Diff-Ability 'Ability Over Disability' EBF Restricted Novice Stakes (Qual') (GBB/IRE Incentive Race)

Carlisle

18:18

Date 2024-07-06

Distance 5f182y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Firm

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,400

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Line Of Force Chestnut J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	J:Shane Gray T:K R Burke	134	—	1	-	91	84	16d	—	—	-30	30	0.10/1	2/5 71%
Dam out of Cheveley Park winner; impressive on 6f Ripon debut; good chance under penalty
6 (10)	Brooke Winder Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Craig Lidster	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Craig Lidster	128	—	44	-	77	61	18d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two promising 5f runs, looking more than ready for an extra furlong at Catterick recently
4 (9)	Gold Black Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Richard Fahey	J:Ryan Sexton T:Richard Fahey	130	—	4	-	69	49	17d	—	—	-6	2.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Promising late headway on 6f debut at Hamilton (favourite); looks sure to improve
7 (3)	Callout Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Edward Bethell	J:Harrison Shaw T:Edward Bethell	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
£40,000 breeze-up 2yo; trainer 1-10 with 2yos here; market can give some clues.
8 (5)	Northern Ticker Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
30,000gns yearling; yard 1-20 with 2yos here in the last 5 years; this might be needed
9 (4)	Caledonian Dream Bay J:Dale Swift T:Grant Tuer	J:Dale Swift T:Grant Tuer	126	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
£3,000 breeze-up buy; yard 3-12 with 2yos here in last 5 years; worth market check
3 (7)	Blue Lakota Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	130	—	6	-	65	22	34d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Easy to back and not sharp enough to contend on 6f debut; should improve with experience
2 (6)	Bear Kode Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Adrian Paul Keatley	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
£40,000 yearling; dam bred three 2yo winners; yard had success with juveniles this year
5 (8)	Mr Cool Bay J:Phil Dennis T:Charlie Johnston	J:Phil Dennis T:Charlie Johnston	130	—	50	-	62	52	22d	—	0W/1P 1 run	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ultimately well held in two 5f starts, at Hamilton and Sandown; likely handicap type
10 (2)	Dimension Of Scale Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Craig Lidster	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Craig Lidster	125	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Dam bred three 2yo winners; yard has better strike-rate with older horses

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Line Of Force	4/11	4/11	2/5	2/5	2/5
Brooke Winder	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Gold Black	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Callout	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Northern Ticker	14/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Caledonian Dream	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Blue Lakota	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Bear Kode	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1
Mr Cool	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Dimension Of Scale	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Line Of Force

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 20

2/5

2nd

Brooke Winder

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Gold Black

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Callout

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Northern Ticker

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Caledonian Dream

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

22/1

Blue Lakota

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Dimension Of Scale

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Bear Kode

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Mr Cool

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Line Of Force	—	91	84
Brooke Winder	—	77	61
Gold Black	—	69	49
Callout	—	—	—
Northern Ticker	—	—	—
Caledonian Dream	—	—	—
Blue Lakota	—	65	22
Bear Kode	—	—	—
Mr Cool	—	62	52
Dimension Of Scale	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Line Of Force	16d ago	Fit
Gold Black	17d ago	Fit
Brooke Winder	18d ago	Fit
Mr Cool	22d ago	Fit
Blue Lakota	34d ago	Fit
Callout	—	—
Northern Ticker	—	—
Caledonian Dream	—	—
Bear Kode	—	—
Dimension Of Scale	—	—