weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap – Ripon

Ripon

19:55

weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap

Date 2024-06-05

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,185

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Abate Brown J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Mia Nicholls(5) T:Adrian Nicholls	133	—	12-675	83	100	63	21d	—	—	-4	13.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Three wins last season; best run this time when fifth of 21 at York last time; interesting
4 (3)	Fortamour Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	J:Joanna Mason T:Ben Haslam	130	—	9-6514	80	99	83	26d	—	—	-5	12.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Fifth C&D win in April and fair fourth off 5lb higher last time; each-way chance
8 (5)	Westmorian Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	122	—	224527	72	100	78	26d	—	—	+2	13.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
3-15 on the AW, but 0-10 on turf; bit to find with Fortamour on last time's C&D form
5 (8)	Bay Breeze Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	130	—	000-44	80	102	56	9d	—	—	-2	11.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Four-time C&D winner; fair fourth of four at Redcar last week; well drawn; chance
3 (9)	International Girl Chestnut J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	131	—	8282-4	81	98	78	17d	—	—	0	10.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Fair efforts without winning in 2023; on a fair mark; should improve on her comeback run
6 (6)	Strong Johnson Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Paul Midgley	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Paul Midgley	128	—	62-630	78	101	49	11d	—	—	+1	9.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ex-Irish; 3 wins for this yard in 2023 (inc over 5f here); stays 6f; below par last time
7 (4)	Sibyl Charm Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	128	—	122114	78	98	84	68d	—	—	+15	24	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has form on turf, but her three wins have been over 6f/7f on Tapeta at Newcastle
1 (1)	Twelfth Knight Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Paul Midgley	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Paul Midgley	137	—	010-85	87	99	60	18d	—	—	+3	11.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Two C&D wins last season; better run at Thirsk last time; on a fair mark
9 (2)	Havana Pursuit Chestnut J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	120	—	16816-	70	98	90	240d	—	—	+12	14.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two wins, one over 5f here, last term; just as good at 6f; may need the run after a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Abate	7/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Fortamour	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Westmorian	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	13/2
Bay Breeze	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
International Girl	13/2	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Strong Johnson	10/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Sibyl Charm	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Twelfth Knight	8/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Havana Pursuit	33/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sibyl Charm

OR: 7 Form: 14.5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

2nd

Havana Pursuit

14.9

OR: 5 Form: 9 Odds: 0.9

33/1

3rd

Abate

13.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Westmorian

13.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Fortamour

12.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

7/2

Twelfth Knight

11.6

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Bay Breeze

11.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

11/2

International Girl

10.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Strong Johnson

9.5

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Twelfth Knight	87	99	60
Abate	83	100	63
International Girl	81	98	78
Fortamour	80	99	83
Bay Breeze	80	102	56
Strong Johnson	78	101	49
Sibyl Charm	78	98	84
Westmorian	72	100	78
Havana Pursuit	70	98	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bay Breeze	9d ago	Quick return
Strong Johnson	11d ago	Quick return
International Girl	17d ago	Fit
Twelfth Knight	18d ago	Fit
Abate	21d ago	Fit
Fortamour	26d ago	Fit
Westmorian	26d ago	Fit
Sibyl Charm	68d ago	Fresh
Havana Pursuit	240d ago	Long break