Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap – Pontefract

Pontefract

14:40

Napoleons Casino Bradford Handicap

Date 2024-07-01

Distance 5f3y

Class Class 6

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (2)	Cavalier Approach Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Edward Bethell	J:Rossa Ryan T:Edward Bethell	142	b	18-745	67	77	56	9d	—	—	-8	9.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Front-runner who's drawn to attack under Rossa Ryan and looks to have plenty in his favour
8 (1)	Glory Hyde Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Billy Loughnane T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	136	—	6-7241	66	74	52	15d	—	—	-7	8.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Better since returned to turf and today's stiffer 5f should suit; on the shortlist
7 (6)	Gis A Sub Bay J:Mark Winn(3) T:Paul Midgley	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Paul Midgley	136	p	-80966	61	76	55	26d	—	—	-8	7.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Long time since he finished placed and he never looked like justifying support last time
4 (7)	Mereside Angel Grey J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Callum Rodriguez T:David & Nicola Barron	139	—	0-0843	64	74	55	13d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Well handicapped and back in form (race didn't pan out his way last time); should go well
9 (5)	Secret Command Grey J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Connor Murtagh T:Adrian Nicholls	135	—	16-215	65	75	57	15d	—	—	-4	6.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Closely matched with Glory Hyde on latest Thirsk running (5lb better off); one to consider
3 (9)	Sound Reason Chestnut J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	141	b	-47644	66	75	58	19d	—	—	-2	6.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ideally suited by a stiff 5f and has to enter calculations after a solid effort last time
6 (10)	Havagomecca Chestnut J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	137	b	6-7972	62	73	63	18d	—	—	-1	4.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has regressed in the past year but found her level again now; is one to consider
2 (8)	Let's Go Hugo Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Ollie Pears	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Ollie Pears	141	—	-30144	66	74	54	23d	—	—	+6	11	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has continued in form since his Tapeta win off 3lb lower; player if getting some luck
11 (11)	Protest Rally Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	J:Billy Garritty T:Liam Bailey	133	p	540124	58	76	63	7d	—	—	+8	11.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Held a couple of times off his revised mark since his Musselburgh win; stall 11 tough
10 (3)	Never This Way Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	134	e/s	-06689	59	74	61	10d	—	—	0	3.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Ex-William Haggas maiden who's regressed this year; new headgear needs to work
5 (12)	Astapor Bay J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:John David Riches	J:Rhys Elliott(7) T:John David Riches	137	—	69-810	62	74	52	25d	—	—	+1	3.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
At his best this time last year but stall 12 is as bad as it gets for a front-runner
12 (4)	Mr Stanley Bay J:Andrew Elliott T:Philip Kirby	J:Andrew Elliott T:Philip Kirby	129	—	00-669	54	70	-	137d	—	—	-1	1.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Nothing from this yard can be discounted currently but he isn't obviously fancied

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cavalier Approach	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2	4/1
Glory Hyde	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Gis A Sub	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mereside Angel	15/2	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Secret Command	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Sound Reason	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Havagomecca	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Let's Go Hugo	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Protest Rally	28/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Never This Way	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Astapor	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Mr Stanley	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Protest Rally

11.6

OR: 2 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.1

28/1

2nd

Let's Go Hugo

OR: 4 Form: 5.6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

3rd

Cavalier Approach

9.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Glory Hyde

8.4

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Gis A Sub

7.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Secret Command

6.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Mereside Angel

6.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Sound Reason

6.5

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Havagomecca

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Astapor

3.8

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Never This Way

3.2

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Mr Stanley

1.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cavalier Approach	67	77	56
Glory Hyde	66	74	52
Sound Reason	66	75	58
Let's Go Hugo	66	74	54
Secret Command	65	75	57
Mereside Angel	64	74	55
Havagomecca	62	73	63
Astapor	62	74	52
Gis A Sub	61	76	55
Never This Way	59	74	61
Protest Rally	58	76	63
Mr Stanley	54	70	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Protest Rally	7d ago	Quick return
Cavalier Approach	9d ago	Quick return
Never This Way	10d ago	Quick return
Mereside Angel	13d ago	Quick return
Glory Hyde	15d ago	Fit
Secret Command	15d ago	Fit
Havagomecca	18d ago	Fit
Sound Reason	19d ago	Fit
Let's Go Hugo	23d ago	Fit
Astapor	25d ago	Fit
Gis A Sub	26d ago	Fit
Mr Stanley	137d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Cavalier Approach	Front Runner
Astapor	Front Runner
Let's Go Hugo	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 3 of 12 runners classified.