Mount Charles Handicap – Down Royal

Down Royal

16:30

Mount Charles Handicap

Date 2024-06-22

Distance 1m4f175y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (13)	Charlie Luciano Bay J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	137	—	0674-1	60	68	34	15d	—	—	-4	19.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
129-rated four-time hurdles winner, recently gained first Flat win on the tenth attempt
4 (17)	Numidia Bay J:Killian Leonard T:Peter Lawlor	J:Killian Leonard T:Peter Lawlor	139	v	24-271	62	70	27	15d	—	—	-12	9.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won in fine style at Fairyhouse under a positive ride, 9lb rise does not seem unreasonable
3 (8)	Evening's Empire Grey J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Jack Kearney(5) T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	141	—	34270-	64	70	53	—	—	—	-1	9.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Third in a handicap hurdle last time, in the frame in two Flat handicaps here last season
6 (15)	Gordons Aura Bay J:W J Lee T:Gordon Elliott	J:W J Lee T:Gordon Elliott	137	p	850/9-	60	70	-	—	—	—	-4	5.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Fairyhouse maiden hurdle winner early last year, a long time since he ran on the Flat
2 (6)	Son Of Hypnos Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Kevin Michael Smith	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Kevin Michael Smith	142	t	650/4-	65	66	7	—	—	—	-4	6.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Has been showing fair form over jumps but has failed to add to his Fkat score since 2020
1 (12)	El C Wells Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:Paul Mulligan	J:Kevin Sexton T:Paul Mulligan	142	—	01D6D/91	65	72	4	35d	—	—	-2	5.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Change of stable did the trick when she won a 1m5f handicap at Navan five weeks ago
12 (1)	Sand Castle Bay J:Gary Halpin T:Adrian Murray	J:Gary Halpin T:Adrian Murray	127	tb	9-0046	50	68	-	35d	—	—	-6	2.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not bad efforts last month at Sligo and Navan but needs to find a bit extra
8 (4)	No Trouble Bay J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	J:Donagh O'Connor T:John C McConnell	131	t	78-097	54	67	54	14d	—	—	-5	3.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Much better record on AW (5-35) than on turf (1-23) though this going should suit him
R15 (11)	Mythical Times Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:P Cluskey	J:Nathan Crosse T:P Cluskey	124	—	0/40-0	47	69	24	35d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
First reserve, over two years since a Navan second that seemed encouraging, now 0-23
11 (3)	Calmafterthestorm Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:John C McConnell	127	—	897	50	69	-	88d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Some merit on the latest of three AW maiden outings; hard to assess but others preferred
10 (9)	Albion Princess Bay J:Sean Bird(7) T:Donal Kinsella	J:Sean Bird(7) T:Donal Kinsella	128	t	060-00	51	71	-	71d	—	—	-2	1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Turf/AW winner for the Charltons, regressive at Dundalk; plenty to prove at this stage
14 (2)	Curzon Queen Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:H Smyth	J:James Ryan(5) T:H Smyth	124	p	3569-0	47	68	43	—	—	—	-3	1.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Went close at Dundalk last October, has been running over hurdles lately, does not appeal
9 (7)	Bedelia Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:John Joseph Hanlon	J:Gavin Ryan T:John Joseph Hanlon	130	—	00100-	53	71	47	—	—	—	+4	6.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Disappointing on Flat and over hurdles for this stable since claiming race win a year ago
NR (5)	Duleek Street Bay J:Cian Fahy(10) T:John C McConnell	J:Cian Fahy(10) T:John C McConnell	131	—	28/8-9	54	70	46	46d	—	—	—	1	—	—
Winning hurdler, may have needed the run at Navan last month after a winter break
NR (10)	Bigz Belief Bay J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Matthew J Smith	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Matthew J Smith	126	tb	30698-	49	65	64	—	—	—	—	0.6	—	—
Better known as a three-time hurdles winner, only Flat win was in 2021, hard to fancy
NR (16)	Hungry Rock Bay J:TBC T:Mark Michael McNiff	J: T:Mark Michael McNiff	139	b	675	62	61	14	22d	—	—	—	3	—	—
Second reserve, not much encouragement from his form in maidens, may improve in blinkers
NR (14)	Applejack Poet Bay J:TBC T:Liz Doyle	J: T:Liz Doyle	124	—	08-08	47	71	-	19d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Third reserve, handicap hurdle winner on good ground last summer, weak form on Flat so far

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Charlie Luciano	5/2	11/4	5/2	11/4	9/4
Numidia	11/4	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1
Evening's Empire	13/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	13/2
Gordons Aura	8/1	17/2	8/1	17/2	8/1
Son Of Hypnos	7/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
El C Wells	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Sand Castle	14/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	8/1
No Trouble	16/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Mythical Times	33/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
Calmafterthestorm	33/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Albion Princess	40/1	40/1	40/1	25/1	33/1
Curzon Queen	50/1	22/1	22/1	18/1	20/1
Bedelia	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Charlie Luciano

19.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Evening's Empire

9.7

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Numidia

9.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

7/2

Son Of Hypnos

6.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

17/2

Bedelia

6.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

El C Wells

5.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Gordons Aura

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

No Trouble

3.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

16/1

Hungry Rock

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sand Castle

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

14/1

Curzon Queen

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

50/1

Albion Princess

OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Duleek Street

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mythical Times

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Calmafterthestorm

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Bigz Belief

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0

—

Applejack Poet

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Son Of Hypnos	65	66	7
El C Wells	65	72	4
Evening's Empire	64	70	53
Numidia	62	70	27
Hungry Rock	62	61	14
Charlie Luciano	60	68	34
Gordons Aura	60	70	—
No Trouble	54	67	54
Duleek Street	54	70	46
Bedelia	53	71	47
Albion Princess	51	71	—
Sand Castle	50	68	—
Calmafterthestorm	50	69	—
Bigz Belief	49	65	64
Mythical Times	47	69	24
Curzon Queen	47	68	43
Applejack Poet	47	71	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
No Trouble	14d ago	Fit
Charlie Luciano	15d ago	Fit
Numidia	15d ago	Fit
Applejack Poet	19d ago	Fit
Hungry Rock	22d ago	Fit
El C Wells	35d ago	Fit
Sand Castle	35d ago	Fit
Mythical Times	35d ago	Fit
Duleek Street	46d ago	Fresh
Albion Princess	71d ago	Fresh
Calmafterthestorm	88d ago	Fresh
Evening's Empire	—	—
Gordons Aura	—	—
Son Of Hypnos	—	—
Curzon Queen	—	—
Bedelia	—	—
Bigz Belief	—	—