahamian	J:James Bowen T:Billy Aprahamian	167	v	246-42	109	-	-	9d	—	—	+11	16.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won beginners chase in 2022; in decent form hurdling; a possible now going back chasing
8	Texard Bay J:Philip Armson(3) T:Richard Armson	J:Philip Armson(3) T:Richard Armson	163	—	631-34	105	122	89	12d	—	—	+11	15	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Winner off 5lb lower in April; not quite as good since; conditions suit; a possible
13	We Got Your Back Bay J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	J:Adam Wedge T:L J Morgan	148	ht	68229-	90	-	-	55d	—	—	+13	17.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Maiden; runner-up in two C&D hcap hurdles earlier this year; bit to prove on chase debut
7	Romanor Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	J:Micheal Nolan T:Seamus Mullins	164	—	5253-6	106	120	95	26d	—	—	+11	15.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Experienced chaser; 8lb lower than when close second in September; conditions suit; chance
6	Post No Bills Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Ryan Potter	J:Sean Bowen T:Ryan Potter	164	—	1345-7	106	118	106	31d	—	—	+12	14.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Three chase wins on good ground; not so good recently; on a good mark and conditions suit
11	Brown Monday Bay J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:John Joseph Hanlon	156	—	F/6-P4	98	113	48	12d	—	—	+10	12.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Irish raider; maiden over jumps; needs to improve on recent fourth in a chase at Limerick
9	Icare Grandchamp Bay J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Caoilin Quinn(3) T:Gary & Josh Moore	160	—	P/207-	102	114	69	187d	—	—	+11	13.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Ex-French; patchy form over hurdles and well beaten on chase debut; bit to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mystic Man	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Tropical Talent	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Chase A Fortune	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Legendary Day	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Abaya Du Mathan	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Isocrate	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sea Prince	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Homme d'Un Soir	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Texard	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
We Got Your Back	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Romanor	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Post No Bills	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Brown Monday	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Icare Grandchamp	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mystic Man

39.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 21.3 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Tropical Talent

22.3

OR: 9 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

11/2

3rd

Chase A Fortune

20.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Sea Prince

18.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

We Got Your Back

17.2

OR: 10 Form: 6 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Isocrate

16.6

OR: 15 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Homme d'Un Soir

16.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Legendary Day

16.2

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Abaya Du Mathan

15.9

OR: 11 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Romanor

15.2

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Texard

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Post No Bills

14.8

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Icare Grandchamp

13.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Brown Monday

12.7

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sea Prince	112	122	102
Isocrate	110	—	—
Homme d'Un Soir	109	—	—
Chase A Fortune	108	115	104
Legendary Day	107	—	—
Romanor	106	120	95
Post No Bills	106	118	106
Texard	105	122	89
Icare Grandchamp	102	114	69
Mystic Man	101	117	97
Brown Monday	98	113	48
Abaya Du Mathan	94	115	107
We Got Your Back	90	—	—
Tropical Talent	86	117	99

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Homme d'Un Soir	9d ago	Quick return
Texard	12d ago	Quick return
Brown Monday	12d ago	Quick return
Abaya Du Mathan	17d ago	Fit
Chase A Fortune	24d ago	Fit
Tropical Talent	25d ago	Fit
Romanor	26d ago	Fit
Isocrate	29d ago	Fit
Post No Bills	31d ago	Fit
We Got Your Back	55d ago	Fresh
Icare Grandchamp	187d ago	Long break
Sea Prince	218d ago	Long break
Mystic Man	245d ago	Long break
Legendary Day	—	—