Save Money, Money, Money Fiver Friday Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

20:10

Save Money, Money, Money Fiver Friday Handicap

Date 2024-07-06

Distance 1m2f50y

Class Class 6

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (1)	Fortnum Bay J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	J:Pat Cosgrave T:George Boughey	135	—	55081	65	76	57	17d	—	—	-15	27.9	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Landed a gamble over C&D on recent handicap debut; 5lb rise not insurmountable
1 (8)	Inappropriate Chestnut J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	J:Kaiya Fraser(5) T:Harry Eustace	135	—	699-73	65	75	38	67d	—	—	-10	9.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Good third of nine at Yarmouth in April; unexposed at 1m2f; leading contender
10 (3)	Emerald City Bay J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	128	—	8-8643	58	74	65	17d	—	—	-4	4.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two creditable efforts over C&D since handicapping; work to do with Fortnum on latest run
8 (2)	Surrey Force Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Jack Mitchell T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	131	—	7-675	61	74	38	65d	—	—	-3	5	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Flopped on handicap debut in May; gelded since; still has some potential; betting to guide
6 (4)	It's Not Risky Chestnut J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Hugo Palmer	134	v	113557	64	70	54	22d	—	—	+1	8.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Drops back into Class 6 company but more exposed than most and likely vulnerable
4 (9)	Fram Castle Chestnut J:J F Egan T:James Horton	J:J F Egan T:James Horton	134	—	05-60	64	68	17	22d	—	—	-1	5.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
No improvement on stable/handicap debut last month; down in class but others are safer
5 (10)	Squeaker Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Clare Hobson	J:Marco Ghiani T:Clare Hobson	134	t	5-7725	64	72	-	16d	—	—	0	4.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ran okay on stable debut last month but the addition of a tongue-tie isn't enough to tempt
2 (6)	Corrales Bay J:Ray Dawson T:James Ferguson	J:Ray Dawson T:James Ferguson	135	—	4544	65	74	33	43d	—	—	+1	5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Promise in maidens; flopped on handicap debut but the ground was soft; unexposed
7 (5)	Magna Vega Bay J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Nikki Evans	J:Sean D Bowen(5) T:Nikki Evans	133	p	-40536	63	75	67	20d	—	—	+3	6.3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Promising stable debut in May but took a backward step last time; new trip
9 (7)	Flavor Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	J:Dylan Hogan T:John Butler	130	—	775-8	60	68	40	10d	—	—	+1	3.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Never in the hunt on recent reappearance/handicap debut (7f); this trip more suitable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Fortnum	evn	11/10	10/11	Evens	11/10
Inappropriate	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1	7/2
Emerald City	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	10/1
Surrey Force	12/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	11/1
It's Not Risky	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Fram Castle	14/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Squeaker	20/1	18/1	16/1	14/1	18/1
Corrales	25/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Magna Vega	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Flavor	66/1	50/1	40/1	40/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fortnum

27.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 14.2

11/10

2nd

Inappropriate

9.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

It's Not Risky

8.3

OR: 3.5 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Magna Vega

6.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1

28/1

Fram Castle

5.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Surrey Force

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Corrales

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Squeaker

4.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Emerald City

4.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Flavor

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fortnum	65	76	57
Inappropriate	65	75	38
Corrales	65	74	33
It's Not Risky	64	70	54
Fram Castle	64	68	17
Squeaker	64	72	—
Magna Vega	63	75	67
Surrey Force	61	74	38
Flavor	60	68	40
Emerald City	58	74	65

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Flavor	10d ago	Quick return
Squeaker	16d ago	Fit
Fortnum	17d ago	Fit
Emerald City	17d ago	Fit
Magna Vega	20d ago	Fit
It's Not Risky	22d ago	Fit
Fram Castle	22d ago	Fit
Corrales	43d ago	Fit
Surrey Force	65d ago	Fresh
Inappropriate	67d ago	Fresh