Dubai Duty Free Rockingham Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Curragh

14:50

Date 2024-06-30

Distance 5f

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (14)	Sturlasson Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Kieran P Cotter	J:Oisin Murphy T:Kieran P Cotter	121	—	68-012	92	114	105	29d	—	—	-6	17.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Looked unlucky when second to Blue Storm at Epsom, form franked, holds a leading chance
12 (7)	Lethal Nymph Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Paul Midgley	J:Joe Fanning T:Paul Midgley	119	—	050282	84	119	90	14d	—	—	+7	19.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
All four wins came two seasons ago but in good form this term, second at Thirsk on latest
14 (3)	Kendall Roy Bay J:Chris Hayes T:Miss Kate McGivern	J:Chris Hayes T:Miss Kate McGivern	119	t	1-1121	90	110	87	25d	—	—	+9	20.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Four wins and a second from five handicap starts, only 3lb wrong and worth considering
1 (8)	Korker Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	140	p	1-7493	105	112	77	22d	—	—	+15	23.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Six-time 5f winner, best of his four runs this term when fourth of 17 at York, big burden
8 (10)	Little Queenie Grey J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Paul W Flynn	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Paul W Flynn	126	—	1051-2	91	111	94	37d	—	—	+9	17.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Made a lot of the running and only just denied in a 6f handicap here on seasonal debut
4 (16)	Big Gossey Grey J:Gary Carroll T:Charles O'Brien	J:Gary Carroll T:Charles O'Brien	133	—	-05469	98	115	67	36d	—	—	+6	14.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Boasts a fine record at this venue (five wins), now back on his last winning handicap mark
9 (6)	Jm Jungle Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	124	—	-51D470	89	117	80	28d	—	—	+6	14.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Not far behind today's rival Korker in valuable York event, below best at Hamilton
2 (12)	Thunderbear Bay J:Colin Keane T:Jack W Davison	J:Colin Keane T:Jack W Davison	140	p	-08581	105	108	70	22d	—	—	+19	25.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Raised 5lb for beating Arnhem at Navan but still 2lb below his career-high rating
11 (4)	Harry's Hill Bay J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Martin Hassett	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:Martin Hassett	119	t	20-762	84	109	97	43d	—	—	+4	10.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Always up with the pace when second to Amazing Lady at Navan, won this race last year
15 (9)	Greek Flower Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:John James Feane	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:John James Feane	119	—	2119-2	84	104	87	9d	—	—	+10	14.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Course 6f winner on heavy, ran well on good on seasonal debut, 6lb out of the handicap
6 (1)	Amazon Lady Bay J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	128	v	52-791	93	107	96	43d	—	—	+8	11.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Ran in four consecutive Listed races before beating Harry's Hill in a 5f handicap at Navan
3 (2)	Twilight Jet Bay J:John R Velazquez T:M D O'Callaghan	J:John R Velazquez T:M D O'Callaghan	139	v	180-92	104	107	82	42d	—	—	+11	14.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Three-time stakes winner, up 8lb for Listed second on latest, tough task as a result
13 (15)	Shandy Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:J A Stack	J:Wayne Lordan T:J A Stack	119	h	3-160	90	108	67	51d	—	—	+10	12.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Sights lowered now after two Listed runs since Cork 5f maiden win on heavy, hooded now
16 (11)	Bold Optimist Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Daniel McLoughlin	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Daniel McLoughlin	119	p	3-5019	84	102	86	9d	—	—	+9	11.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Rider's 7lb claim is an asset but has too much to do from 12lb out of the handicap
7 (5)	Arnhem Bay J:Gavin Ryan T:M G Quinn	J:Gavin Ryan T:M G Quinn	127	—	-40027	92	106	76	16d	—	—	+12	14.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran in a Listed race last time, second to Thunderbear in a handicap at Navan before that
17 (13)	Reinforce Chestnut J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Miss Katy Brown	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Miss Katy Brown	119	—	606427	84	89	76	31d	—	—	+12	12.1	50.00/1	200/1 0%
0-21 record is off-putting in any case but has no chance from 29lb out of the handicap
NR (17)	So Majestic Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Miss Kate McGivern	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Miss Kate McGivern	130	ht	554383	95	107	82	8d	—	—	—	15.8	—	—
Down in class after Listed attempts, trainer probably has a better chance with Kendall Roy

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sturlasson	11/4	5/2	9/4	11/4	11/4
Lethal Nymph	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Kendall Roy	7/1	13/2	13/2	6/1	7/1
Korker	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Little Queenie	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1
Big Gossey	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Jm Jungle	9/1	10/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Thunderbear	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Harry's Hill	14/1	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Greek Flower	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Amazon Lady	28/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Twilight Jet	25/1	28/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Shandy	28/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1
Bold Optimist	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Arnhem	40/1	40/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Reinforce	200/1	200/1	200/1	150/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thunderbear

25.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

12/1

2nd

Korker

23.1

OR: 13.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Kendall Roy

20.3

OR: 10 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Lethal Nymph

19.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Sturlasson

17.8

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

Little Queenie

17.5

OR: 10.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

So Majestic

15.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 0

—

Greek Flower

14.7

OR: 8.5 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Arnhem

14.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Twilight Jet

14.4

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Big Gossey

14.2

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Jm Jungle

14.1

OR: 9.8 Form: 2 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Shandy

12.9

OR: 10 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Reinforce

12.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Amazon Lady

11.6

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Bold Optimist

11.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Harry's Hill

10.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Korker	105	112	77
Thunderbear	105	108	70
Twilight Jet	104	107	82
Big Gossey	98	115	67
So Majestic	95	107	82
Amazon Lady	93	107	96
Sturlasson	92	114	105
Arnhem	92	106	76
Little Queenie	91	111	94
Kendall Roy	90	110	87
Shandy	90	108	67
Jm Jungle	89	117	80
Lethal Nymph	84	119	90
Harry's Hill	84	109	97
Greek Flower	84	104	87
Bold Optimist	84	102	86
Reinforce	84	89	76

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
So Majestic	8d ago	Quick return
Greek Flower	9d ago	Quick return
Bold Optimist	9d ago	Quick return
Lethal Nymph	14d ago	Fit
Arnhem	16d ago	Fit
Korker	22d ago	Fit
Thunderbear	22d ago	Fit
Kendall Roy	25d ago	Fit
Jm Jungle	28d ago	Fit
Sturlasson	29d ago	Fit
Reinforce	31d ago	Fit
Big Gossey	36d ago	Fit
Little Queenie	37d ago	Fit
Twilight Jet	42d ago	Fit
Harry's Hill	43d ago	Fit
Amazon Lady	43d ago	Fit
Shandy	51d ago	Fresh