Stablemate By AGMA Cumberland Plate Handicap – Carlisle

Carlisle

15:05

Stablemate By AGMA Cumberland Plate Handicap

Date 2024-06-26

Distance 1m3f39y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £15,702

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11 (1)	Sea The Thunder Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	J:Hector Crouch T:Ralph Beckett	129	—	923-32	84	89	77	22d	—	—	-9	15.9	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Best form in 2nd of six at Leicester (1m4f, good to soft) last time in his second handicap
4 (4)	Born Ruler Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	140	p	15-222	82	89	69	12d	—	—	-9	15.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Three 2nds this term but repeatedly hung right at Sandown latest; cheekpieces are enlisted
3 (11)	Gallant Lion Roan J:William Buick T:Alan King	J:William Buick T:Alan King	141	—	50-364	83	91	79	12d	—	—	-4	13.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Met trouble in running on the heels of Born Ruler at Sandown latest start; each-way chance
1 (8)	Asgard's Captain Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	142	—	118253	84	88	72	25d	—	—	+9	18.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Unraced on firmer than good; four AW wins this January-March and running well back on turf
8 (10)	Ludo's Landing Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	342241	76	89	73	18d	—	—	+16	22.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Very solid this year, winning at Beverley 18 days ago; also has a 2-2 record at Carlisle
10 (5)	Gibside Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	J:Duran Fentiman T:Tim Easterby	130	—	56-813	72	91	77	11d	—	—	+1	7.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
C&D winner; good third of 18 from off the pace in amateurs event at York on latest outing
2 (3)	Baryshnikov Chestnut J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	142	—	416664	84	89	65	11d	—	—	+8	11.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Rarely seen beyond 10.4f but shaped as if he got 1m4f in amateurs race at York 11 days ago
9 (12)	Simple Star Bay J:Jason Hart T:Dianne Sayer	J:Jason Hart T:Dianne Sayer	133	—	12-250	75	89	62	24d	—	—	+4	7.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Close second on reappearance, which has been followed however by two heavy defeats
6 (6)	Ravenscraig Castle Grey J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	138	b	239-64	80	91	83	—	—	—	+5	8.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won here in 2021 and beaten a neck in this last year on his second visit; blinkers now
7 (9)	Thundering Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	136	—	05-700	78	90	45	11d	—	—	+5	7.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Showed his good side to score at Ayr last September and has a 4lb lower mark today
5 (7)	Desert Emperor Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	140	—	4562/8	82	85	49	23d	—	—	+6	8.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Never involved when 40-1 on return this month, having missed 2023; market can guide again
12 (2)	Ayr Poet Bay J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(5) T:Jim Goldie	125	—	35-327	67	86	60	4d	—	—	+3	4.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Latest start is easy to forgive but he's usually seen at up to 1m2f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sea The Thunder	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Born Ruler	5/2	11/4	5/2	11/4	5/2
Gallant Lion	9/2	9/2	9/2	10/3	9/2
Asgard's Captain	9/1	17/2	17/2	7/1	17/2
Ludo's Landing	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Gibside	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Baryshnikov	25/1	22/1	25/1	20/1	25/1
Simple Star	25/1	25/1	25/1	20/1	25/1
Ravenscraig Castle	33/1	25/1	28/1	22/1	28/1
Thundering	33/1	28/1	28/1	25/1	33/1
Desert Emperor	50/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Ayr Poet	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ludo's Landing

22.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 14 Odds: 1.6

14/1

2nd

Asgard's Captain

18.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

3rd

Sea The Thunder

15.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.4

5/2

Born Ruler

15.3

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Gallant Lion

13.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Baryshnikov

11.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1

25/1

Desert Emperor

8.7

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ravenscraig Castle

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Thundering

7.8

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Simple Star

7.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Gibside

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ayr Poet

4.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sea The Thunder	84	89	77
Asgard's Captain	84	88	72
Baryshnikov	84	89	65
Gallant Lion	83	91	79
Born Ruler	82	89	69
Desert Emperor	82	85	49
Ravenscraig Castle	80	91	83
Thundering	78	90	45
Ludo's Landing	76	89	73
Simple Star	75	89	62
Gibside	72	91	77
Ayr Poet	67	86	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ayr Poet	4d ago	Quick return
Gibside	11d ago	Quick return
Baryshnikov	11d ago	Quick return
Thundering	11d ago	Quick return
Born Ruler	12d ago	Quick return
Gallant Lion	12d ago	Quick return
Ludo's Landing	18d ago	Fit
Sea The Thunder	22d ago	Fit
Desert Emperor	23d ago	Fit
Simple Star	24d ago	Fit
Asgard's Captain	25d ago	Fit
Ravenscraig Castle	—	—

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Gibside	Hold Up
Baryshnikov	Hold Up
Simple Star	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.