Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap) – Newmarket (July)

Newmarket (July)

15:00

Bet Boost At bet365 Handicap (Heritage Handicap)

Date 2024-07-11

Distance 6f

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize £51,540

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (13)	Dorney Lake Bay J:William Buick T:John & Thady Gosden	J:William Buick T:John & Thady Gosden	125	t	5-110	90	111	103	20d	—	—	-1	14.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two 6f turf wins in May; didn't get home at Royal Ascot last time; others appeal more
15 (8)	Imperial Guard Bay J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	118	—	2-1335	83	109	100	26d	—	—	+3	15.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Ties in with a few of these on a York run last month; career best required to win though
12 (9)	Sergeant Wilko Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:Kevin Ryan	J:Oisin Murphy T:Kevin Ryan	122	—	45-141	87	112	105	45d	—	—	-1	13.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Improved performer this year; 3lb rise for latest Leicester win could prove generous
6 (6)	Tropical Island Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	126	—	5214-6	91	113	95	26d	—	—	+3	13.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Two wins as a 2yo; pleasing return in hot York sprint last month; could have more to give
7 (3)	Two Tribes Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Spencer	J:Hollie Doyle T:Richard Spencer	126	b	122-20	91	112	93	20d	—	—	+3	13.1	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Form of his 2nd on the Rowley course in May is strong; not at best over 5f at Royal Ascot
13 (12)	Moswaat Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Roger Varian	121	—	13-850	86	111	95	20d	—	—	+4	11.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Promise at two but the handicapper has been firmly in command so far this year
5 (11)	Zabriskie Point Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	128	—	13419-	93	104	93	287d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+15	22.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Two wins (5f and 7f) as a 2yo; gelded over the winter; returns in a competitive race
3 (16)	Dark Vintage Grey Roan J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	v	22-636	95	110	99	20d	—	—	+5	13.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
All runs at 5f on good or faster; useful already but 6f could unlock more from him
11 (5)	Thunder Blue Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	123	t	92-749	88	108	101	20d	—	—	+5	11.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Promising stable debut at Royal Ascot; dropped 2lb and the return to 6f looks a positive
1 (4)	Military Bay J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	J:Ryan Moore T:A P O'Brien	135	tb	3-5440	100	105	81	20d	—	—	+10	16.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Highly tried since his winning 2yo debut and he's come up short; others more persuasive
14 (2)	Palmar Bay Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Ralph Beckett	J:Edward Greatrex T:Ralph Beckett	120	—	2113-9	85	111	94	26d	—	—	+6	10	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Two wins as a 2yo; gelded over the winter; low-key return at Sandown (7f); others safer
4 (15)	Brave Empire Grey J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Varian	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Roger Varian	129	—	1-9160	94	110	83	20d	—	—	+15	19.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Won 3 of his 7 starts (all 6f) and didn't run badly at Royal Ascot (5f); others stronger
16 (1)	Roman Emperor Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:John Ryan	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:John Ryan	114	p	228558	79	106	64	19d	—	—	+7	8.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Fair AW form this winter but tough task here from out of the handicap
NR (10)	Woodhay Wonder Bay J:TBC T:Tom Ward	J: T:Tom Ward	134	—	11-114	99	112	102	20d	—	—	—	12.3	—	—
Only defeat at Newmarket tracks came in Group 2 (4-5 otherwise); still improving; ground ?
NR (7)	Elmonjed Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	124	p	11-63	89	112	-	26d	—	—	—	9.8	—	—
2-2 as a 2yo; back on the up when third in a similar race at York last month; unexposed
NR (14)	Aramram Bay J:TBC T:Richard Hannon	J: T:Richard Hannon	123	—	8-154	88	106	94	24d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Wide-margin novice win in May; less good twice since, including handicap debut latest

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dorney Lake	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Imperial Guard	13/2	11/2	7/1	15/2	13/2
Sergeant Wilko	6/1	9/2	9/2	5/1	11/2
Tropical Island	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Two Tribes	8/1	15/2	17/2	8/1	8/1
Moswaat	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Zabriskie Point	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Dark Vintage	10/1	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1
Thunder Blue	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Military	14/1	14/1	12/1	11/1	14/1
Palmar Bay	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Brave Empire	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Roman Emperor	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zabriskie Point

22.9

OR: 10.8 Form: 9.9 Odds: 2.2

11/1

2nd

Brave Empire

19.2

OR: 11 Form: 7 Odds: 1.2

22/1

3rd

Military

16.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Imperial Guard

15.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Dorney Lake

14.4

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Dark Vintage

13.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Sergeant Wilko

13.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Tropical Island

13.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Two Tribes

13.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Woodhay Wonder

12.3

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Thunder Blue

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Moswaat

11.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Palmar Bay

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Elmonjed

9.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Aramram

9.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Roman Emperor

8.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Military	100	105	81
Woodhay Wonder	99	112	102
Dark Vintage	95	110	99
Brave Empire	94	110	83
Zabriskie Point	93	104	93
Tropical Island	91	113	95
Two Tribes	91	112	93
Dorney Lake	90	111	103
Elmonjed	89	112	—
Thunder Blue	88	108	101
Aramram	88	106	94
Sergeant Wilko	87	112	105
Moswaat	86	111	95
Palmar Bay	85	111	94
Imperial Guard	83	109	100
Roman Emperor	79	106	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Roman Emperor	19d ago	Fit
Dorney Lake	20d ago	Fit
Two Tribes	20d ago	Fit
Moswaat	20d ago	Fit
Dark Vintage	20d ago	Fit
Thunder Blue	20d ago	Fit
Military	20d ago	Fit
Brave Empire	20d ago	Fit
Woodhay Wonder	20d ago	Fit
Aramram	24d ago	Fit
Imperial Guard	26d ago	Fit
Tropical Island	26d ago	Fit
Palmar Bay	26d ago	Fit
Elmonjed	26d ago	Fit
Sergeant Wilko	45d ago	Fit
Zabriskie Point	287d ago	Long break