Lake District Handicap (Jockey Club Grassroots Middle Distance Series Qualifier)

Carlisle

14:10

Date 2024-07-11

Distance 1m3f39y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (5)	Individualism Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	134	—	5-2062	77	82	74	9d	—	—	-28	25.4	0.15/1	8/13 62%
Posted a career best when a close second latest; could kick on now going up in trip.
5 (3)	Naturalia Bay J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Donald Whillans	J:Shay Farmer(7) T:Donald Whillans	125	—	45-312	68	78	48	22d	—	—	-6	8.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Improving; another 4lb rise will demand more but respected up in trip.
2 (4)	Bustaam Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	141	—	120736	73	81	57	43d	—	—	-1	12.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
1m2f winner (soft; 8lb lower) in March; below that level last four starts; more needed.
3 (1)	Mount King Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	135	tp	5-8477	67	79	64	18d	—	—	-2	6.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Dual 1m winner; may be able to pull out more over this far but has that to prove.
1 (2)	Roll It In Glitter Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Joanna Mason T:Michael & David Easterby	142	—	31-097	74	81	30	23d	—	—	+2	7.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Well beaten this season but revival not ruled out if there is some ease in the ground.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Individualism	8/13	8/13	4/7	8/13	8/13
Naturalia	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Bustaam	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Mount King	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Roll It In Glitter	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Individualism

25.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 18.7

8/13

2nd

Bustaam

12.9

OR: 5.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Naturalia

8.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Roll It In Glitter

7.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Mount King

6.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Individualism	77	82	74
Roll It In Glitter	74	81	30
Bustaam	73	81	57
Naturalia	68	78	48
Mount King	67	79	64

Last Run