Randox (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (Div II) – Downpatrick

Downpatrick

14:50

Randox (Q.R.) Handicap Hurdle (Div II)

Date 2024-06-15

Distance 2m5f180y

Class

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	O'Faolains Glory Bay J:Mr J Dunne(7) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Mr J Dunne(7) T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	172	p	412-13	92	89	-	21d	—	—	-5	17.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
In fine form, winning twice in last two months and respectable run at Cartmel latest
4	Aliunde Bay J:Mr J C Barry T:Mark Michael McNiff	J:Mr J C Barry T:Mark Michael McNiff	167	t	4005-3	87	90	26	22d	—	—	+1	16.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
0-11 under rules; major step back in right direction when beaten less than 1l here latest
8	How Decc b/br J:Mr H C Swan(3) T:E Seymour	J:Mr H C Swan(3) T:E Seymour	166	tp	438P-6	86	96	76	15d	—	—	-3	14	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Some good form in 2023 and left reappearance run behind when 6th latest; could go well
2	Cramers Valley Brown J:Mr T Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	J:Mr T Power Roche(7) T:P J Rothwell	168	p	0256-5	88	90	67	18d	—	—	+1	12.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Only beaten a neck in December; hasn't kicked on from that of late; may prefer it softer
5	Springboard Bay J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Mr A P Ryan(7) T:Michael J McDonagh	167	—	000-6	87	82	71	25d	—	—	+4	11.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Tailed off in maidens but improved with 6th on h'cap debut; big player up in trip
7	Beau's Candle Bay J:Mr Finian Maguire T:Declan Queally	J:Mr Finian Maguire T:Declan Queally	166	t	1222P-	86	90	72	57d	—	—	+12	19.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Distant 2nd 2 starts ago was promising but pulled up since
6	Sula Warrior Bay J:Mr D McGill(7) T:J G Cosgrave	J:Mr D McGill(7) T:J G Cosgrave	167	—	5P/8-7	87	96	60	22d	—	—	+4	11.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Tailed off on only 2 starts since 2022 and enough to prove at present
3	Kalsman Brown J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:Liam Lennon	J:Mr J H Williamson(7) T:Liam Lennon	168	h	004-94	88	98	67	22d	—	—	+5	11.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-20; has run with credit in maiden hurdles here recently; h'capper nudged him up
14	Lucky Two Bay J:Mr S Connor(7) T:Thomas Gibney	J:Mr S Connor(7) T:Thomas Gibney	161	—	7500-6	81	82	55	25d	—	—	+5	9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Unplaced in 11 starts; distant 6th latest was okay but best watched in this
11	Derby De Thaix Bay J:Miss H Heffernan(7) T:James Andrew Fahey	J:Miss H Heffernan(7) T:James Andrew Fahey	164	—	6/349-	84	96	54	152d	—	—	+6	9.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
French bumper winner in 2017 but losing run since and poor record fresh
12	Billable Grant Bay J:Mr N McParlan T:C A McBratney	J:Mr N McParlan T:C A McBratney	163	—	99P0-7	83	95	45	22d	—	—	+6	9.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Losing run since early 2022; struggled last year and no signs of a revival recently
13	Ben Thomson Bay J:Mr J Kidd(7) T:John C McConnell	J:Mr J Kidd(7) T:John C McConnell	162	t	0/006-	82	91	60	290d	—	—	+6	8.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Sole win came in 2021; has struggled in five runs for this yard and off 290 days
9	Mastermind Bay J:Mr L P Shanahan(7) T:Alan Fleming	J:Mr L P Shanahan(7) T:Alan Fleming	166	—	7/856-	86	91	79	211d	—	—	+7	9.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Losing run since 2018 and best form is on softer ground; has never won fresh
15	Sky Tempest Grey J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Louise G Lyons	J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Louise G Lyons	161	tp	F6P0-P	81	79	30	28d	—	—	+6	8.3	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Shown very little in 8 starts so far, failing to complete in three of her last five starts
10	Ghumama Chestnut J:Mr M E McCrory(7) T:Noel C Kelly	J:Mr M E McCrory(7) T:Noel C Kelly	165	t	00/0-0	85	90	21	36d	—	—	+8	9.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
0-7 over hurdles and tailed off in two recent runs for new yard in handicaps
NR	Tropical Speed Bay J:Mr A Harney(7) T:Eoin Doyle	J:Mr A Harney(7) T:Eoin Doyle	167	—	U00-0	87	72	22	14d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Shown nothing in four starts so far at huge odds; reserve
NR	Little Hero Bay J:Mr K P Healy(7) T:Paul Mulligan	J:Mr K P Healy(7) T:Paul Mulligan	165	p	FP8-60	85	92	46	13d	—	—	—	8.8	—	—
8th; in claiming hurdle was the best of her form so far; now tries cheekpieces; reserve
NR	Mabel In May Bay J:TBC T:Conor David Maxwell	J: T:Conor David Maxwell	161	—	08P-09	81	84	45	7d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Poor form in five runs to date including when tailed off at Punchestown last week; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
O'Faolains Glory	3/1	3/1	11/4	5/2	3/1
Aliunde	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1
How Decc	5/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	5/1
Cramers Valley	7/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	13/2
Springboard	11/1	11/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Beau's Candle	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Sula Warrior	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Kalsman	14/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Lucky Two	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Derby De Thaix	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Billable Grant	28/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Ben Thomson	33/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Mastermind	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Sky Tempest	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Ghumama	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Beau's Candle

19.1

OR: 9 Form: 8 Odds: 2.1

11/1

2nd

O'Faolains Glory

17.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Aliunde

16.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

5/1

How Decc

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 5

5/1

Cramers Valley

12.8

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Springboard

11.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Sula Warrior

11.2

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Kalsman

11.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Mastermind

9.8

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Derby De Thaix

9.4

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Tropical Speed

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Billable Grant

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ghumama

9.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Lucky Two

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

18/1

Ben Thomson

8.9

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Little Hero

8.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sky Tempest

8.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Mabel In May

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
O'Faolains Glory	92	89	—
Cramers Valley	88	90	67
Kalsman	88	98	67
Aliunde	87	90	26
Springboard	87	82	71
Sula Warrior	87	96	60
Tropical Speed	87	72	22
How Decc	86	96	76
Beau's Candle	86	90	72
Mastermind	86	91	79
Ghumama	85	90	21
Little Hero	85	92	46
Derby De Thaix	84	96	54
Billable Grant	83	95	45
Ben Thomson	82	91	60
Lucky Two	81	82	55
Sky Tempest	81	79	30
Mabel In May	81	84	45

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mabel In May	7d ago	Quick return
Little Hero	13d ago	Quick return
Tropical Speed	14d ago	Fit
How Decc	15d ago	Fit
Cramers Valley	18d ago	Fit
O'Faolains Glory	21d ago	Fit
Aliunde	22d ago	Fit
Sula Warrior	22d ago	Fit
Kalsman	22d ago	Fit
Billable Grant	22d ago	Fit
Springboard	25d ago	Fit
Lucky Two	25d ago	Fit
Sky Tempest	28d ago	Fit
Ghumama	36d ago	Fit
Beau's Candle	57d ago	Fresh
Derby De Thaix	152d ago	Long break
Mastermind	211d ago	Long break
Ben Thomson	290d ago	Long break