Long Shot Refresher Handicap – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

18:35

Long Shot Refresher Handicap

Date 2024-06-21

Distance 1m

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,154

Winning Time 1m 37.86s (slow by 0.46s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Global Asset (IRE) Cieren Fallon · William Haggas	13/8F	Won
2nd	Berkshire Nugget (IRE) Joshua Bryan · Andrew Balding	100/30	.75
3rd	Great Chieftain (IRE) Georgia Dobie · Paul & Oliver Cole	9/2	4.25
4th	Marmaduke Lemon (GB) Pierre-Louis Jamin · Edward Bethell	5/1	.75
5th	Ihopeyoulike (GB) Sean D Bowen · Ismail Mohammed	22/1	1.25
6th	Stratocracy (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Kevin Frost	33/1	0.3
7th	Kindest Nation (IRE) Ross Coakley · Hugo Palmer	12/1	3.5
8th	Never Fear (IRE) Neil Callan · Charlie Johnston	33/1	7

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (7)	Global Asset Chestnut J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	J:Cieren Fallon T:William Haggas	132	—	073-2	72	89	80	39d	—	—	-12	20.5	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Subsequent dual winner behind when going close off 3lb lower on his comeback; shortlisted
3 (9)	Berkshire Nugget Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Andrew Balding	J:Joshua Bryan T:Andrew Balding	133	—	444-23	73	82	37	48d	—	—	-9	11.9	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Four straight defeats at 2-1 or shorter and there can only be so many excuses
8 (2)	Great Chieftain Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Paul & Oliver Cole	130	b	5-3652	70	87	70	31d	—	—	-9	10.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Bumped into one at Nottingham last time; should go well if settling better tonight
1 (4)	Marmaduke Lemon Chestnut J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Edward Bethell	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Edward Bethell	135	—	0-236	75	84	-	94d	—	—	-2	9.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
No certainty the step up to a stiff 1m will suit on his turf debut; watch the market
6 (1)	Kindest Nation Brown J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	132	—	51338	72	84	80	13d	—	—	+7	14.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Hasn't kicked on from her Tapeta maiden win in the spring; bit to prove now
2 (3)	Never Fear Chestnut J:Neil Callan T:Charlie Johnston	J:Neil Callan T:Charlie Johnston	135	p	11-588	75	79	-	16d	—	—	+4	7.1	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three turf efforts have been ordinary (3-4 on Tapeta last year); hard to recommend
7 (5)	Ihopeyoulike Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Ismail Mohammed	131	t	5670-	71	77	50	297d	—	—	+2	6.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Over-raced in front in first-time headgear when last seen ten months ago; watch the market
9 (6)	Stratocracy Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Frost	128	—	94-759	68	81	85	85d	—	—	+2	5.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Failed to finish placed in seven starts after three ordinary runs for this yard latterly
NR (8)	Sheila's Paradise Grey J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	J:Sam Hitchcott T:Richard Hannon	133	—	764	73	78	55	21d	—	—	—	5.8	—	—
Shown enough to suggest he can feature off this sort of mark now handicapping back at 1m

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Global Asset	6/4	6/4	13/8
Berkshire Nugget	3/1	10/3	11/4
Great Chieftain	9/2	7/2	9/2
Marmaduke Lemon	8/1	7/1	7/1
Kindest Nation	11/1	10/1	10/1
Never Fear	28/1	22/1	25/1
Ihopeyoulike	33/1	28/1	28/1
Stratocracy	28/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Global Asset

20.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 5 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Kindest Nation

14.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Berkshire Nugget

11.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

Great Chieftain

10.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Marmaduke Lemon

9.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Never Fear

7.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ihopeyoulike

6.5

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

33/1

Sheila's Paradise

5.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Stratocracy

5.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Marmaduke Lemon	75	84	—
Never Fear	75	79	—
Berkshire Nugget	73	82	37
Sheila's Paradise	73	78	55
Global Asset	72	89	80
Kindest Nation	72	84	80
Ihopeyoulike	71	77	50
Great Chieftain	70	87	70
Stratocracy	68	81	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kindest Nation	13d ago	Quick return
Never Fear	16d ago	Fit
Sheila's Paradise	21d ago	Fit
Great Chieftain	31d ago	Fit
Global Asset	39d ago	Fit
Berkshire Nugget	48d ago	Fresh
Stratocracy	85d ago	Fresh
Marmaduke Lemon	94d ago	Long break
Ihopeyoulike	297d ago	Long break