RacingTV EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Carlisle

Carlisle

15:50

RacingTV EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-06-10

Distance 6f195y

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,400

Winning Time 1m 29.47s (slow by 4.67s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Expensive Rose (IRE) Joe Fanning · Charlie Johnston	8/13F	Won
2nd	Li Ban (IRE) David Egan · Dominic Ffrench Davis	17/2	1.5
3rd	Alla Stella (GB) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	11/2	.5
4th	Modern Utopia (IRE) Callum Rodriguez · George Scott	6/1	.5
5th	Apulia (IRE) Oisin Orr · David Loughnane	25/1	2
6th	Leyhaimur (GB) Hayley Turner · David Simcock	50/1	0.3
7th	Realise The Dream (IRE) Sam James · Alice Haynes	22/1	1.5

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Expensive Rose Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	2	-	82	73	17d	—	—	-31	24.4	0.17/1	4/6 60%
Second of 16 on her Pontefract debut (6f) and sets standard on that form; big player
1 (6)	Alla Stella Grey J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has speed and stamina in pedigree and market should guide on debut.
6 (2)	Modern Utopia Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Scott	J:Callum Rodriguez T:George Scott	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Well-bred filly who is a half-sister to ten winners; needs watching in market on debut
5 (4)	Li Ban Bay J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:David Egan T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	—	54	-	79	71	28d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Promising fourth at Windsor (5f) and has claims if she can take another step forward
7 (7)	Realise The Dream Bay J:Sam James T:Alice Haynes	J:Sam James T:Alice Haynes	128	—	8	-	73	59	9d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Ran green after a slow start and was always in rear at Doncaster last Saturday
2 (1)	Apulia Bay J:Oisin Orr T:David Loughnane	J:Oisin Orr T:David Loughnane	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Yard 1-21 with 2yos this year and this newcomer could be a longer-term prospect
4 (3)	Leyhaimur Bay J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	J:Hayley Turner T:David Simcock	128	—	—	-	55	22	11d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
33-1 at Lingfield 11 days ago and she finished out the back; down the list

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Expensive Rose	4/6	4/6	4/7	8/13	4/6
Alla Stella	11/2	5/1	5/1	11/2	5/1
Modern Utopia	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	7/1
Li Ban	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1	17/2
Realise The Dream	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Apulia	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Leyhaimur	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Expensive Rose

24.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 19.4

4/6

2nd

Alla Stella

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Modern Utopia

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Li Ban

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Realise The Dream

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Apulia

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Leyhaimur

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Expensive Rose	—	82	73
Alla Stella	—	—	—
Modern Utopia	—	—	—
Li Ban	—	79	71
Realise The Dream	—	73	59
Apulia	—	—	—
Leyhaimur	—	55	22

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Realise The Dream	9d ago	Quick return
Leyhaimur	11d ago	Quick return
Expensive Rose	17d ago	Fit
Li Ban	28d ago	Fit
Alla Stella	—	—
Modern Utopia	—	—
Apulia	—	—