Try Unibet's Improved Bet Builder Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

18:40

Date 2024-06-05

Distance 7f

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £5,940

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Cat Ninja Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran Shoemark T:John & Thady Gosden	132	—	21	-	93	-	16d	—	—	-10	24.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Confirmed debut promise by making all at Windsor (1m) 16 days ago; penalty demands more
1 (9)	Storm Star Chestnut J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Murphy T:Andrew Balding	137	—	1	-	89	57	24d	—	—	-8	18	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Strong at the finish when making winning debut at Newcastle (6f); longer trip should suit
8 (6)	Dosman Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	130	—	4-	-	83	-	254d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Beaten favourite on 2yo debut but it represents strong form; capable of better this year
7 (8)	Coronado King Bay J:Pat Dobbs T:Charlie Appleby	J:Pat Dobbs T:Charlie Appleby	130	h	3	-	80	-	34d	—	—	-7	7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Green (hung sharply left) when beaten favourite on Doncaster debut; bred to do well on AW
5 (3)	Brave Warrior Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Dam a Group 2 1m winner for these connections; already gelded; betting to guide
10 (11)	Historic City Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Saeed bin Suroor	J:Kevin Stott T:Saeed bin Suroor	130	—	67	-	75	31	13d	—	—	-2	0.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Disappointing, even allowing for wide trip, at Chelmsford last month; debut promise though
6 (7)	Caffu Zafeen Bay J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	J:Neil Callan T:James Tate	130	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Dam a Listed winner in Germany; hooded for debut; market support would be a positive
4 (12)	Apotheosis Chestnut J:Callum Shepherd T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Callum Shepherd T:Simon & Ed Crisford	130	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Half-brother to a useful sprinter out of an AW winner from a fine family; hooded for debut
13 (10)	Night Lark Brown J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Ralph Beckett	125	—	40	-	77	-	19d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Two runs at Newbury this spring, shaping well on debut but less so last time
9 (5)	Grey Moon Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	J:Trevor Whelan T:Harry Charlton	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
90,000gns yearling; first foal of a useful 1m winner; fair standard to aim at on debut
2 (13)	Argentali Grey J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Baker	135	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Nice pedigree but this 70,000euros yearling makes her belated debut in a useful event
12 (1)	Port Road Grey J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	J:Luke Morris T:John Butler	130	—	8	-	52	45	49d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
150-1 for C&D debut in April; well held there but did hint at longer-term potential
11 (4)	Laguna Boy Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Williams	J:Hector Crouch T:Stuart Williams	130	—	—	-	35	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Never in the hunt on last month's Windsor debut (6f); bred to do better at some point

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cat Ninja	7/4	7/4	13/8	11/8	13/8
Storm Star	2/1	5/2	9/4	9/4	9/4
Dosman	9/2	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Coronado King	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Brave Warrior	14/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Historic City	25/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	25/1
Caffu Zafeen	33/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Apotheosis	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Night Lark	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1
Grey Moon	66/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	100/1
Argentali	125/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Port Road	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Laguna Boy	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cat Ninja

24.1

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Storm Star

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Coronado King

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4

5/1

Dosman

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Brave Warrior

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Historic City

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Apotheosis

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Caffu Zafeen

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Night Lark

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Grey Moon

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Argentali

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Port Road

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Laguna Boy

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cat Ninja	—	93	—
Storm Star	—	89	57
Dosman	—	83	—
Coronado King	—	80	—
Brave Warrior	—	—	—
Historic City	—	75	31
Caffu Zafeen	—	—	—
Apotheosis	—	—	—
Night Lark	—	77	—
Grey Moon	—	—	—
Argentali	—	—	—
Port Road	—	52	45
Laguna Boy	—	35	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Historic City	13d ago	Quick return
Cat Ninja	16d ago	Fit
Night Lark	19d ago	Fit
Laguna Boy	23d ago	Fit
Storm Star	24d ago	Fit
Coronado King	34d ago	Fit
Port Road	49d ago	Fresh
Dosman	254d ago	Long break
Brave Warrior	—	—
Caffu Zafeen	—	—
Apotheosis	—	—
Grey Moon	—	—
Argentali	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.