bet365 Nursery Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Nursery Series)

Haydock

15:50

Date 2024-07-06

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £10,468

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (8)	Regal Gem Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:Tom Marquand T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	130	—	14	80	88	82	28d	—	—	-1	21.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Won on debut & respectable effort since behind Royal Ascot winner; could have part to play
8 (4)	Rare Change Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	122	—	064	72	91	81	15d	—	—	-7	10.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Caught the eye when 4l fourth at Goodwood; the step back up to 6f looks the right move
5 (3)	Arabian Cobra Grey J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	J:Oisin Murphy T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	6250	78	91	86	17d	—	—	-4	15.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Went close at Windsor on second start but two lesser runs have followed
3 (1)	Seraphim Angel Brown J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Tom Dascombe	132	—	4160	82	90	73	17d	—	—	+6	15.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Lily Agnes winner who begins handicap life on a realistic mark and 6f could suit
1 (5)	Sex On Fire Bay J:Jason Hart T:Richard Spencer	J:Jason Hart T:Richard Spencer	135	—	130	85	88	76	17d	—	—	+9	18.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Has shown strong form over 5f and shaped as though he could improve for 6f
2 (6)	Shazani Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Charlie Johnston	J:Rossa Ryan T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	041	84	86	71	17d	—	—	+13	20.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has a progressive profile and made all in Hamilton maiden on third and latest start
6 (2)	Hofburg Bay J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(3) T:Richard Hannon	125	—	432	75	91	62	19d	—	—	+8	15.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Well close at Chepstow latest; doesn't seem straightforward but could still be involved
7 (7)	Gold Medallist Bay J:Harry Davies T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Harry Davies T:Eve Johnson Houghton	125	—	293	75	92	84	18d	—	—	+7	13.5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has gone close on two of his three starts and could be in the mix

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Regal Gem	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	5/2
Rare Change	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Arabian Cobra	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Seraphim Angel	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Sex On Fire	8/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	15/2
Shazani	10/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Hofburg	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Gold Medallist	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Regal Gem

21.2

OR: 7.5 Form: 7 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Shazani

20.6

OR: 8.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

Sex On Fire

18.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Seraphim Angel

15.7

OR: 8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Hofburg

15.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Arabian Cobra

15.2

OR: 7 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Gold Medallist

13.5

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Rare Change

10.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sex On Fire	85	88	76
Shazani	84	86	71
Seraphim Angel	82	90	73
Regal Gem	80	88	82
Arabian Cobra	78	91	86
Hofburg	75	91	62
Gold Medallist	75	92	84
Rare Change	72	91	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rare Change	15d ago	Fit
Arabian Cobra	17d ago	Fit
Seraphim Angel	17d ago	Fit
Sex On Fire	17d ago	Fit
Shazani	17d ago	Fit
Gold Medallist	18d ago	Fit
Hofburg	19d ago	Fit
Regal Gem	28d ago	Fit