Long Shot Seltzer Spring British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Newmarket (July)

19:45

Date 2024-06-21

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,154

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Rhetorical Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	136	—	1	-	94	73	35d	—	—	-24	27.9	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Has plenty of potential and will only have learned from Newbury; holds leading claims
1 (7)	Ciro Di Marzio Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Ralph Beckett	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ralph Beckett	136	—	91-	-	85	41	254d	—	—	+3	12.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Still holds an Irish Derby entry next weekend and remains open to improvement on comeback
2 (6)	More Thunder Bay J:Kevin Stott T:Sir Michael Stoute	J:Kevin Stott T:Sir Michael Stoute	136	—	51	-	86	57	31d	—	—	0	14	1.50/1	6/1 14%
More like it last time (third successful since) but he'll need another decent step forward
5 (5)	Burrito Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Yard won this three times on the spin (2019, 2021, 2022) and he's bred to be useful
4 (4)	Specialisation Bay J:Neil Callan T:Richard Hannon	J:Neil Callan T:Richard Hannon	136	—	9-1	-	89	28	55d	—	—	+1	13.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Beat a subsequent winner on his AW return; will want to settle better upped from 8.7f
7 (1)	Salik Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	130	—	82	-	78	72	13d	—	—	+3	5.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Best of the rest behind an easy winner last time; his future surely lies in handicaps
6 (3)	Different Drum Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Louise Allan	J:Dylan Hogan T:Louise Allan	130	—	0-	-	-	-	240d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Picked up from the Charlton yard for just 1,000gns and looks to be flying way too high

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Rhetorical	8/11	8/11	4/6	8/13	8/11
Ciro Di Marzio	7/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1
More Thunder	11/2	11/2	6/1	9/2	11/2
Burrito	7/1	17/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Specialisation	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Salik	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Different Drum	150/1	100/1	125/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rhetorical

27.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 17.9

8/11

2nd

More Thunder

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Specialisation

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Ciro Di Marzio

12.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.9

15/2

Salik

5.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Burrito

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

17/2

Different Drum

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rhetorical	—	94	73
Ciro Di Marzio	—	85	41
More Thunder	—	86	57
Burrito	—	—	—
Specialisation	—	89	28
Salik	—	78	72
Different Drum	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Salik	13d ago	Quick return
More Thunder	31d ago	Fit
Rhetorical	35d ago	Fit
Specialisation	55d ago	Fresh
Different Drum	240d ago	Long break
Ciro Di Marzio	254d ago	Long break
Burrito	—	—