Jenningsbet Northumberland Plate Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Newcastle (AW)

15:10

Date 2024-06-29

Distance 2m56y

Class Class 2

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £81,000

Runners (20)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14 (10)	Trooper Bisdee Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Hollie Doyle T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	118	—	114-11	90	115	-	6d	—	—	-7	17.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
6-9 in handicaps, well on top at Nottingham and Pontefract (last Sunday) in his two starts
3 (18)	Spartan Army Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Alan King	J:Billy Loughnane T:Alan King	123	—	-11135	95	121	108	71d	—	—	+16	26.2	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won three in a row before his creditable third at Newcastle on finals day, all over 2m
5 (12)	Onesmoothoperator Brown J:Connor Beasley T:Brian Ellison	J:Connor Beasley T:Brian Ellison	121	—	-64282	93	117	82	62d	—	—	+11	20.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Running well here over 1m4f/2m and a player on that but he has a modest strike-rate
2 (1)	Yashin Bay J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Scott McCullagh(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	133	—	674-33	105	118	-	43d	—	—	+8	16.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Best form when beaten 3l in the Ebor; unraced both beyond 1m6f (may well stay) and on AW
4 (13)	Zoffee Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	122	—	6080-1	94	120	-	50d	—	—	+15	23.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won the Vase on this card in 2022; nearly won last year's Chester Cup and won it this year
12 (14)	Grand Providence Bay J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	J:David Probert T:Andrew Balding	118	—	210-35	90	119	-	50d	—	—	+4	12.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Assuming she's fully effective on this surface, she could still have more to offer
10 (20)	Duke Of Oxford Bay J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Michael Bell	J:Tyler Heard(3) T:Michael Bell	118	t	11-320	90	121	109	50d	—	—	+5	11.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Progressive on AW; fine second off this mark over C&D at the AW Championships in March
6 (15)	True Legend Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Cieren Fallon T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	120	—	825-22	92	118	-	35d	—	—	+6	12.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Can race freely but made a strong late bid when short-headed over 1m6f at Goodwood latest
16 (9)	Howth Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Michael Appleby	J:Marco Ghiani T:Michael Appleby	116	h	0-5414	88	119	110	92d	—	—	+5	11.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Creditable 4th when upped to 2m here on AW Championships day in March last time
1 (16)	Tashkhan Bay J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	J:Ben Robinson T:Brian Ellison	139	—	80133-	111	115	-	244d	—	—	+21	27	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not proven on AW; needs to be in peak form on this first run since October
7 (8)	Too Friendly Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:James Owen	J:Callum Shepherd T:James Owen	119	p	8/1024	91	118	69	27d	—	—	+7	11.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Smooth 2m winner on the Kempton AW in March; has run well on turf since over 1m6f and 1m5f
8 (7)	Zealandia Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Ian Williams	J:Josephine Gordon T:Ian Williams	119	p	35-190	91	120	86	50d	—	—	+7	11.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Kept on well for 2m win on New Year's Day on his only run at Newcastle; big shout on that
9 (6)	Spirit Mixer Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Andrew Balding	J:George Rooke T:Andrew Balding	119	p	7-8903	91	113	102	20d	—	—	+8	11.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
2nd in this in 2022; missed most of 2023; down the weights and 3rd at Goodwood latest run
15 (19)	Evaluation Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Lucinda Russell	J:Andrew Mullen T:Lucinda Russell	116	t	45-591	88	119	79	67d	—	—	+7	10.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Layoff last term; got up close home at Wolverhampton (2m, AW) in April on latest outing
18 (17)	Forza Orta Bay J:James Sullivan T:Kevin Ryan	J:James Sullivan T:Kevin Ryan	115	—	18-786	87	115	-	35d	—	—	+7	10	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Just 1lb higher than for York 2m win last August but below form since and makes AW debut
19 (3)	Rathgar Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Jack Channon	J:Cam Hardie T:Jack Channon	114	—	2-3132	86	117	39	13d	—	—	+10	13.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Close on sole AW start; 2lb wrong but in career-best form and worth this first crack at 2m
11 (4)	Solent Gateway Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Hugo Palmer	J:Rowan Scott T:Hugo Palmer	118	tp	3-0002	90	115	55	35d	—	—	+10	12.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Back down the weights and was still good enough for second at Haydock on latest start
20 (2)	Artisan Dancer Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Charlie Johnston	114	—	534373	86	115	88	13d	—	—	+13	14.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Effective at this track and at 2m but he is 3lb out of the handicap and looks vulnerable
13 (5)	Island Brave Bay J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Heather Main	J:Ethan Jones(5) T:Heather Main	118	—	/2-048	90	112	54	7d	—	—	+12	13.9	37.50/1	150/1 1%
10yo; missed nearly all of last season and has not provided a persuasive case this term
17 (11)	Golden Flame Bay J:Duran Fentiman T:Deborah Faulkner	J:Duran Fentiman T:Deborah Faulkner	115	—	36025/	87	-	-	612d	—	—	+12	13.7	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Unraced since October 2022, having left Charlie Johnston's for 8,000gns last November

