Unibet More Boosts In More Races Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Kempton (AW)

18:25

Date 2024-07-04

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,780

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Consuelo Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	J:Rob Hornby T:Ralph Beckett	128	—	0-3	-	91	60	28d	—	—	-15	11	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Promising 3rd on her reappearance last month (1m2f); more to come and she's a key player
5 (2)	La Cadalora Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	128	h	3-	-	86	38	232d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Promising debut here (1m) in November; new trip should suit; more to come; hooded today
8 (8)	Russian Crescendo Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Half-sister to two classy winners; dam a 7f winner from a fine family; respected newcomer
7 (6)	Rouge Sellier Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	h	33-	-	89	68	242d	—	—	-3	8.4	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Promise in two 1m events as a 2yo; wind op since; hooded for return; stamina not assured
9 (5)	Top Spin Lob Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Harry Charlton	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Harry Charlton	128	h	5	-	86	-	28d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Outran her 125-1 odds at Haydock on debut; bit of ground to find with Consuelo though
4 (4)	Fight For You Bay J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Robert Havlin T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	76	-	79	-	18d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Top-class pedigree but she needs to step up on her two turf efforts now switched to AW
3 (7)	Falsetto Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Half-sister to two winners out of a Listed winner; betting should be revealing
6 (1)	Mawayed Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Marcus Tregoning	J:Jim Crowley T:Marcus Tregoning	128	—	47	-	73	-	23d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Fine pedigree but she needs to step up on this summer's two turf efforts (1m2f/1m4f)
1 (9)	Burgeon Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Menuisier	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:David Menuisier	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Half-sister to three Flat winners out of a 6f/7f winner; perhaps a longer-term prospect

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Consuelo	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2
La Cadalora	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Russian Crescendo	4/1	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Rouge Sellier	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Top Spin Lob	8/1	15/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Fight For You	9/1	8/1	17/2	9/1	8/1
Falsetto	20/1	18/1	14/1	18/1	18/1
Mawayed	20/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Burgeon	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Consuelo

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Rouge Sellier

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

La Cadalora

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Russian Crescendo

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Top Spin Lob

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Fight For You

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Falsetto

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Mawayed

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Burgeon

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Consuelo	—	91	60
La Cadalora	—	86	38
Russian Crescendo	—	—	—
Rouge Sellier	—	89	68
Top Spin Lob	—	86	—
Fight For You	—	79	—
Falsetto	—	—	—
Mawayed	—	73	—
Burgeon	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fight For You	18d ago	Fit
Mawayed	23d ago	Fit
Consuelo	28d ago	Fit
Top Spin Lob	28d ago	Fit
La Cadalora	232d ago	Long break
Rouge Sellier	242d ago	Long break
Russian Crescendo	—	—
Falsetto	—	—
Burgeon	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.