Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap – Naas

Naas

15:55

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Handicap

Date 2024-07-06

Distance 5f205y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €13,865

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (10)	National Lady Brown J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	J:Colin Keane T:G M Lyons	128	h	33-214	81	94	46	22d	—	—	-8	14.6	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Tried in a hood here and likely to do better than latest with the stable in cracking form
7 (5)	Tai Tam Bay Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	J:Nathan Crosse T:Eddie & Patrick Harty	129	—	4-1303	82	90	80	7d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	-4	13	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Up another 1lb for fine Curragh run but she still looks progressive and can go close here
3 (1)	Scorchio Bay J:James Ryan(5) T:Jack W Davison	J:James Ryan(5) T:Jack W Davison	138	—	314-10	91	91	79	15d	—	—	+1	13.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Beaten just over four lengths in a handicap at Royal Ascot; respected with a good claimer
6 (4)	Ostraka Bay J:Shane Foley T:Daniel James Murphy	J:Shane Foley T:Daniel James Murphy	132	b	760-62	80	94	75	22d	—	—	-1	10.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Worn down late in a Cork handicap last month after five months off; should go well here
9 (8)	Staysound Susie Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	J:Andrew Slattery T:Andrew Slattery	124	—	53-331	77	93	70	39d	—	—	-1	9.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Made all in a soft ground Tipperary maiden in May; not to be underestimated
11 (11)	Aurora Nova Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Andrew McNamara	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:Andrew McNamara	119	—	830214	67	93	70	15d	—	—	+8	16.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Better suited by this trip but has to prove that she can be effective off this mark
1 (7)	Gunzburg Chestnut J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty(5) T:Gavin Cromwell	140	p	57-530	93	89	89	6d	—	—	+5	13	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Down the field over 7f last week; back in trip here but up against some in-form rivals
12 (9)	Glamorously Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:Mrs John Harrington	119	v	-05066	72	94	64	22d	—	—	+1	7.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has struggled very much to find her best form this season; others preferred
2 (2)	Queen Maedbh Chestnut J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	138	—	32300-	86	95	72	260d	—	—	+8	14.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Never really fulfilled her considerable early promise; probably best watched here
NR (3)	Magical Vision Chestnut J:Chris Hayes T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Chris Hayes T:Aidan Anthony Howard	134	—	296-31	82	95	76	76d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	—	8	—	—
Respected but some guesswork involved as to how she will handle the ground
NR (12)	Shandy Bay J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	J:Seamie Heffernan T:J A Stack	134	h	3-1607	87	92	56	6d	—	—	—	11.4	—	—
Better effort back in handicap company in the Rockingham last Sunday; has the ability
NR (6)	Annie Edson Taylor Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Kevin Thomas Coleman	122	—	32-3	75	90	79	46d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Not well handicapped on the bare Cork form but certainly capable of much better

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
National Lady	5/2	3/1	5/2	5/2	11/4
Tai Tam Bay	4/1	9/2	4/1	7/2	4/1
Scorchio	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Ostraka	13/2	6/1	15/2	15/2	6/1
Staysound Susie	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Aurora Nova	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	17/2
Gunzburg	12/1	12/1	9/1	17/2	12/1
Glamorously	16/1	16/1	14/1	12/1	16/1
Queen Maedbh	20/1	18/1	18/1	12/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aurora Nova

16.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 2.4

9/1

2nd

National Lady

14.6

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9

3/1

3rd

Queen Maedbh

14.2

OR: 9 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Scorchio

13.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Tai Tam Bay

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Gunzburg

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Shandy

11.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Ostraka

10.8

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Staysound Susie

9.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Annie Edson Taylor

9.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Magical Vision

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Glamorously

7.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gunzburg	93	89	89
Scorchio	91	91	79
Shandy	87	92	56
Queen Maedbh	86	95	72
Tai Tam Bay	82	90	80
Magical Vision	82	95	76
National Lady	81	94	46
Ostraka	80	94	75
Staysound Susie	77	93	70
Annie Edson Taylor	75	90	79
Glamorously	72	94	64
Aurora Nova	67	93	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Gunzburg	6d ago	Quick return
Shandy	6d ago	Quick return
Tai Tam Bay	7d ago	Quick return
Scorchio	15d ago	Fit
Aurora Nova	15d ago	Fit
National Lady	22d ago	Fit
Ostraka	22d ago	Fit
Glamorously	22d ago	Fit
Staysound Susie	39d ago	Fit
Annie Edson Taylor	46d ago	Fresh
Magical Vision	76d ago	Fresh
Queen Maedbh	260d ago	Long break