Ffos Las

18:50

Connolly Red Mills Handicap

Date 2024-07-10
Distance 1m2f
Class Class 6
Going Good To Soft
Type Flat
Surface Turf
Age Band 3yo+
Prize £2,983

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
7 (7)
Jimmy Mark
Bay
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Stuart Kittow
J:Rossa Ryan
T:Stuart Kittow
134 5-7331
51
61
53
14d -18
8.3
0.56/1
9/4
31%
Comfortable win over C&D latest and was as good as ever with that success; shortlisted
5 (9)
City Escape
Bay
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Mark Loughnane
J:Oisin Murphy
T:Mark Loughnane
137 eb 834853
54
68
46
10d -9
10.3
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Last two wins were gained over C&D and she went close on AW last time; big player
4 (11)
Change Of Fortune
Chestnut
J:Joshua Bryan
T:Bernard Llewellyn
J:Joshua Bryan
T:Bernard Llewellyn
138 486-04
55
64
42
27d -10
5.7
1.25/1
5/1
17%
0-18 but he ran well at Newbury last time and has claims if he can build on that
10 (2)
Alyara
Bay
J:Taylor Fisher(3)
T:John & Rhys Flint
J:Taylor Fisher(3)
T:John & Rhys Flint
129 p -06572
46
64
56
7d -4
8.6
1.50/1
6/1
14%
On long losing run but she went close at Bath last week; in the mix back in a handicap
2 (1)
Havana Goldrush
Bay
J:Ethan Jones(5)
T:John & Rhys Flint
J:Ethan Jones(5)
T:John & Rhys Flint
140 b 471305
57
65
54
25d 0
8.5
3.00/1
12/1
8%
Has not gone on since his Bath win in May and has form figures of 888 at this trip
8 (8)
Private Bryan
Bay
J:George Rooke
T:Ed de Giles
J:George Rooke
T:Ed de Giles
132 9-2413
49
64
49
14d -5
1.7
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Won at Kempton in January but was well held behind Jimmy Mark over C&D on recent return
11 (6)
Gavin
Bay
J:Thomas Greatrex
T:Peter & Michael Bowen
J:Thomas Greatrex
T:Peter & Michael Bowen
129 ht 44030/
46
-
-
-2
3.8
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Out of sorts in last three hurdle runs and he's 0-13 on the Flat; opposable
1 (4)
Out Of Sight
Bay
J:Hayley Turner
T:Alex French
J:Hayley Turner
T:Alex French
140 /7416-
57
64
39
358d +6
9.8
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Has been on the sidelines for 12 months and he's probably best watched on comeback
3 (3)
Mawada
Bay
J:Finley Marsh
T:Adrian Wintle
J:Finley Marsh
T:Adrian Wintle
140 h 58-679
57
59
40
25d -1
2.7
7.00/1
28/1
3%
Nine-race maiden who has struggled in handicaps and has plenty to prove at this new trip
NR (5)
Dappled Light
Bay
J:Finley Marsh
T:Adrian Wintle
J:Finley Marsh
T:Adrian Wintle
136 p 650221
53
66
58
14d
16.8
Won a classified event here last time and this new trip is worth exploring; respected
NR (10)
Zambezi Magic
Bay
J:William Cox
T:Bernard Llewellyn
J:William Cox
T:Bernard Llewellyn
130 900663
47
61
52
17d
3
Mark is tumbling but last win was in 2022 and was well held here last time
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Jimmy Mark
2/1 9/4 2/1 2/1 2/1
City Escape
7/2 7/2 10/3 7/2 7/2
Change Of Fortune
5/1 9/2 9/2 5/1 9/2
Alyara
11/2 11/2 6/1 5/1 11/2
Havana Goldrush
12/1 11/1 12/1 11/1 12/1
Private Bryan
14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Gavin
16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1
Out Of Sight
25/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1
Mawada
28/1 28/1 28/1 25/1 28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Dappled Light
16.8
OR: 0.8 Form: 16 Odds: 0
2nd City Escape
10.3
OR: 1 Form: 3.6 Odds: 5.7
7/2
3rd Out Of Sight
9.8
OR: 1.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.1
25/1
4 Alyara
8.6
OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6
6/1
5 Havana Goldrush
8.5
OR: 1.8 Form: 4.5 Odds: 2.2
12/1
6 Jimmy Mark
8.3
OR: 0.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8
9/4
7 Change Of Fortune
5.7
OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4
5/1
8 Gavin
3.8
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7
16/1
9 Zambezi Magic
3
OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0
10 Mawada
2.7
OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1
28/1
11 Private Bryan
1.7
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7
14/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Havana Goldrush
57
65
54
Out Of Sight
57
64
39
Mawada
57
59
40
Change Of Fortune
55
64
42
City Escape
54
68
46
Dappled Light
53
66
58
Jimmy Mark
51
61
53
Private Bryan
49
64
49
Zambezi Magic
47
61
52
Alyara
46
64
56
Gavin
46

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Alyara 7d ago Quick return
City Escape 10d ago Quick return
Jimmy Mark 14d ago Fit
Private Bryan 14d ago Fit
Dappled Light 14d ago Fit
Zambezi Magic 17d ago Fit
Havana Goldrush 25d ago Fit
Mawada 25d ago Fit
Change Of Fortune 27d ago Fit
Out Of Sight 358d ago Long break
Gavin