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Trooper Bisdee	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
Spartan Army	15/2	7/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Onesmoothoperator	9/1	17/2	10/1	10/1	9/1
Yashin	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Zoffee	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Grand Providence	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Duke Of Oxford	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
True Legend	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Howth	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Tashkhan	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
Too Friendly	20/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
Zealandia	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Spirit Mixer	22/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Evaluation	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Forza Orta	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Rathgar	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Solent Gateway	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Artisan Dancer	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	66/1
Island Brave	150/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Golden Flame	150/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tashkhan

OR: 15.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

2nd

Spartan Army

26.2

OR: 11.3 Form: 12.1 Odds: 2.9

8/1

3rd

Zoffee

23.2

OR: 11 Form: 10 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Onesmoothoperator

20.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Trooper Bisdee

17.3

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Yashin

16.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Artisan Dancer

14.5

OR: 9 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Island Brave

13.9

OR: 10 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Golden Flame

13.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 4.1 Odds: 0.4

150/1

Rathgar

13.3

OR: 9 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Solent Gateway

12.9

OR: 10 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Grand Providence

12.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

True Legend

12.2

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Duke Of Oxford

11.7

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Too Friendly

11.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Zealandia

11.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Spirit Mixer

11.2

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Howth

11.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Evaluation

10.3

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Forza Orta

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tashkhan	111	115	—
Yashin	105	118	—
Spartan Army	95	121	108
Zoffee	94	120	—
Onesmoothoperator	93	117	82
True Legend	92	118	—
Too Friendly	91	118	69
Zealandia	91	120	86
Spirit Mixer	91	113	102
Trooper Bisdee	90	115	—
Grand Providence	90	119	—
Duke Of Oxford	90	121	109
Solent Gateway	90	115	55
Island Brave	90	112	54
Howth	88	119	110
Evaluation	88	119	79
Forza Orta	87	115	—
Golden Flame	87	—	—
Rathgar	86	117	39
Artisan Dancer	86	115	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Trooper Bisdee	6d ago	Quick return
Island Brave	7d ago	Quick return
Rathgar	13d ago	Quick return
Artisan Dancer	13d ago	Quick return
Spirit Mixer	20d ago	Fit
Too Friendly	27d ago	Fit
True Legend	35d ago	Fit
Forza Orta	35d ago	Fit
Solent Gateway	35d ago	Fit
Yashin	43d ago	Fit
Zoffee	50d ago	Fresh
Grand Providence	50d ago	Fresh
Duke Of Oxford	50d ago	Fresh
Zealandia	50d ago	Fresh
Onesmoothoperator	62d ago	Fresh
Evaluation	67d ago	Fresh
Spartan Army	71d ago	Fresh
Howth	92d ago	Long break
Tashkhan	244d ago	Long break
Golden Flame	612d ago	Long break